{"id":8633,"date":"2013-10-16T21:04:59","date_gmt":"2013-10-17T01:04:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=8633"},"modified":"2013-10-16T21:04:59","modified_gmt":"2013-10-17T01:04:59","slug":"dollar-bear-trap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar bear trap?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Dollar Index found support at 80. Recovery above 81 would suggest a bear trap. A peak close to zero on 13-week Twiggs Momentum, however, indicates a primary down-trend. Reversal below 80 would confirm the long-term target of 76.50*.<\/p>\n<p>A falling dollar would boost gold prices.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" title=\"Dollar Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 80.5 &#8211; ( 84.5 &#8211; 80.5 ) = 76.5<\/p>\n<p>The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes threatens recovery above 2.70 percent, which would signal an advance to 3.40 percent. Failure of support at 2.60 is unlikely, but would warn of a correction to 2.40 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Rising treasury yields would lift the dollar, while raising the opportunity cost of holding precious metals and exerting downward pressure on gold.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yields\" title=\"10-Year Treasury Yields\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-tnx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 3.00 + ( 3.00 &#8211; 2.60 ) = 3.40<\/p>\n<h3>Gold<\/h3>\n<p>Spot gold continues its correction toward primary support at $1200. Follow-through below $1250 would confirm, while recovery above $1300 would suggest a higher trough and primary up-trend. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum peaking below zero, however, would indicate continuation of the down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" title=\"Spot Gold\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-gold.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>Crude Oil<\/h3>\n<p>Nymex light crude is edging lower and likely to test medium-term support at $98\/barrel. Brent crude is diverging, reflecting continuing tensions over Syria.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Brent Crude and Nymex Crude\" title=\"Brent Crude and Nymex Crude\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-crude.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>Commodity Prices<\/h3>\n<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index is testing medium-term support at 2150. Downward breakout would warn of another correction &mdash; a bearish sign for commodity prices. Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index shows evidence of a higher trough, however, and recovery above 130 would signal a primary up-trend. Bullish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Momentum also suggests a reversal.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Dow Jones UBS Commodities Index\" title=\"Dow Jones UBS Commodities Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dubs.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 130 + ( 130 &#8211; 125 ) = 135<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Dollar Index found support at 80. Recovery above 81 would suggest a bear trap. A peak close to zero on 13-week Twiggs Momentum, however, indicates a primary down-trend. Reversal below 80 would confirm the long-term target of 76.50*. A falling dollar would boost gold prices. * Target calculation: 80.5 &#8211; ( 84.5 &#8211; 80.5 &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Dollar bear trap?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[43,44,9,35],"tags":[70,495,1073,1127,2526,3100,3204],"class_list":["post-8633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commodities-gold-commodities","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-brent-crude","tag-dollar-index","tag-dow-jones-ubs-commodity-index","tag-nymex-crude","tag-shanghai-composite-index","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dollar bear trap? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dollar bear trap? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Dollar Index found support at 80. Recovery above 81 would suggest a bear trap. A peak close to zero on 13-week Twiggs Momentum, however, indicates a primary down-trend. Reversal below 80 would confirm the long-term target of 76.50*. A falling dollar would boost gold prices. * Target calculation: 80.5 &#8211; ( 84.5 &#8211; 80.5 &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Dollar bear trap?&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-10-17T01:04:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Dollar bear trap?\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-10-17T01:04:59+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/\"},\"wordCount\":225,\"commentCount\":3,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png\",\"keywords\":[\"10-Year Treasury Yields\",\"Brent crude\",\"Dollar Index\",\"Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index\",\"Nymex Crude\",\"Shanghai Composite Index\",\"Spot Gold\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Commodities\",\"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas\",\"Gold &amp; Precious Metals\",\"US Dollar Index\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/\",\"name\":\"Dollar bear trap? - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-10-17T01:04:59+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Dollar bear trap?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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Recovery above 81 would suggest a bear trap. A peak close to zero on 13-week Twiggs Momentum, however, indicates a primary down-trend. Reversal below 80 would confirm the long-term target of 76.50*. A falling dollar would boost gold prices. * Target calculation: 80.5 &#8211; ( 84.5 &#8211; 80.5 &hellip; Continue reading \"Dollar bear trap?\"","og_url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/","og_site_name":"the patient investor","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","article_published_time":"2013-10-17T01:04:59+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"ColinTwiggs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"ColinTwiggs","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/"},"author":{"name":"ColinTwiggs","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5"},"headline":"Dollar bear trap?","datePublished":"2013-10-17T01:04:59+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/"},"wordCount":225,"commentCount":3,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png","keywords":["10-Year Treasury Yields","Brent crude","Dollar Index","Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index","Nymex Crude","Shanghai Composite Index","Spot Gold"],"articleSection":["Commodities","Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","Gold &amp; Precious Metals","US Dollar Index"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/","name":"Dollar bear trap? - the patient investor","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png","datePublished":"2013-10-17T01:04:59+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-17-dxy.png"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/16\/dollar-bear-trap\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Dollar bear trap?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","name":"The Patient Investor","description":"Smart. 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Breach of the 2012 lows at 79 would confirm a long-term target of 76.50*. The falling dollar is boosting gold prices. * Target calculation: 80.5 - ( 84.5 - 80.5 ) = 76.5 The yield\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8519,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/02\/gold-breaks-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":8633,"position":1},"title":"Gold breaks support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 2, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Spot gold broke support at $1300\/ounce, indicating a test of the primary level at $1200\/ounce. Follow-through below $1270 would confirm. Completion of a 13-week Twiggs Momentum peak below zero would be a strong bear signal. Dollar Index The Dollar Index is consolidating below the recent primary support level of 80.50.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8590,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/10\/commodity-prices-bullish-divergence\/","url_meta":{"origin":8633,"position":2},"title":"Commodity prices: bullish divergence","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 10, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Commodity prices continue to display weakness, with a tall shadow on the latest Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index weekly candle. But the Shanghai Composite Index is strengthening and bullish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Momentum suggests a reversal. Recovery above 130 would signal a primary up-trend. Rising commodity prices would be good\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8488,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/09\/26\/dollar-and-treasuries-likely-to-lift-gold\/","url_meta":{"origin":8633,"position":3},"title":"Dollar and Treasuries likely to lift Gold","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 26, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Spot gold continues to test support at $1300\/ounce. Failure of support would visit the primary level at $1200\/ounce, while respect would test $1440. Breach of the downward trend channel indicates the primary trend is slowing, but recovery above $1440, and a primary up-trend, seem some way off \u2014 as does\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8691,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/30\/will-dollar-support-stem-gold-silver-rise\/","url_meta":{"origin":8633,"position":4},"title":"Will dollar support stem gold &#038; silver rise?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 30, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index found support at the 2012 low of 79 and is likely to test resistance at 80.50. Respect would confirm the primary down-trend, with a medium-term target of 77.50*. Breakout above 80.50 is unlikely, but would indicate strong support. The falling dollar is expected to boost gold and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10603,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/14\/strong-dollar-weakens-gold\/","url_meta":{"origin":8633,"position":5},"title":"Strong Dollar weakens gold","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 14, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Treasury yields decline Dollar strengthens Crude oil weakens Gold hesitates Interest Rates and the Dollar The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes is testing support at 2.40 percent. Breach would confirm a primary decline with a target of 2.00 percent*. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum holding below zero strengthens the bear signal. Recovery\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-14-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-14-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-14-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8633"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8633\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}