{"id":8528,"date":"2013-10-03T01:25:07","date_gmt":"2013-10-03T05:25:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=8528"},"modified":"2013-10-03T01:25:07","modified_gmt":"2013-10-03T05:25:07","slug":"china-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/03\/china-recovery\/","title":{"rendered":"China recovery"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index is testing support at 2150 and the lower trend channel. Recovery above the descending trendline would suggest another rally, while failure of support would warn of a correction to primary support at 1950. The index hints at long-term recovery but further confirmation is necessary.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-03-ssec.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Harper Petersen Index, from ship brokers Harper Petersen &amp; Co., indicates that shipping rates for container vessels remain depressed, suggesting a sluggish global trade in manufactured goods. Exporters like China would be severely affected.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Harper Petersen Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-03-harper.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Baltic Dry Index &#8212; reflecting dry bulk shipping rates for commodities like iron ore and coal &#8212; jumped sharply, however, reflecting an upturn in demand for bulk commodities.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Baltic Dry Index\" alt=\"Baltic Dry Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-10-03-bdi.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Bulk commodity prices remain depressed according to the RBA.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"RBA Bulk Commodity Prices\" alt=\"RBA Bulk Commodity Prices\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/15bl-blkcomp.gif?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><br \/>\nBut export volumes are rising, in step with the Baltic Dry Index, reflecting strong demand from infrastructure development.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"RBA Bulk Commodity Exports\" alt=\"RBA Bulk Commodity Exports\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/16tr-bcomx.gif?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"WSJ: Brighter Picture\" href=\"http:\/\/blogs.wsj.com\/chinarealtime\/2013\/09\/12\/brighter-picture-china-has-record-power-output\/\" target=\"_blank\">WSJ<\/a> reports that monthly electricity consumption has reached a new high:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>China on Tuesday posted an all-time record-high electricity output level of 498.7 billion kilowatt-hours in August, rising 13% from a year earlier.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Monthly fluctuations should largely be ignored because of weather variation &#8212; excessively hot months like August can boost electricity demand &#8212; but the rising long-term trend in electricity consumption (chart from IndexMundi) suggests a robust recovery. A recovery led primarily by infrastructure investment rather than manufactured exports may well prove unsustainable in the long-term, but should provide welcome relief to the resources sector in the next few years.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Electricity Consumption\" alt=\"Electricity Consumption\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/china-electricity.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index is testing support at 2150 and the lower trend channel. Recovery above the descending trendline would suggest another rally, while failure of support would warn of a correction to primary support at 1950. The index hints at long-term recovery but further confirmation is necessary. The Harper Petersen Index, from ship brokers &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/03\/china-recovery\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;China recovery&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,41,5],"tags":[338,519,806,1212,1650,3100],"class_list":["post-8528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-china-hk","category-economy","tag-baltic-dry-index","tag-bulk-commodity-exports","tag-container-shipping","tag-electricity-consumption","tag-harper-petersen-index","tag-shanghai-composite-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China recovery - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China recovery - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index is testing support at 2150 and the lower trend channel. Recovery above the descending trendline would suggest another rally, while failure of support would warn of a correction to primary support at 1950. The index hints at long-term recovery but further confirmation is necessary. 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Rising demand for container shipping suggests that manufacturing and finished goods exports are recovering. Copper and Iron ore prices are trending upwards. But the Baltic Dry Index, reflecting dry\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8186,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/07\/31\/china-exports\/","url_meta":{"origin":8528,"position":1},"title":"China exports","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 31, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Shipping rates for container vessels remain at depressed levels, close to the lows of 2009, according to the\u00a0The Harper Petersen Index from ship brokers Harper Petersen & Co. This reflects the depressed level of global trade in manufactured goods. Major exporters like China are the most severely affected.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2455,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/29\/china-manufacturing-exports-shrink\/","url_meta":{"origin":8528,"position":2},"title":"China manufacturing exports shrink","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 29, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The Harper Petersen Index shows a fall in container shipping rates in the last few months, reflecting a sharp decline in manufacturing exports. Bloomberg (hat tip to macrobusiness.com.au) now reports that \"the cost of hauling goods to Europe from China (its largest export market) is falling faster than rates for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19673,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/01\/22\/global-commodities-economic-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":8528,"position":3},"title":"Commodities &#038; Global Growth","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 22, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Commodity prices warn that the global economy is still in a slump. The Dow Jones - UBS Commodity Index remains at one-third of its 2007 peak, with no sign of recovery. The fall in crude prices hasn't been as severe, but Brent Crude is again weakening and looks set for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":684,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/09\/06\/harpex-container-index-stalls\/","url_meta":{"origin":8528,"position":4},"title":"Harpex Container Index stalls","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 6, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The Harpex Index of container ship rates is retreating. Failure of support at 600 would warn of another test of the 2010 low. The index, calculated by Harper Petersen ship brokers, reflects international demand for container vessels and is a useful measure of international trade in light manufactured goods. Falling\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11697,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/04\/09\/upsurge-in-global-trade\/","url_meta":{"origin":8528,"position":5},"title":"Upsurge in global trade?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 9, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"While commodity prices are tanking, with iron ore now trading below $50 per tonne, there are signs that international shipping of manufactured goods is on the increase. Shipbrokers Harper Petersen publish the Harpex, a weekly index of charter rates for container vessels. The recent up-turn reflects increased demand for container\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8528","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8528"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8528\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}