{"id":8322,"date":"2013-08-26T02:26:09","date_gmt":"2013-08-26T06:26:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=8322"},"modified":"2013-08-26T02:26:09","modified_gmt":"2013-08-26T06:26:09","slug":"europe-improving-but-beware-of-the-joker","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/08\/26\/europe-improving-but-beware-of-the-joker\/","title":{"rendered":"Europe: Improving but beware of The Joker"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Monthly charts best reflect the state of play in Europe. Germany and France are improving but there are still pockets of weakness elsewhere that threaten to destabilize the monetary union.<\/p>\n<p>Germany&#8217;s DAX recovered above its 2007 high at 8200. Reversal below 8000 would indicate hesitancy, with another test of primary support (and rising trendline) at 7600. But the up-trend is intact and follow-through above 8500 would offer a long-term target of 9500*. Momentum is slowing but 13-week Twiggs Momentum holding above zero suggests continuation of the up-trend.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"DAX Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-08-26-dax.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 8500 + ( 8500 &#8211; 7500 ) = 9500<\/p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 fell through support at 6500 but the long tail indicates buying pressure. Reversal below 6400 would confirm a correction to the rising trendline. Breakout above 6750 would signal an advance to the 1999 high of 7000, but strong bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of a correction. Breach of primary support at 6000 would signal a reversal.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"FTSE 100 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-08-26-ftse.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><br \/>\nFrance&#8217;s CAC-40 is headed for another test of its 2011 high at 4200. Breakout would offer a long-term target of 4800*. Reversal below 3600 is unlikely but would signal a primary down-trend.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"CAC-40 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-08-26-fchi.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 4200 + ( 4200 &#8211; 3600 ) = 4800<\/p>\n<p>Italy&#8217;s MIB Index is testing resistance at 18000. Momentum is weakening so one needs to be prepared for another correction. But breakout would offer a target of 21000*.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"MIB Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-08-26-spm.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 18000 + ( 18000 &#8211; 15000 ) = 21000<\/p>\n<p>Adam Taylor at Business Insider quotes <a title=\"NY Book Review\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nybooks.com\/blogs\/nyrblog\/2013\/aug\/24\/holding-italy-hostage\/\" target=\"_blank\">Tim Parks from New York Review of Books<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>If Nixon had refused to accept impeachment and had tried somehow to hang on to power, he would have been summarily removed. The same goes for any leader in Europe\u2019s main democracies. Most will step down at the first sign of a serious criminal charge against them, aware that their parties will not support someone who damages their cause. The truly disquieting aspect of the present situation in Italy is not so much Berlusconi\u2019s brazenness, but that his blackmail is possible and credible, that he has such complete control over such a large political party, and that he still commands considerable popular support. Astonishing as it may seem to those not familiar with the country, even serious newspapers and respectable commentators seem reluctant to insist on the enforcement of law, rarely mentioning the details of his crimes and actually giving credence to the argument that removing Berlusconi from the political scene would amount to disenfranchising the millions of voters who supported him at the previous election, as if there was no autonomous party in parliament to represent their views, as if they were not free to choose another leader before the next election.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The Joker may still have the last laugh.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Silvio Berlusconi as The Joker\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/farm4.staticflickr.com\/3598\/3841467989_2ccc844a15.jpg?w=525\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">Reproduced with thanks to <a title=\"Vincos\" href=\"http:\/\/www.vincos.it\/\" target=\"_blank\">Vincos<\/a> on Flickr.com.<\/p>\n<p>Spain&#8217;s Madrid General Index is testing resistance at 900.\u00a0Momentum is weakening so, again, be prepared for another correction. But breakout above 900 would indicate an advance to 1050*.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Madrid General Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-08-26-smsi.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 900 + ( 900 &#8211; 750 ) = 1050<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Monthly charts best reflect the state of play in Europe. Germany and France are improving but there are still pockets of weakness elsewhere that threaten to destabilize the monetary union. Germany&#8217;s DAX recovered above its 2007 high at 8200. Reversal below 8000 would indicate hesitancy, with another test of primary support (and rising trendline) at &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/08\/26\/europe-improving-but-beware-of-the-joker\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Europe: Improving but beware of The Joker&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,33],"tags":[547,948,1483,1484,2193],"class_list":["post-8322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-uk-europe-countries-regions","tag-cac-40-index","tag-dax-inde","tag-ftse-100-index","tag-ftse-mib-index","tag-madrid-general-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Europe: Improving but beware of The Joker - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Europe: Improving but beware of The Joker - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Monthly charts best reflect the state of play in Europe. Germany and France are improving but there are still pockets of weakness elsewhere that threaten to destabilize the monetary union. Germany&#8217;s DAX recovered above its 2007 high at 8200. 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Breakout above resistance at 8500 would offer a long-term target of 9500*. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow trough above zero would strengthen the signal. Reversal below 8000 is unlikely, but would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8257,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/08\/12\/europe-dax-bullish-but-ftse-selling-pressure\/","url_meta":{"origin":8322,"position":1},"title":"Europe: DAX bullish, but FTSE selling pressure","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 12, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Germany's DAX recovered above the 2007 high at 8200. Follow-through above 8500 would offer a long-term target of 9500*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure. Reversal below 8000 is now unlikely, but would warn of another test of primary support at 7700. * Target calculation: 8500 + (\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8476,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/09\/24\/europe-bullish-except-for-ftse\/","url_meta":{"origin":8322,"position":2},"title":"Europe: Bullish except for FTSE","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 24, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"European markets continue to display healthy primary up-trends with the exception of the FTSE 100 which warns of selling pressure. Germany's DAX broke through medium-term resistance at 8500, offering a medium-term target of 9000* and a long-term target of 9500*. Reversal below 8000 is unlikely, but would warn of another\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"DAX","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-09-24-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-09-24-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-09-24-dax.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":8432,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/09\/16\/europe-unleash-the-bulls\/","url_meta":{"origin":8322,"position":3},"title":"Europe: Unleash the bulls","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 16, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Spain's Madrid General Index broke resistance at 900, indicating a long-term advance to 1050* (960* in the medium-term). Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure. Reversal below 840 is unlikely, but would warn of a bull trap. * Target calculation: 900 + ( 900 - 750 ) = 1050;\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8149,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/07\/22\/europe-dax-and-ftse-100-recovery\/","url_meta":{"origin":8322,"position":4},"title":"Europe: DAX and FTSE 100 recovery","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 22, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Germany's DAX recovered above its 2007\/2008 high at 8200, signaling a primary advance with a long-term target of 9500*. Breach of resistance at 8500 would confirm. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow is above zero, but remains weak, warning of further retracement to test support at 8000. Reversal below 8000 is unlikely,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8755,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/11\/18\/dax-leads-european-advance\/","url_meta":{"origin":8322,"position":5},"title":"DAX leads European advance","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 18, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Germany's DAX broke through resistance at 9000, sharply rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow signaling strong medium-term buying pressure. Target for the current advance is 9500*. Reversal below 9000 is unlikely, but would warn of a correction to the primary trendline between 8000 and 8500. * Target calculation: 8500 + (\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"DAX","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-11-18-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-11-18-dax.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-11-18-dax.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8322"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8322\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}