Tag: Dow Jones Industrial Average

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ASX 200 fails to respond to Dow surge

Dow Jones Industrial Average broke its declining trendline Monday, surging strongly, but light volume indicates hesitancy on the part of buyers.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

Asian stocks reacted with enthusiasm but Shanghai, after gapping up at the open, fell sharply, giving up most of its gains. The ASX 200 response was muted, with a narrow range and low volume indicating hesitancy from buyers. Reversal below Monday’s low of 4150 would signal another test of 3850. Failure of support would offer a target of 3600*.

ASX 200 Index

* Target calculation: 3900 – ( 4200 – 3900 ) = 3600

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Dow threatens decline to 10000

Dow Jones Industrial Average is testing the band of support between 10600 and 10800. An up-tick in volume indicates some buying support but this appears insufficient to withstand downward pressure. Failure of support at 10600 is likely and would signal a primary decline to 10000*.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – (12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

The S&P 500 index is similarly testing support at 1100, while 21-day Twiggs Money Flow declining below zero warns of selling pressure. Breach of 1100 would signal a primary decline to 950*.

S&P 500 Index

* Target calculation: 1100 – ( 1250 – 1100 ) = 950

The NASDAQ 100 is headed for a test of support at 2040. Reversal  of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of a primary down-trend. Breach of support would signal another decline with a target of 1700*.

NASDAQ 100 Index

* Target calculation: 2000 – ( 2300 – 2000 ) = 1700

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US rally encounters resistance

Dow Jones Industrial Average tall shadow (or wick) on the latest candlestick [R] indicates rising selling pressure. With excitement about a European bailout deal fading, expect a test of support at 10600. Failure would indicate another down-swing, with a target of 10000*.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

S&P 500 Index shows continued consolidation between 1120 and 1220 on the weekly chart. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero indicates selling pressure. Failure of support at 1120 would test the 2010 low at 1020*/1000.

S&P 500 Index

* Target calculation: 1120 – ( 1220 – 1120 ) = 1020

NASDAQ 100 Index shows an evening star reversal warning, completed if price reverses below 2200. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum holding below zero reminds that we are in a primary down-trend. Breach of the lower trend channel would warn of another down-swing, with a target of 1750*.

NASDAQ 100 Index

* Target calculation: 2050 – ( 2350 – 2050 ) = 1750

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The Dow tests key support at 10600

Dow Jones Industrial Average is testing support at 10600; failure would add final confirmation of  the bear market signaled by 63-day Twiggs Momentum (holding below zero).

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

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Bear rally and triple-witching

A narrow range with large volume often acts like a compressed spring — absorbing buying pressure before launching a sharp move in the opposite direction. The spike in volume [W] on Dow Jones Industrial Average was due to triple-witching hour on Friday, but we should nevertheless be wary of a fall below 11400, which would indicate another test of 10600.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

The weekly chart of S&P 500 shows a similar bear rally. Expect a test of 1250/1260. But 63-day Momentum below zero reminds that the index is in a primary down-trend; a peak below the zero line would warn of another down-swing.

S&P 500 Index

* Target calculation: 1125 – ( 1250 – 1125 ) = 1000

NASDAQ 100 Index displays a particularly strong rally, but this remains a bear market. Expect strong resistance at 2400. Failure of support would offer a target of 1700*.

NASDAQ 100 Index

* Target calculation: 2050 – ( 2400 – 2050 ) = 1700

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Dow rallies on light volume

Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied on unconfirmed news reports that China is set to buy sovereign debt from troubled Italy. Light volume indicates an absence of selling pressure. This is a bear market, however, and rallies are likely to be of short duration, while breach of support would lead to sharp falls.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

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Dow acid-test

The Dow is headed for the band of support between 10600 and 10800 — a real acid-test. Support is likely to fail unless we see a substantial increase in volume, indicating buying support. Breach of 10600 would confirm another down-swing with a target of 10000*.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

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Denial is not a river in Egypt

Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied, suggesting a second higher low above primary support at 10600/10800.  Expect a test of 11900/12000, but this does not mean the bear market is about to reverse. We are still in the early “denial stage” of the bear market, identified by sporadic bargain-hunting, high volatility and a general lack of direction. Declining volume indicates a lack of enthusiasm from buyers and sellers. Failure of primary support would change that, leading to a sharp fall to 10000*.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

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It’s a bear market

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied Tuesday on fairly light volume. Expect resistance at 11500. This is a bear market, with reactions to good news likely to be short — and declines from bad news severe. Target for the next decline is 10000*.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 11000 – ( 12000 – 11000 ) = 10000

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