{"id":8414,"date":"2013-09-09T22:32:09","date_gmt":"2013-09-10T02:32:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=8414"},"modified":"2013-09-09T22:32:09","modified_gmt":"2013-09-10T02:32:09","slug":"why-this-is-a-bad-time-to-win-an-election-business-spectator","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/09\/09\/why-this-is-a-bad-time-to-win-an-election-business-spectator\/","title":{"rendered":"Why this is a bad time to win an election | Business Spectator"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Prof. Steve Keen writes:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>So what could the future hold for Prime Minister Abbott? Here I have a hunch that he\u2019ll end up suffering a similar fate, not to the previous Liberal leader he admires \u2013 John Howard \u2013 but to &#8230;.. Malcolm Fraser.<\/p>\n<p>Fraser, as noted, had the good fortune to take over from Whitlam after the bursting of the debt bubble was largely over, but the bad fortune that the revival in Australia&#8217;s bubble was considerably more anaemic than America\u2019s. Abbott could well find himself experiencing a similar double-edged sword of fate. He will take over when the deleveraging that caused the GFC has come to a temporary halt, and demand will be rising in the US&#8230;.. But this rise could peter out even more quickly than it did for Fraser, leading to anaemic economic performance that will be blamed on the politician rather than the times.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Read more at <a href='http:\/\/www.businessspectator.com.au\/article\/2013\/9\/10\/economy\/why-bad-time-win-election'>Why this is a bad time to win an election | Business Spectator<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Prof. Steve Keen writes: So what could the future hold for Prime Minister Abbott? Here I have a hunch that he\u2019ll end up suffering a similar fate, not to the previous Liberal leader he admires \u2013 John Howard \u2013 but to &#8230;.. Malcolm Fraser. Fraser, as noted, had the good fortune to take over from &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/09\/09\/why-this-is-a-bad-time-to-win-an-election-business-spectator\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Why this is a bad time to win an election | Business Spectator&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,5],"tags":[993,1527,3244,3433],"class_list":["post-8414","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-economy","tag-deleveraging","tag-gdp-growth","tag-steve-keen","tag-tony-abbott"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why this is a bad time to win an election | Business Spectator - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why this is a bad time to win an election | Business Spectator - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Prof. Steve Keen writes: So what could the future hold for Prime Minister Abbott? 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There may be alternative, less radical measures that could be taken to help the de-leveraging process but his basic message is right: deleveraging could cause 10 years or more of pain if we do not take measures to address\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economic Theory&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economic Theory","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/economic-theory\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/rGkmgnprrIU\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":2678,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/18\/debt-and-deleveraging-the-global-credit-bubble-and-its-economic-consequences-mckinsey-global-institute-financial-markets-mckinsey-company\/","url_meta":{"origin":8414,"position":1},"title":"Debt and deleveraging: The global credit bubble and its economic consequences | McKinsey Global Institute","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 18, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Empirically, a long period of deleveraging nearly always follows a major financial crisis. Deleveraging episodes are painful, lasting six to seven years on average and reducing the ratio of debt to GDP by 25 percent. GDP typically contracts during the first several years and then recovers. via Debt and deleveraging:\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Debt Levels&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13551,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/07\/09\/steve-keen-australian-mortgage-debt-levels-are-outrageous\/","url_meta":{"origin":8414,"position":2},"title":"Steve Keen: Australian mortgage debt levels are &#8220;outrageous&#8221;","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 9, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Steve Keen has a number of detractors who knock him for his incorrect forecast of collapse of the Australian housing bubble. But he was wrong for the right reasons.... the Australian financial system, based on highly-levered mortgages, is a house of cards. It was only rescued post-GFC by massive stimulus\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/W_lcbjxna74\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":9837,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/05\/20\/use-land-taxes-to-plug-budget-holes-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":8414,"position":3},"title":"Use land taxes to plug budget holes || Macrobusiness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 20, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Great post from Unconventional Economist (reproduced with kind permission from Macrobusiness) gets to the heart of the current budget stoush. Cross-posted from David Collyer at Prosper Australia Sometimes, through the smoke and fireworks of the national debate a political commentator sees the path forward and points the way. Today in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Land Taxes","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/ScreenHunter_18-Jul.-05-10.22-200x200.gif?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":14902,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/03\/06\/can-australia-dodge-the-great-deleveraging-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":8414,"position":4},"title":"Can Australia dodge the great deleveraging? | MacroBusiness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 6, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Interesting chart from UBS (via Macrobusiness). Movement between 2002 and 2016 for a number of Developed and Emerging Market (DM and EM) countries in the ratio of bank credit to GDP and bank debt to credit. The good guys are in the top left corner and the bad guys bottom\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1680,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/31\/nothings-changed-steve-keens-debtwatch-2009\/","url_meta":{"origin":8414,"position":5},"title":"Nothing&#8217;s changed &#8211; Steve Keen&#8217;s Debtwatch (2009)","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 31, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"In fact \u201cnormal\u201d for the last half century has been an unsustainable growth in debt, which has finally reached an apogee from which it will fall. As it falls\u2013by an unwillingness to lend by bankers and to borrow by businesses and households, by deliberate debt reductions, by default and bankruptcy\u2013aggregate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8414","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8414"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8414\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8414"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8414"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8414"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}