{"id":7856,"date":"2013-06-03T01:25:15","date_gmt":"2013-06-03T05:25:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=7856"},"modified":"2013-06-03T01:25:15","modified_gmt":"2013-06-03T05:25:15","slug":"bearish-signs-for-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/03\/bearish-signs-for-stocks\/","title":{"rendered":"Bearish signs for stocks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>10-Year Treasury yields respected support at 2.05\/2.10% with a <a title=\"Incredible Charts: Key Reversal\" href=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/technical\/key_reversal.php\" target=\"_blank\">key reversal<\/a> (or outside reversal) on Friday, signaling a primary up-trend and possible test of 4.00% in the next few years. The tall shadow on Friday&#8217;s candle, however, warns of another test of the new support level before the trend gets under way. Only breakout above 4.00% would end the 31-year secular bear-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yields\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-05-31-tnx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is headed for a test of the lower trend channel at 1600,\u00a0 declining 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicating medium-term selling pressure. Breach of support at 1600 would warn of a correction.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-05-31-spx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><br \/>\nThe VIX is rising, but only breakout above 20 would indicate something is amiss.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-05-31-vix.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 Index ran into huge selling pressure, falling to 13400 by midday Monday. Expect a test of support at 11500, but the primary trend remains upward.\u00a0<a title=\"Bloomberg: Japan Output Gains as Tokyo Prices End Four-Year Slide\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2013-05-31\/japan-output-exceeds-estimates-in-boost-for-abe-revival-campaign.html\" target=\"_blank\">Rising industrial production<\/a> indicates that <em>Abenomics<\/em> is starting to take effect.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Nikkei 225 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-05-31-n225.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The UK&#8217;s FTSE 100 also ran into selling pressure &#8212; at its 2007 high of 6750 &#8212; with bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow. Expect a correction to test 6000, but the primary trend remains upward.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"FTSE 100 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-05-31-ftse.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Bearish divergence on the Shanghai Composite Index (21-day Twiggs Money Flow) indicates medium-term selling pressure. Expect another test of primary support at 2170. Penetration of the rising trendline would confirm. Breakout above 2460 would complete an inverted head and shoulders reversal (as indicated by orange + green arrows), signaling a primary up-trend, but that appears some way off.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-05-31-ssec.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>10-Year Treasury yields respected support at 2.05\/2.10% with a key reversal (or outside reversal) on Friday, signaling a primary up-trend and possible test of 4.00% in the next few years. The tall shadow on Friday&#8217;s candle, however, warns of another test of the new support level before the trend gets under way. Only breakout above &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/03\/bearish-signs-for-stocks\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Bearish signs for stocks&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,6,17,57,33,34],"tags":[70,1483,2479,3014,3100],"class_list":["post-7856","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-fixed-income","category-japan-korea","category-stock-markets","category-uk-europe-countries-regions","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-ftse-100-index","tag-nikkei-225-index","tag-sp-500-index","tag-shanghai-composite-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bearish signs for stocks - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bearish signs for stocks - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"10-Year Treasury yields respected support at 2.05\/2.10% with a key reversal (or outside reversal) on Friday, signaling a primary up-trend and possible test of 4.00% in the next few years. The tall shadow on Friday&#8217;s candle, however, warns of another test of the new support level before the trend gets under way. 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The tall shadow on Friday&#8217;s candle, however, warns of another test of the new support level before the trend gets under way. 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","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5","name":"ColinTwiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"ColinTwiggs"},"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/colin58s\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-22I","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":7779,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/05\/22\/china-hints-at-bottom-while-sp-500-reverses\/","url_meta":{"origin":7856,"position":0},"title":"China hints at bottom while S&#038;P 500 reverses","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 22, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields are testing resistance at 2.05\/2.10%. Breakout above 2.10% would signal a primary up-trend and possible test of 4.00% in the next few years. Only breakout above 4.00%, however, would end the 31-year secular bear-trend. The S&P 500 completed a key reversal (or outside reversal), indicating selling pressure.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7896,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/11\/sp500-recovers-as-bond-yields-rise-but-tsx-weakens\/","url_meta":{"origin":7856,"position":1},"title":"S&#038;P500 recovers as bond yields rise, but TSX weakens","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 11, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields respected support at 2.00%, confirming the primary up-trend. Only breakout above 4.00% would end the 31-year secular bear-trend, but a rise to there would result in an almost 50% loss for bondholders. Rising yields reflect market expectations that the economy will recover and the Fed will curtail\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7907,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/16\/sp500-up-trend-despite-test-of-support-at-1600\/","url_meta":{"origin":7856,"position":2},"title":"S&#038;P500 up-trend despite test of support at 1600","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 16, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"A monthly chart shows 10-year Treasury yields continue to respect support at 2.00%, confirming the primary up-trend. Expect resistance at 2.50%, but the long-term (multi-year) target is 4.00%, where the 2009 high coincides with a descending trendline from the 31-year secular bear-trend. Rising yields reflect market expectations that the economy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7942,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/25\/sp500-holds-strong-while-canada-and-europe-weaken\/","url_meta":{"origin":7856,"position":3},"title":"S&#038;P500 holds strong while Canada and Europe weaken","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 25, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields broke resistance at 2.50% as bond-holders offload their positions. Expect weak retracement to test the new support level at 2.00%, but recovery above 2.50% is likely and would signal a long-term advance to test resistance at 4.00%. Breakout above 4.00% would end the 31-year secular bear-trend. Rising\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7701,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/05\/05\/sp-500-and-treasury-yields-surge\/","url_meta":{"origin":7856,"position":4},"title":"S&#038;P 500 and Treasury yields surge","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 5, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields rallied sharply on Friday, breaking the new resistance level at 1.70%. Follow-through above 1.80% would confirm the decline is over, signaling another test of resistance at 2.00%\/2.10%. On the monthly chart we can see that breakout above resistance at 2.00%\/2.10% would signal a primary up-trend and possible\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Fixed Income&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Fixed Income","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/fixed-income\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7597,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/29\/sp-500-at-key-resistance-while-treasury-yields-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":7856,"position":5},"title":"S&#038;P 500 at key resistance while Treasury yields fall","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 29, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"10-Year Treasury yields broke through support at 1.70%. Prior to 2012, the 1945 low of 1.70% was the lowest level in the 200 year history of the US Treasury. Expect a test of primary support at 1.40%. Falling Treasury yields generally indicate a flight from stocks to the safety of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7856","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7856"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7856\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7856"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7856"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7856"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}