{"id":8058,"date":"2013-07-09T07:05:37","date_gmt":"2013-07-09T11:05:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=8058"},"modified":"2013-07-09T07:05:37","modified_gmt":"2013-07-09T11:05:37","slug":"bbc-news-could-one-man-have-shortened-the-vietnam-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/07\/09\/bbc-news-could-one-man-have-shortened-the-vietnam-war\/","title":{"rendered":"BBC News: Could one man have shortened the Vietnam War?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Malcolm Gladwell tells the story of story of Konrad Kellen, a &#8220;truly great listener&#8221;: <\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Everyone believed what [Leon Goure, US expert who believed the Vietcong were demoralised and about to give up] said, with one exception &#8211; Konrad Kellen. He read the same interviews and reached the exact opposite conclusion.<\/p>\n<p>Years later, he would say that his rethinking began with one memorable interview with a senior Vietcong captain. He was asked very early in the interview if he thought the Vietcong could win the war, and he said no.<\/p>\n<p>But pages later, he was asked if he thought that the US could win the war, and he said no.<\/p>\n<p>The second answer profoundly changes the meaning of the first. He didn&#8217;t think in terms of winning or losing at all, which is a very different proposition. An enemy who is indifferent to the outcome of a battle is the most dangerous enemy of all.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Goure&#8217;s analysis is a classic case of confirmation bias: he sought evidence to support his preconceived ideas, rather than gathering and evaluating evidence objectively. This applies as much to investing as it does to war. <\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href='http:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/magazine-23037957?utm_source=dlvr.it&#038;utm_medium=twitter'>BBC News &#8211; Viewpoint: Could one man have shortened the Vietnam War?<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Malcolm Gladwell tells the story of story of Konrad Kellen, a &#8220;truly great listener&#8221;: Everyone believed what [Leon Goure, US expert who believed the Vietcong were demoralised and about to give up] said, with one exception &#8211; Konrad Kellen. He read the same interviews and reached the exact opposite conclusion. Years later, he would say &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/07\/09\/bbc-news-could-one-man-have-shortened-the-vietnam-war\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;BBC News: Could one man have shortened the Vietnam War?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37,29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8058","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-active-investing","category-the-big-picture"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>BBC News: Could one man have shortened the Vietnam War? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"BBC News: Could one man have shortened the Vietnam War? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Malcolm Gladwell tells the story of story of Konrad Kellen, a &#8220;truly great listener&#8221;: Everyone believed what [Leon Goure, US expert who believed the Vietcong were demoralised and about to give up] said, with one exception &#8211; Konrad Kellen. 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From the FT overnight: Donald Trump has warned that the US will take unilateral action to eliminate the nuclear threat from North Korea unless China increases pressure on the regime in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9540,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/23\/george-f-kennans-prediction-on-nato-expansion-was-right\/","url_meta":{"origin":8058,"position":1},"title":"George F. Kennan&#8217;s Prediction On NATO Expansion Was Right","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 23, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Interesting argument against further expansion of NATO on Moon of Alabama: George Kennan was the U.S. diplomat and Russia specialist who developed the cold war strategy of containment of the Soviet Union, though he later criticized its militaristic implementation. In 1998, when the Senate voted to extend NATO to include\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":31253,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/03\/01\/yes-he-would-fiona-hill\/","url_meta":{"origin":8058,"position":2},"title":"&#8220;Yes, He Would&#8221; | Fiona Hill","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 1, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"This Politico interview of Fiona Hill, by Maureen Reynolds, is disturbing. Fiona Hill is a Russia expert who served in both Obama and Trump administrations and first gained attention for her hard-hitting testimony during Donald Trump's impeachment over Ukraine. She has studied Vladimir Putin for decades and is the co-author\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Fiona Hill","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/fionahill.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":63987,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/01\/april-fools-day\/","url_meta":{"origin":8058,"position":3},"title":"April Fools Day","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 1, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Trump says, \"We'll be leaving very soon.\" Crude oil futures plunged to test support at $100 per barrel. The S&P 500 jumped 2.9%, testing resistance at 6550. Gold broke resistance at $4,600 per ounce. Crude oil prices plunged, and stocks and gold rallied on President Trump's hint\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-31-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-31-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-31-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9547,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/24\/stability-is-destabilising-hyman-minsky\/","url_meta":{"origin":8058,"position":4},"title":"Stability is destabilising &#8211; Hyman Minsky","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 24, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"A pretty clear explanation of Hyman Minsky's key ideas: Most macroeconomists work with equilibrium models which assume the economy is fundamentally stable and that booms or crises are precipitated by external shocks \"whether that be a rise in oil prices, a war or the invention of the internet\". Minsky disagreed.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economic Theory&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economic Theory","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/economic-theory\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6207,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/16\/republicans-lost-the-culture-war-cnn-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":8058,"position":5},"title":"How Mitt Romney lost the unlosable election","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 16, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"William Bennett writes that President Obama won the 2012 election by winning 93% of the African-American vote and 71% of Latino votes, while Mitt Romney won white voters 59% to 39%, according to exit polls. 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