DAX Index Archives - Page 3 of 5 - the patient investor %

December 17, 2012

DAX breakout

DAX follow-through above 7600 would confirm its earlier (7500) breakout signal for a primary advance. One concern: 13-week Twiggs Money Flow is lagging. This may be due to resistance at the 2011 high, but a lower TMO peak would warn of a reversal.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7500 + ( 7500 – 7000 ) = 8000

The FTSE 100 is testing long-term resistance at 6000/6100 but 13-week Twiggs Money Flow, again lagging, warns of selling pressure. Respect of resistance would re-test support at 5600, while breakout would offer an initial target of 6400; long-term 6750*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5250 ) = 6750

Colin Twiggs

Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients.

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

December 7, 2012

DAX breakout above 7500

Germany’s DAX broke resistance at 7500 from its May 2011 high, signaling an advance to the 2007 high at 8000*. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would reinforce the signal, indicating medium-term buying pressure.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7500 + ( 7500 – 7000 ) = 8000

Colin Twiggs

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

December 3, 2012

Europe: DAX at 7500

Germany’s DAX is testing resistance at 7500 but bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Breakout would signal an advance to 8000*, while respect of 7500 would indicate another test of primary support at 7000. Reversal below 7000 is unlikely but would warn that a top is forming.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7500+ ( 7500 – 7000 ) = 8000

Dow Jones Europe Index is similarly testing resistance at 265. Again, bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Breakout above 265 would offer a target of 285*. Reversal below 245 is unlikely but would indicate a decline to 210.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 265 + ( 265 – 245 ) = 285

The FTSE 100 is in a similar position: headed for a test of 6000. Breakout would signal an advance to 6400*. But bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below 5600 would test support at 5250.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5600 ) = 6400

Colin Twiggs

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

November 26, 2012

Europe: DAX heads for 7500

Germany’s Dax rallied off support at 7000 and is headed for a test of resistance at 7500. Breakout would signal an advance to 8000*. Oscillation of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow above zero indicates buying pressure. Reversal below 7000 is unlikely but would warn that a top is forming.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7500+ ( 7500 – 7000 ) = 8000

Dow Jones Europe Index is headed for another test of resistance at 265. Breakout would signal an advance to 285*. Reversal below 245 would warn of a correction to test primary support at 210. A 13-week Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would indicate buying pressure.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 265 + ( 265 – 245 ) = 285

The FTSE 100 rallied off support at 5600 and is headed for another test of 6000. Breakout would signal an advance to 6400*. Reversal below 5600 is unlikely but would warn of a test of primary support at 5250. Narrowing 63-day Twiggs Momentum, however, warns of a ranging market.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5600 ) = 6400

Colin Twiggs

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

November 12, 2012

Europe tests support

Today we look at the long-term view, with monthly charts. Germany’s Dax closed below 7200, warning of a correction to the rising trendline. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow oscillating above zero indicates buying pressure. Respect of the rising trendline would indicate a primary advance. Breakout above 7600 would confirm, offering a target of 8000*.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7000+ ( 7000 – 6000 ) = 8000

Reversal of the Madrid General Index below 760 would warn of a correction. Respect of 700 would be bullish but a test of 600 is more likely. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero, while unlikely, would also be a bullish sign.

Madrid General Index

The FTSE 100 found resistance at 6000 and is likely to re-test the rising trendline. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow oscillating above zero indicates long-term buying pressure. Respect of the trendline would indicate another primary advance, while breakout above 6100 would offer a long-term target of 6750*. Penetration of the trendline is less likely, but would test primary support at 5250.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5250 ) = 6750

Colin Twiggs

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

November 8, 2012

Europe tests support

Germany’s Dax continues to test medium-term support at 7200. Respect of support would signal strong accumulation, while failure would indicate a correction to the rising trendline. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow oscillating above zero indicates buying pressure. Breakout above 7600 would confirm a primary up-trend.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7000+ ( 7000 – 6000 ) = 8000

Dow Jones Europe Index consolidates below resistance at 265. Reversal below 250 would warn of a correction to test primary support, while breakout above 265 would signal a primary advance. Oscillation of 63-day Twiggs Momentum around zero suggests a ranging market with no clear primary trend.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 260 + ( 260 – 210 ) = 310

The FTSE 100 continues to test support at 5740/5750. Failure of support would signal a correction to the rising trendline. Breakout above 6000/6100 is unlikely at present, but would offer a long-term target of 6750*. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow oscillating above zero indicates long-term buying pressure.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5250 ) = 6750

Colin Twiggs

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

October 29, 2012

Europe: Dax buying pressure

Germany’s Dax continues to test medium-term support at 7200. Respect of support would signal strong accumulation. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow oscillating above zero indicates buying pressure. Breakout above 7600 would confirm a primary up-trend.

Dow Jones Europe Index

* Target calculation: 7000+ ( 7000 – 6000 ) = 8000

The FTSE 100 (daily chart) is testing support at 5740/5750. Long tails suggest short-term buying pressure but bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling. Breach of support would signal a correction. Breakout above 6000/6100 is unlikely at present, but would offer a long-term target of 6750*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5250 ) = 6750

Colin Twiggs

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

October 8, 2012

Europe: Testing resistance

Dow Jones Europe Index rallied off support at 250 and is testing primary resistance at 265. Breakout would signal a primary advance to the 2011 high at 310. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure. Reversal below 250 is unlikely but would warn of another correction.

Dow Jones Europe Index

Germany’s DAX is similarly testing resistance at 7600 after finding support at 7200. Rising troughs above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicate strong buying pressure. Breakout would signal a long-term advance to 8400*. Reversal below 7200 is unlikely but would warn of a correction to the (primary) rising trendline.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7200 + ( 7200 – 6000 ) = 8400

The FTSE 100 similarly found support at 5740 and is headed for an attempt at 6000/6100. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow (above zero) indicates buying pressure. Expect strong resistance at 6000/6100 but breakout would offer a long-term target of 6750*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5250 ) = 6750

Colin Twiggs

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

October 2, 2012

Europe: Still positive

Germany’s DAX found support at 7200. Respect would indicate another attempt at long-term resistance at 7500/7600. Rising troughs above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicate strong buying pressure. Breakout would signal a long-term advance to 8400*.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7200 + ( 7200 – 6000 ) = 8400

Madrid General Index similarly found support at 770. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero would indicate a primary up-trend. Respect of support would indicate a test of resistance at 900, while failure would retrace to 720.

Madrid General Index

France’s CAC-40 retraced to 3350. Respect would mean another test of 3600, while breach of the rising trendline would warn of a down-swing to test primary support at 2900. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero would suggest a primary up-trend. Breakout above 3600 would confirm, offering a target of the 2011 high at 4100.

CAC-40 Index

* Target calculation: 3600 + ( 3600 – 3000 ) = 4200

A daily chart of the FTSE 100 shows medium-term support at 5740. Follow-through above 5880 would indicate an attempt at primary resistance at 6000/6100. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow troughs above zero indicate buying pressure, but the last (marginal) breakout above 5880 warns of strong resistance at 6000. Breakout above 6100 would offer a long-term target of 6750*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5250 ) = 6750

Colin Twiggs

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

September 24, 2012

Europe rising

Madrid General Index continues to indicate strong buying pressure, with 13-week Twiggs Money Flow rising steeply. Expect a test of resistance at 900.

Madrid General Index

* Target calculation: 725 + ( 725 – 600 ) = 850

Germany’s DAX is testing long-term resistance at 7500/7600. Troughs above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicate strong buying pressure. Breakout would signal an advance to 8400*.

DAX Index

* Target calculation: 7200 + ( 7200 – 6000 ) = 8400

The FTSE 100 tests short-term support at 5860 on the daily chart. Shallow retracement suggests an advance to primary resistance at 6000/6100. Recovery above 5900 would strengthen the signal. 21-Day Twiggs Money Flow troughs above zero indicate buying pressure. Expect strong resistance at 6000, because of the number of previous peaks at this level, but breakout would offer a long-term target of 6750*.

FTSE 100 Index

* Target calculation: 6000 + ( 6000 – 5250 ) = 6750

Colin Twiggs

Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.