Europe on the mend

Bellwether European transport stock Deutsche Post (DHL is a subsidiary) is in a primary up-trend, indicating rising economic activity.

Deutsche Post

Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50, representing 50 mega-stocks in the Eurozone, broke through 3100 after a lengthy consolidation (or “line” as Dow would have called it). Breakout matches a similar pattern on the DAX and signals a primary advance with a target of 3500*.

Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50

* Target medium-term: 3100 + ( 3100 – 2700 ) = 3500

The Footsie (FTSE 100) has also been making some headway but is running into resistance at the all-time high of 7100. Declining Twiggs Money Flow, above zero, warns of medium-term selling pressure. Breach of 6700 remains unlikely but would warn of a correction to 6500.

FTSE 100

Footsie resurgence

The Footsie (FTSE 100) respected support at 6700 and a strong weekly candlestick suggests another test of the all-time high at 7100. A Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would confirm long-term buying pressure. Breach of 6700 is now unlikely but would warn of a correction to 6500.

FTSE 100

The DAX is back

Germany’s DAX broke out of its narrow line (or consolidation) between 10200 and 10800, signaling a primary advance with a target of 11500* and confirming a bull market.

DAX

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

DAX retreats

Germany’s DAX is retracing to test support at 10200. The DAX has formed a narrow line (or consolidation) between 10200 and 10800 over the last quarter. Declining Twiggs Money Flow is typical during a consolidation and does not have much significance unless it crosses below zero. Breakout will signal future direction, either an advance to 11500* or a test of support at 9000.

DAX

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

Footsie selling pressure

The Footsie (FTSE 100) is again testing support at 6700. Declining Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure. Breach of 6700 is likely and would warn of a correction to 6500.

FTSE 100

Brexit negotiators identify UK’s trump cards

From Alex Barker:

Some British ministers reckon that Europe will eventually realise there are negative consequences for all sides from a hard, sharp Brexit. One is the competitive threat posed by a UK unbound. Dubbed the “Singapore model”, this is a scenario of British tax and regulatory “dumping” that European capitals fear. Britain is too big, too close and too similar an economy to not worry about being undercut…..

The second is the City of London. This remains Europe’s main financial hub and a hard exit could raise costs for corporate Europe and inflame weaknesses such as Italian banks.

David Davis, Brexit minister, has noted that more EU companies request a financial-services passport to operate in the UK than vice versa….

Source: Brexit negotiators identify UK’s trump cards

DAX in line

Germany’s DAX formed a narrow line (or consolidation) between 10200 and 10800 over the last quarter, in line with its earlier April/May highs. Declining Twiggs Money Flow is typical during a consolidation and does not have much significance unless it crosses below zero. Breakout above 10800 would signal a primary advance with a target of 11500*. Reversal below 10200, however, should not be ruled out before then.

DAX

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

Footsie dull rally

The Footsie (FTSE 100) found support at 6700 but short candlestick bodies and declining Twiggs Money Flow indicate a dull rally, without much enthusiasm from buyers. Breach of 6700 is likely and would warn of a correction to 6500.

FTSE 100

DAX hesitates

Germany’s DAX is consolidating below 10800 but Twiggs Money Flow still reflects selling pressure. Breakout above 10800 would signal a primary advance with a target of 11500* but another test of 10200 looks equally likely.

DAX

* Target calculation: 10500 + ( 10500 – 9500 ) = 11500

Footsie under selling pressure

The Footsie (FTSE 100) is testing support at 6700. Narrow candlestick bodies for the last two weeks signal indecision, while declining Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Breach of 6700 would warn of a correction to 6500. Respect of support is less likely but would indicate another test of 7100.

FTSE 100