{"id":9395,"date":"2014-03-08T03:35:47","date_gmt":"2014-03-08T08:35:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=9395"},"modified":"2014-03-08T03:35:47","modified_gmt":"2014-03-08T08:35:47","slug":"recession-time-for-russia-the-market-monetarist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/08\/recession-time-for-russia-the-market-monetarist\/","title":{"rendered":"Recession time for Russia | The Market Monetarist"},"content":{"rendered":"

Lars Christensen at The Market Monetarist<\/em> writes:<\/p>\n

\n

….. sharply increased geo-political tensions in relationship to Putin\u2019s military intervention on the peninsula of Crimea has clearly shocked foreign investors who are now dumping Russian assets on large scale. Just Monday this week the Russian stock market fell in excess of 10% and some of the major bank stocks lost 20% of their value on a single day.<\/p>\n

In response to this massive outflow the Russian central bank \u2013 foolishly in my view \u2013 hiked its key policy rate by 150bp and intervened heavily in the currency market to prop up the rouble on Monday. Some commentators have suggested that the CBR might have spent more than USD 10bn of the foreign currency reserve just on Monday. Thereby inflicting greater harm to the Russian economy than any of the planned sanctions by EU and the US against Russia.<\/p>\n

By definition a drop in foreign currency reserve translates directly into a contraction in the money base combined with the CBR\u2019s rate hike we this week has seen a very significant tightening of monetary conditions in Russia \u2013 something which is likely to send the Russian economy into recession (understood as one or two quarters of negative real GDP growth).<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Read more at Recession time for Russia \u2013 the ultra wonkish version | The Market Monetarist<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lars Christensen at The Market Monetarist writes: ….. sharply increased geo-political tensions in relationship to Putin\u2019s military intervention on the peninsula of Crimea has clearly shocked foreign investors who are now dumping Russian assets on large scale. Just Monday this week the Russian stock market fell in excess of 10% and some of the major … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Recession time for Russia | The Market Monetarist”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,26],"tags":[616,892,2880,3006,3007],"class_list":["post-9395","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-russia-former-ussr","tag-cbr","tag-crimea","tag-recession","tag-russia","tag-russian-central-bank"],"yoast_head":"\nRecession time for Russia | The Market Monetarist - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Recession time for Russia | The Market Monetarist - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Lars Christensen at The Market Monetarist writes: ….. sharply increased geo-political tensions in relationship to Putin\u2019s military intervention on the peninsula of Crimea has clearly shocked foreign investors who are now dumping Russian assets on large scale. 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