{"id":8997,"date":"2014-01-23T06:19:25","date_gmt":"2014-01-23T11:19:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=8997"},"modified":"2014-01-23T06:19:25","modified_gmt":"2014-01-23T11:19:25","slug":"roiling-the-waters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/01\/23\/roiling-the-waters\/","title":{"rendered":"China: Roiling the Waters"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Roiling the Waters: Why the United States needs to stop playing peacemaker and start making China feel uncomfortable.<\/h2>\n<p>BY Elbridge Colby, Ely Ratner<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>History has demonstrated the perils of focusing too much on stability at the expense of deterrence. The Cuban missile crisis, the modern world&#8217;s closest brush with the apocalypse, was precipitated by Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev&#8217;s perception that the United States, especially President John F. Kennedy, was overly concerned about stability and cooling tensions between the superpowers. Khrushchev&#8217;s sense that America could be pushed was formed by Kennedy&#8217;s cautious reactions to assertive Soviet moves toward Berlin, as well as Khrushchev&#8217;s measure of Kennedy at the 1961 Vienna superpower summit as &#8220;weak&#8221; and accommodating&#8230;&#8230;..<\/p>\n<p>OF COURSE, CHINA IS NOT THE SOVIET UNION. And 2014 is not 1962. The point is simply that a country with the power of the USSR or China, unsatisfied with features of the existing order, motivated to do something to change it, and skeptical of the resolve of the United States, could well pursue a policy of coercion and brinkmanship, even under the shadow of nuclear weapons. As historian Francis Gavin has argued, the whole history of the Cold War shows that countries like China &#8212; and, at times, the United States &#8212; can bluff, coerce, and threaten their way to geopolitical gain.<\/p>\n<p>The worst way to deal with such a power is to leave it with the impression that these approaches work. Just as the United States would have been far better off if Kennedy, at the Vienna summit, had squelched Khrushchev&#8217;s doubts about his resolve to defend Berlin, it will be far better if the leadership in Beijing has the clear sense that the United States will meet each challenge to its and its allies&#8217; interests resolutely.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Read more at <a href='http:\/\/www.foreignpolicy.com\/articles\/2014\/01\/21\/roiling_the_waters'>Roiling the Waters<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>An appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile, hoping it will eat him last.<br \/>\n~ Winston Churchill<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Roiling the Waters: Why the United States needs to stop playing peacemaker and start making China feel uncomfortable. BY Elbridge Colby, Ely Ratner History has demonstrated the perils of focusing too much on stability at the expense of deterrence. The Cuban missile crisis, the modern world&#8217;s closest brush with the apocalypse, was precipitated by Soviet &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/01\/23\/roiling-the-waters\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;China: Roiling the Waters&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,29,34],"tags":[211,501,730,906,1535,2019,2026],"class_list":["post-8997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-the-big-picture","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-appeasement","tag-brinkmanship","tag-cold-war","tag-cuba","tag-geo-politics","tag-kennedy","tag-khrushchev"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China: Roiling the Waters - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China: Roiling the Waters - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Roiling the Waters: Why the United States needs to stop playing peacemaker and start making China feel uncomfortable. 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Bruce Riedel\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/R342EtcN2Yo\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":10048,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/21\/how-indonesia-and-the-philippines-solved-their-maritime-dispute-the-diplomat\/","url_meta":{"origin":8997,"position":1},"title":"How Indonesia and the Philippines Solved Their Maritime Dispute | The Diplomat","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 21, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Arif Havas Oegroseno is Indonesia\u2019s Ambassador to Belgium, Luxembourg and the EU, and President of the 20th Meeting of the States Parties of United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) 1982: There are two important lessons arising from the negotiations between Indonesia and the Philippines over their\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7409,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/04\/one-soviet-leader-china-could-emulateand-its-not-gorbachev-the-diplomat\/","url_meta":{"origin":8997,"position":2},"title":"One Soviet Leader China Could Emulate\u2026and it\u2019s not Gorbachev | The Diplomat","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 4, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Professor Minxin Pei analyzes the options facing the Chinese Communist Party: ...it appears that what informs the political thinking of China\u2019s new leadership is the experience of the late-Soviet regime. In particular, three different leaders and their policies apparently weigh heavily on the minds of the new occupants of Zhongnanhai.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":27960,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/09\/22\/will-beijing-step-in-to-halt-the-evergrande-contagion\/","url_meta":{"origin":8997,"position":3},"title":"Will Beijing step in to halt the Evergrande contagion?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 22, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The impending collapse of China Evergrande is roiling global financial markets. 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Kissinger reflects on the events, personalities, and thinking that characterized the United States and Soviet Union's leadership.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/i3I6CKXQSFY\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":15118,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/04\/07\/navigating-great-power-rivalry-in-the-21st-century\/","url_meta":{"origin":8997,"position":5},"title":"Navigating Great Power Rivalry in the 21st Century","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 7, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Michael J. Mazarr is senior political scientist at the nonprofit, nonpartisan RAND Corporation and associate director of the Strategy, Doctrine and Resources Program of the RAND Arroyo Center: The configuration of power in the international system is changing, which is precisely why revisionist powers such as Russia and China feel\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The Big Picture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The Big Picture","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/the-big-picture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8997","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8997"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8997\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8997"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8997"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8997"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}