{"id":8805,"date":"2013-11-27T21:46:42","date_gmt":"2013-11-28T02:46:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=8805"},"modified":"2013-11-27T21:46:42","modified_gmt":"2013-11-28T02:46:42","slug":"gold-1200-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/11\/27\/gold-1200-next\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold: $1200 next?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Spot gold consolidating in a narrow band below support at $1250\/ounce suggests a test of $1200. The 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero strengthens the signal. Breakout below the June low ($1200) would confirm a primary down-trend. Recovery above $1260 is unlikely, but would indicate a rally to $1350.<\/p>\n

\"Spot<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1250 – ( 1350 – 1250 ) = 1150<\/p>\n

Silver broke through support at $20.50\/ounce and is headed for a test of primary support at $18\/ounce. Completion of a 13-week Twiggs Momentum peak below zero warns of a primary down-trend. Breach of primary support would confirm.<\/p>\n

\"Spot<\/p>\n

Often a leading indicator of spot prices, the Gold Bugs Index, representing un-hedged gold stocks, broke primary support at 210 to signal a primary down-trend. Completion of a 13-week Twiggs Momentum peak below zero would strengthen the signal.<\/p>\n

\"Gold<\/p>\n

Dollar Index<\/h3>\n

The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes retreated below 2.75. Breakout would signal a fresh primary advance, with a target of 3.50 percent* (breakout above 3.00 percent would confirm). Reversal below the rising trendline is less likely, but would warn of trend weakness and another test of 2.50. Higher yields would help strengthen the dollar.<\/p>\n

\"10-Year<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 3.00 + ( 3.00 – 2.50 ) = 3.50<\/p>\n

The Dollar Index retraced to test the new support level at 80.50. Completion of a 13-week Twiggs Momentum peak below zero would warn of a primary down-trend. Breach of primary support at 79 would confirm. Breakout above 81.50 remains as likely, however, and would indicate an advance to 84*.<\/p>\n

\"Dollar<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 81.5 + ( 81.5 – 79 ) = 84<\/p>\n

Higher interest rates and a stronger dollar would increase downward pressure on gold.<\/p>\n

Crude Oil<\/h3>\n

Nymex crude is undergoing a strong correction and is likely to test primary support at $85\/$86 per barrel. Reversal of 13-Week Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of a primary down-trend. Brent crude is rising despite an easing of tensions with Iran. The primary reason for the divergence is supply. Iain Armstrong, oil analyst at Brewin Dolphin, earlier in the year explained<\/a> that Brent is effectively a global brand — affected by global issues of supply\/demand — while Nymex is a “local” brand and benefits from plentiful shale oil in the US.<\/p>\n

\"Brent<\/p>\n

Commodity Prices<\/h3>\n

A resurgent Shanghai Composite Index is supporting commodity prices. Recovery of the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index above 126 would indicate a bear trap. A peak below zero on 13-week Twiggs Momentum, however, warns of a continuing down-trend. Respect of the resistance level, as indicated by follow-through below 122, would signal a decline to 114*. <\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 124 – ( 134 – 124 ) = 114<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Spot gold consolidating in a narrow band below support at $1250\/ounce suggests a test of $1200. The 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero strengthens the signal. Breakout below the June low ($1200) would confirm a primary down-trend. Recovery above $1260 is unlikely, but would indicate a rally to $1350. * Target calculation: 1250 – ( … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Gold: $1200 next?”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[43,44,6,9,35],"tags":[70,495,1073,1125,1580,2526,3100,3204,3206],"class_list":["post-8805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commodities-gold-commodities","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-fixed-income","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-brent-crude","tag-dollar-index","tag-dow-jones-ubs-commodities-index","tag-gold-bugs-index","tag-nymex-crude","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-spot-gold","tag-spot-silver"],"yoast_head":"\nGold: $1200 next? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold: $1200 next? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Spot gold consolidating in a narrow band below support at $1250\/ounce suggests a test of $1200. 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Follow-through above 2.75 would indicate a fresh primary advance, with a target of 3.50 percent*. A 13-week Twiggs Momentum trough above zero would strengthen the signal. Respect of resistance is unlikely, but would warn of another test of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8823,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/12\/04\/gold-support-at-1200\/","url_meta":{"origin":8805,"position":1},"title":"Gold support at $1200","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 4, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold The long tail on this week's candle reflects buying support for spot gold at $1200\/ounce. Recovery above $1250 would suggest another rally to $1350. But the 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero warns of a down-trend. And breach of primary support at $1200 would confirm. * Target calculation: 1250\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8774,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/11\/20\/rising-interest-rates-drive-gold-through-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":8805,"position":2},"title":"Rising interest rates drive gold through support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 20, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes followed through above 2.75, indicating a fresh primary advance, with a target of 3.50 percent*. Breakout above 3.00 percent would confirm. Completion of a 13-week Twiggs Momentum trough above zero (recovery above say 30%) would strengthen the signal. Reversal below the rising trendline is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8691,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/30\/will-dollar-support-stem-gold-silver-rise\/","url_meta":{"origin":8805,"position":3},"title":"Will dollar support stem gold & silver rise?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 30, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index found support at the 2012 low of 79 and is likely to test resistance at 80.50. Respect would confirm the primary down-trend, with a medium-term target of 77.50*. Breakout above 80.50 is unlikely, but would indicate strong support. The falling dollar is expected to boost gold and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8421,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/09\/12\/gold-tests-key-support-at-1350ounce\/","url_meta":{"origin":8805,"position":4},"title":"Gold tests key support at $1350\/ounce","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 12, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Spot gold is testing its rising trendline and support at $1350. Breach of support would warn that another test of primary support at $1200 is likely. Respect of the trendline, however, remains as likely and would offer a target of $1500*. Breakout above the standard deviation trend channel suggests that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5267,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/14\/dollar-up-trend-continues-gold-finds-support-commodities-range-widely\/","url_meta":{"origin":8805,"position":5},"title":"Dollar up-trend continues, gold finds support, commodities range widely","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 14, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The US Dollar Index is testing support at 81.50\/82.00. Respect of support and the rising trendline would confirm the primary up-trend is intact, offering a target of 86.00*. Breakout above 83.50\/84.00 would confirm the advance. In the longer term, expect a test of the 2010 high at 88.50. Oscillation of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8805","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8805"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8805\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8805"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8805"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8805"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}