{"id":787,"date":"2011-09-13T22:16:01","date_gmt":"2011-09-14T02:16:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=787"},"modified":"2011-09-13T22:16:01","modified_gmt":"2011-09-14T02:16:01","slug":"gold-where-to-from-here","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/09\/13\/gold-where-to-from-here\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold: where to from here?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gold is rising in a super-trend which has lasted for more than 10 years. The primary trend, however, is accelerating as the debt crisis in Europe evolves. European banks are now in a precarious position and default of a single debtor nation would cause a crisis of confidence. The situation is similar to the 2007 sub-prime crisis which was accompanied by a similar surge in demand for gold.<\/p>\n

Two events stand out. In March 2008 the Fed rescue of Bear Stearns reassured the markets, easing demand for gold and resulting in a 30% retreat in the spot price from its peak at $1000\/ounce. The second event was the September 15th collapse of Lehman Brothers. Gold surged 20% in a matter of days, as confidence in the Fed’s ability to contain the crisis was shaken, before settling back at $700 by November. It then commenced the current bull run, climbing 170% so far from its 2008 low.<\/p>\n

\"Gold<\/p>\n

The question is: are we facing a “Bear Stearns” event that will reassure financial markets or another “Lehman”, causing a flight to safety? Current European dis-unity suggests a crisis of confidence and surge in demand for gold.<\/p>\n

The daily chart shows a bullish ascending triangle<\/a>, indicating further accumulation. Breakout above 1900 would signal a fresh advance to 2100*.<\/p>\n

\"Spot<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1900 + ( 1900 – 1700 ) = 2100<\/span><\/p>\n

The situation can change rapidly, however, and some contrarians believe that gold is over-bought. Reversal below support at $1800 would break the ascending pattern and rising (secondary) trendline. All bets are then off and reversal below $1750 would complete a double top<\/a>, threatening correction to $1500.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gold is rising in a super-trend which has lasted for more than 10 years. The primary trend, however, is accelerating as the debt crisis in Europe evolves. European banks are now in a precarious position and default of a single debtor nation would cause a crisis of confidence. The situation is similar to the 2007 … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Gold: where to from here?”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[401,1091,1578,2081,3492],"class_list":["post-787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gold-commodities","tag-bear-stearns","tag-double-top","tag-gold-2","tag-lehman-brothers","tag-triangle"],"yoast_head":"\nGold: where to from here? - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold: where to from here? - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Gold is rising in a super-trend which has lasted for more than 10 years. 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Breakout above $1900 would complete an ascending triangle with a target of $2100*. Reversal below Friday's low would warn that the pattern has failed and correction to the long-term trendline (around $1500) is likely. * Target calculation: 1900\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":62870,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/22\/has-gold-reversed\/","url_meta":{"origin":787,"position":1},"title":"Has Gold Reversed?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 22, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Gold retreated from resistance at $4,400 per ounce, briefly testing support at $4,000. Financial markets remain unsettled, with Bitcoin below 110K. Gold fell sharply on Monday as traders took profits after the recent massive surge. Tall daily bars and shallow retracements in the rapid ascent indicated robust demand\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Precious Metals"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Precious Metals","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/gold-precious-metals\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-21-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-21-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-21-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63521,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/01\/28\/is-gold-in-a-blowoff\/","url_meta":{"origin":787,"position":2},"title":"Is Gold in a Blowoff?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 28, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Moderna (MRNA), an American biotechnology company focused on RNA therapeutics, primarily mRNA vaccines, climbed from $20 before the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 to almost $500 in August 2023. In the final stages of the uptrend, it doubled from $250 to nearly $500 in less than a month, exhibiting the familiar\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Precious Metals"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Precious Metals","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/gold-precious-metals\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Moderna in 2023","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-01-27-mrna.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-01-27-mrna.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-01-27-mrna.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":19979,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/03\/14\/the-show-isnt-over-until-the-fat-lady-sings\/","url_meta":{"origin":787,"position":3},"title":"The show isn’t over until the fat lady sings","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 14, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"There are still plenty of investors out there hoping for a V-shaped bottom and jumping on any signs of a recovery as evidence of this. Friday's rally is no exception. Stocks seldom travel in a straight line and bear markets are interspersed with frequent rallies. There were no less than\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":61395,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/18\/dow-and-sp-500-bounce-gold-soars-to-new-highs\/","url_meta":{"origin":787,"position":4},"title":"Dow and S&P 500 bounce, gold soars to new highs","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 18, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dow and S&P 500 show a healthy bounce. However, the bear market signal stands even if they recover above their primary support levels. The S&P 500 gained 0.6% but encountered selling near the close. Respect of resistance at 5800 would confirm the earlier bear signal, a reliable entry point\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-17-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-17-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-03-17-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":35858,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/07\/23\/gold-silver-and-the-dollar-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":787,"position":5},"title":"Gold, silver and the Dollar","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 23, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Spot Gold is testing primary support at $1700 per troy ounce. This week's long tail indicates buying interest. Recovery above $1800 would be bullish, while breach of $1700 would be a strong bear signal. Gold faces two strong headwinds -- rising interest rates and a strong Dollar -- which increase\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Chinese Yuan"","block_context":{"text":"Chinese Yuan","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/chinese-yuan\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Gold","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-07-22-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-07-22-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-07-22-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-07-22-gold.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/787","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=787"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/787\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=787"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=787"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=787"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}