Japan bullish, but India & China reflect selling pressure

Japan’s Nikkei 225 is retracing to test its latest support level at 16000. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow after a trough above zero indicates buying pressure. Respect of support would confirm a primary advance, with a long-term target of 17500*. A rising Dollar/Yen exchange rate would strengthen the signal. Breach of the rising trendline is unlikely, but would warn of another correction.

Nikkei 225

* Target calculation: 15000 + ( 15000 – 12500 ) = 17500

China’s Shanghai Composite breached support at 2080, confirming the primary down-trend. Expect support at 1950: the low of December 2012 and respected in 2013. Twiggs Money Flow below zero indicates selling pressure. Recovery above 2080 is unlikely but would warn of a bear trap.

Shanghai Composite Index

India’s Sensex encountered strong resistance at 21200 and declining 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Expect another test of support at 20200. Failure would warn of a primary down-trend. Breakout above 21200 is unlikely in the next few weeks, but would suggest a primary advance to 22000*.

Sensex

* Target calculation: 21000 + ( 21000 – 20000 ) = 22000