The Swiss Franc encountered resistance at $1.40 but weak retracement indicates an accelerating (exponential) up-trend. Breakout above $1.40 would test $1.50*.
* Target calculation: 1.40 + ( 1.40 – 1.30 ) = 1.50
Euro descending triangle
The Euro continues in a bearish descending triangle against the dollar. Breakout below $1.40 would signal a decline to test support at $1.30*.
* Target calculation: 1.40 – ( 1.50 – 1.40 ) = 1.30
Euro-Zone Leaders Need – WSJ.com
So the euro zone still doesn’t look like it has a coherent plan for bringing the crisis to an end, which at this late stage would require a massive increase in the funds available to the EFSF (European Financial Stability Facility) or a willingness to guarantee all euro-zone government bond issuance as a single bloc.
UK & Europe
The FTSE 100 continued on its downward path, approaching its calculated target at 5100*. Expect some retracement this week, but I would not place much reliance on support at 5100 — strongly suspecting that we will see a test of the June 2010 low at 4800.
* Target calculation: 5600 – ( 6600 – 5600 ) = 5100
The German DAX index has already passed its initial target of 6500 and is headed for a test of 5600.
* Target calculation: 6500 – ( 7600 – 6500 ) = 5400
UK & Europe crash
Posted August 3, 2011 8:00 p.m. ET (10:00 a.m. AET) on Trading Diary.
The FTSE 100 followed through below 5600 after breaking primary support at 5650, confirming a primary down-trend.
The DAX similarly broke primary support at 7000 on the weekly chart and is now testing its earlier support level at 6500 — breach of that would be the final nail in the coffin. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow has been warning of selling pressure for several months.
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