Canada TSX: Top Momentum stocks

Interesting new stocks on my Top Momentum stock screen (Incredible Charts #48894):

Northern Graphite (daily chart)

Northern Graphite

Atna Resources (weekly chart)

Atna Resources

Connacher Oil & Gas (weekly)

Connacher Oil & Gas

Imperial Metals (weekly)

Imperial Metals

Canada: TSX 60 breakout

The TSX 60 broke through resistance at 720, signaling a primary up-trend. Recovery of 63-day Twiggs Momentum above zero strengthens the signal. Expect retracement to test the new support level, but target for the advance is 790*.

TSX 60 Index

* Target calculation: 720 + ( 720 – 650 ) = 790

India & Singapore retrace

India’s Sensex index retraced to test support at 18000 on the daily chart. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure; respect of the zero line would suggest a strong primary up-trend. Respect of 17,000 on the index chart would also be a bullish sign.

BSE Sensex Index

* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 – 15000 ) = 21000

Singapore’s Straits Times Index (weekly chart) also shows retracement. Expect a test of support at 2900. Respect of the zero line by 63-day Twiggs Momentum would confirm a strong up-trend, with an initial target of 3200*.

Singapore Straits Times Index

* Target calculation: 2900 + ( 2900 – 2600 ) = 3200

Nasdaq approaches 2650 target, S&P500 finds resistance

Nasdaq 100 index is approaching its target of 2650*. Expect retracement to test the new support level at 2400. Respect would confirm a strong up-trend despite the lower high (bearish divergence) on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow.

Nasdaq 100 Index

* Target calculation: 2400 + ( 2400 – 2150 ) = 2650

The S&P 500 encountered short-term resistance at 1370, indicated by declining 21-day Twiggs Money Flow, but the primary up-trend appears healthy. Retracement that respects support at 1300 would signal trend strength — even better if we have a narrow consolidation below the resistance level.

S&P 500 Index

* Target calculation: 1300 + ( 1300 – 1150 ) = 1450

Treating China as an enemy – Telegraph Blogs

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: China remains poor, with a per capita income of just $7,000. It faces the classic “middle income trap” in a few years time when the low-hanging fruit of catch-up growth is exhausted. The country will soon have to make the switch from copying technology to cutting-edge invention, the challenge that has defeated so many economies over the years and made a mockery of so many extrapolation curves.

As the World Bank warns in its latest report (out Monday), China risks coming down to earth with a thud unless it breaks the state stranglehold on investment.

My own guess is that China will go through a nasty little hangover as it purges toxins from the great credit boom of the last five years, before settling down to more pedestrian growth rates. It will be a big economic power, but not so vast it upturns the whole global system. It risks becoming old before it is rich.

via Treating China as an enemy – Telegraph Blogs.

Comment:~ The main threat from China is not military but economic. It has the potential to destabilize the global economy through its aggressive currency/trade policies. If the major players are able to resolve this, we are likely to see a scale-back of current tensions.

Yen’s Fall May Benefit Japan Firms – WSJ.com

TOKYO—As the yen finally buckles versus the dollar, Japan’s exporting manufacturers are sitting on potential operating-profit gains that could be worth billions of dollars on paper, likely triggering some higher earnings forecasts if current trends persist.

….Like many of Japan’s biggest companies, the big three auto makers—Toyota Motor Co., Honda Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Co.—are heavily exposed to exchange-rate fluctuations. Estimates by the three show that every ¥1 variation in the dollar exchange rate has an impact of ¥67 billion on their combined operating profit. That means the dollar’s gains since the central bank’s easing could notionally assist the three auto makers’ annual operating profit to the tune of ¥165 billion, or more than $2 billion at recent exchange rates.

via Yen’s Fall May Benefit Japan Firms – WSJ.com.

Canada’s Household Debt Is Rising – WSJ.com

OTTAWA—Increased household debt in Canada, underpinned by rising house prices and low interest rates, poses a key domestic risk to financial stability, the Bank of Canada said on Thursday.

The finding, contained in the central bank’s quarterly economic review, was the latest in a series of warnings from economists and Canadian officials that high consumer borrowing has emerged as one of the economy’s biggest risks. Household debt stood at over 150% of personal disposable income as of the third quarter of last year, the report noted.

via Canada’s Household Debt Is Rising – WSJ.com.

New Push for Reform in China – WSJ.com

An exclusive preview of an economic report on China, prepared by the World Bank and government insiders considered to have the ear of the nation’s leaders, offers a surprising prescription: China could face an economic crisis unless it implements deep reforms, including scaling back its vast state-owned enterprises and making them operate more like commercial firms.

……The report warns that China’s growth is in danger of decelerating rapidly and without much warning. That is what has occurred with other highflying developing countries, such as Brazil and Mexico, once they reached a certain income level, a phenomenon that economists call the “middle-income trap.” A sharp slowdown could deepen problems in the Chinese banking sector and elsewhere, the report warns, and could prompt a crisis, according to those involved with the project.

via New Push for Reform in China – WSJ.com.

Forex: Euro, Pound Sterling, Yen and Rand

The euro broke medium-term resistance at $1.32, indicating a rally to test the descending trendline at $1.38*. Momentum is rising but the primary trend remains downward.

Index

* Target calculation: 1.32 + ( 1.32 – 1.26 ) = 1.38

Pound Sterling broke its descending trendline, but respect of the zero line by 63-day Twiggs Momentum suggests continuation of the primary down-trend. A fall below $1.565 (the last two weeks low) would warn of another test of primary support at $1.530. Recovery above $1.590 is less likely, but would indicate a rally to test $1.620.

Index

The greenback broke through resistance at ¥80 and is now retracing to test its new support level. Respect would confirm a primary up-trend, signaled by the long-term bullish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum (and its recovery above zero).

Index

* Target calculation: 80 + ( 80 – 75 ) = 85

The Aussie Dollar consolidated against the South African Rand in recent months after a long appreciation. 63-day Twiggs Momentum is declining and breakout below R8.00 would warn of a correction to the rising trendline, with a target of R7.50*. Upward breakout, however, would offer an initial target of R9.00.

Index

* Target calculation: 8.00 – ( 8.50 – 8.00 ) = 7.50