{"id":7729,"date":"2013-05-09T04:40:35","date_gmt":"2013-05-09T08:40:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=7729"},"modified":"2013-05-09T04:40:35","modified_gmt":"2013-05-09T08:40:35","slug":"gold-rally-falters-while-bond-yields-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/05\/09\/gold-rally-falters-while-bond-yields-rise\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold rally falters, while bond yields rise"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gold’s bear rally has run out of steam, with continued tests of support at $1440\/$1450. Breach would penetrate the rising trendline, indicating another test of primary support at $1320. Target for the decline would be $1200*. Breakout above $1500 is unlikely, but would test $1550.<\/p>\n

\"Spot<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1350 – ( 1500 – 1350 ) = 1200<\/p>\n

The Gold Bugs Index, representing un-hedged gold stocks, behaves like a leveraged gold instrument. So far there is no sign of a bounce. Breach of support at 260 would warn of another decline.
\"Gold
My bullish outlook for gold is fading in the face of stubborn deflationary pressures faced by central banks<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Treasury Yields<\/h3>\n

Ten-year treasury yields rallied sharply at the end of last week and are now testing resistance at 1.80%. Respect of resistance remains likely — after all this is a down-trend — and would suggest another test of the all-time low at 1.40%. Breakout above 1.80% would signal a test of resistance at 2.00\/2.05%, while breach of that level would signal a primary up-trend. The thirty year secular bear trend (in yields) remains downward and would only be reversed by a rise above 4.00%.<\/p>\n

\"Dollar<\/p>\n

Crude Oil<\/h3>\n

Brent Crude is testing its former support level at $106\/barrel. Respect is likely and would offer a target of $92*. Nymex WTI broke out of its trend channel, but the trend remains downward until resistance at $98 is broken. A classic pair trade, the spread between the two is likely to narrow as the European economy under-performs.<\/p>\n

\"Brent<\/p>\n

Commodities<\/h3>\n

Commodity prices continue to diverge from stocks, with the S&P 500 advancing while Dow Jones – UBS Commodity Index is headed for primary support at 125.<\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n

Reason for the disconnect is evident on the next chart. Demand from China has been driving commodities for most of the last decade. A slowing Chinese economy more than offset rising demand from the USA.<\/p>\n

\"Dow<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gold’s bear rally has run out of steam, with continued tests of support at $1440\/$1450. Breach would penetrate the rising trendline, indicating another test of primary support at $1320. Target for the decline would be $1200*. Breakout above $1500 is unlikely, but would test $1550. * Target calculation: 1350 – ( 1500 – 1350 ) … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Gold rally falters, while bond yields rise”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,44,6,9,34],"tags":[70,1073,1580,1779,2529,3204],"class_list":["post-7729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-fixed-income","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-10-year-treasury-yields","tag-dollar-index","tag-gold-bugs-index","tag-ice-brent-crude","tag-nymex-wti-light-crude","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"\nGold rally falters, while bond yields rise - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold rally falters, while bond yields rise - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Gold’s bear rally has run out of steam, with continued tests of support at $1440\/$1450. 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Recovery above $1250 would suggest another rally to $1350. But the 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero warns of a down-trend. And breach of primary support at $1200 would confirm. * Target calculation: 1250\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8805,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/11\/27\/gold-1200-next\/","url_meta":{"origin":7729,"position":1},"title":"Gold: $1200 next?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 27, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Spot gold consolidating in a narrow band below support at $1250\/ounce suggests a test of $1200. The 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero strengthens the signal. Breakout below the June low ($1200) would confirm a primary down-trend. Recovery above $1260 is unlikely, but would indicate a rally to $1350. *\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7748,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/05\/16\/gold-and-commodities-fall-while-dollar-and-bond-yields-rise\/","url_meta":{"origin":7729,"position":2},"title":"Gold and commodities fall while Dollar and bond yields rise","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 16, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold broke the rising trendline and support at $1440\/$1450, indicating another test of primary support at $1320. Target of $1200* for the decline would be confirmed by a breach of primary support. * Target calculation: 1350 - ( 1500 - 1350 ) = 1200 Treasury Yields Ten-year treasury yields broke\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10603,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/14\/strong-dollar-weakens-gold\/","url_meta":{"origin":7729,"position":3},"title":"Strong Dollar weakens gold","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 14, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Treasury yields decline Dollar strengthens Crude oil weakens Gold hesitates Interest Rates and the Dollar The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes is testing support at 2.40 percent. Breach would confirm a primary decline with a target of 2.00 percent*. 13-Week Twiggs Momentum holding below zero strengthens the bear signal. Recovery\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Crude Oil & Natural Gas"","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil & Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yields","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-14-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-14-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-14-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":8672,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/24\/dollar-falls-and-gold-rises\/","url_meta":{"origin":7729,"position":4},"title":"Dollar falls and gold rises","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 24, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index respected resistance at 80.50, breaking below 80 to confirm a primary decline. Breach of the 2012 lows at 79 would confirm a long-term target of 76.50*. The falling dollar is boosting gold prices. * Target calculation: 80.5 - ( 84.5 - 80.5 ) = 76.5 The yield\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10657,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/08\/21\/dollar-surges-as-crude-falls\/","url_meta":{"origin":7729,"position":5},"title":"Dollar surges as crude falls","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 21, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Dollar surges Treasury yields rally, but the trend is down Crude oil prices fall Gold uncertainty continues Interest Rates and the Dollar The Dollar Index followed through above resistance at 81.50, signaling a long-term advance to test the 2013 highs at 84.50. Recovery of 13-week Twiggs Momentum above zero strengthens\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Crude Oil & Natural Gas"","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil & Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dollar Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-21-dxy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-21-dxy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-08-21-dxy.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7729","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7729"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7729\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}