{"id":8507,"date":"2013-10-01T02:03:08","date_gmt":"2013-10-01T06:03:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=8507"},"modified":"2013-10-01T02:03:08","modified_gmt":"2013-10-01T06:03:08","slug":"crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/01\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\/","title":{"rendered":"Crawling, not walking, to non-mining led growth | MacroBusiness"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leith van Onselen quotes the latest JP Morgan report on the Australian economy:<\/p>\n

\n

…risk of a recession is \u201cinevitably higher now than usual; the economy has built up vulnerabilities over time that have been masked by the continued growth in output and national income\u2026 the downside of avoiding recession is that Australia has carried these excesses through a succession of growth cycles\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Households are particularly at risk from expensive house prices and high levels of household debt. Which brings me back to the unnecessary risks bank regulators are taking by condoning low bank capital ratios of between 4.0% and 4.5% of total credit exposure. Risk-weighting of bank assets provided a smokescreen, inflating perceived ratios to around 10%, while encouraging over-exposure to (low risk-weighted) residential mortgages.<\/p>\n

Read more at Crawling, not walking, to non-mining led growth | | MacroBusiness<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Leith van Onselen quotes the latest JP Morgan report on the Australian economy: …risk of a recession is \u201cinevitably higher now than usual; the economy has built up vulnerabilities over time that have been masked by the continued growth in output and national income\u2026 the downside of avoiding recession is that Australia has carried these … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Crawling, not walking, to non-mining led growth | MacroBusiness”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[290,348,1726,1736,1992],"class_list":["post-8507","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","tag-australia","tag-bank-capital-ratios","tag-household-debt","tag-housing-bubble","tag-jp-morgan"],"yoast_head":"\nCrawling, not walking, to non-mining led growth | MacroBusiness - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Crawling, not walking, to non-mining led growth | MacroBusiness - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Leith van Onselen quotes the latest JP Morgan report on the Australian economy: …risk of a recession is \u201cinevitably higher now than usual; the economy has built up vulnerabilities over time that have been masked by the continued growth in output and national income\u2026 the downside of avoiding recession is that Australia has carried these … Continue reading "Crawling, not walking, to non-mining led growth | MacroBusiness"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/01\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-10-01T06:03:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/10\\\/01\\\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/10\\\/01\\\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Crawling, not walking, to non-mining led growth | MacroBusiness\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-10-01T06:03:08+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/10\\\/01\\\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":141,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Australia\",\"bank capital ratios\",\"household debt\",\"housing bubble\",\"JP Morgan\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Australia & NZ\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/10\\\/01\\\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/10\\\/01\\\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/10\\\/01\\\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\\\/\",\"name\":\"Crawling, not walking, to non-mining led growth | MacroBusiness - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2013-10-01T06:03:08+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/10\\\/01\\\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/10\\\/01\\\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/10\\\/01\\\/crawling-not-walking-to-non-mining-led-growth-macrobusiness\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Crawling, not walking, to non-mining led growth | MacroBusiness\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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Wages growth is slowing, with the Wage Price Index falling sharply. Falling growth in disposable income is holding back consumption (e.g. retail spending) and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16497,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/07\/05\/australia-the-good-news-and-the-bad-news\/","url_meta":{"origin":8507,"position":1},"title":"Australia: Good news and bad news","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 5, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"First, the good news from the RBA chart pack. Exports continue to climb, especially in the Resources sector. Manufacturing is the only flat spot. Business investment remains weak and is likely to impact on long-term growth in both profits and wages. The decline is particularly steep in the Manufacturing sector\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5652,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/03\/australia-rba-overview\/","url_meta":{"origin":8507,"position":2},"title":"Australia: RBA overview","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 3, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"A quick review of the RBA chart pack released today. Household finances remain in a precarious position with debt at 150 percent of disposable income -- three times the level of the early nineties. 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So no matter which\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16000,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/10\/06\/australian-banks-under-selling-pressure\/","url_meta":{"origin":8507,"position":4},"title":"Australian banks under selling pressure","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 6, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The ASX 300 Banks index are a major drag on the broad market index. Having respected resistance at 8500, a test of primary support at 8000 is likely. Twiggs Trend Index peaks below zero warn of strong selling pressure. Return on equity is falling. A combination of narrow interest margins.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7960,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/30\/lurking-beneath-australias-aaa-economy-on-line-opinion\/","url_meta":{"origin":8507,"position":5},"title":"Lurking beneath Australia’s AAA economy… | On Line Opinion","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 30, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Kellie Tranter highlights the unstable position of the big Australian banks: Australia has had a current account deficit since the 1980s. That means we are spending more than we are earning. We've had to sell public assets to balance the current account deficit. 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