Xi's War Drums – By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"John Garnaut writes: [Capt. James Fanell], in comments that went largely unnoticed outside the small circle of China military specialists, spelled out in rare detail the reasons the United States is shifting 60 percent of its naval assets — including its most advanced capabilities — to the Pacific. He was blunt: The Chinese People’s Liberation … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “Xi’s War Drums – By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,29,34],"tags":[2674,3564],"class_list":["post-7625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-the-big-picture","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-pla","tag-us-pacific-fleet"],"yoast_head":"\nXi's War Drums - By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Xi's War Drums - By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"John Garnaut writes: [Capt. James Fanell], in comments that went largely unnoticed outside the small circle of China military specialists, spelled out in rare detail the reasons the United States is shifting 60 percent of its naval assets — including its most advanced capabilities — to the Pacific. He was blunt: The Chinese People’s Liberation … Continue reading "Xi’s War Drums – By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-04-30T23:31:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ColinTwiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\"},\"headline\":\"Xi’s War Drums – By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-04-30T23:31:23+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/\"},\"wordCount\":137,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"PLA\",\"US Pacific Fleet\"],\"articleSection\":[\"China & HK\",\"The Big Picture\",\"US & Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/\",\"name\":\"Xi's War Drums - By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2013-04-30T23:31:23+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Xi’s War Drums – By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. Strategic. Unfiltered. \",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5\",\"name\":\"ColinTwiggs\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"ColinTwiggs\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/colin58s\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Xi's War Drums - By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy - the patient investor","robots":{"index":"noindex","follow":"follow"},"og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Xi's War Drums - By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy - the patient investor","og_description":"John Garnaut writes: [Capt. James Fanell], in comments that went largely unnoticed outside the small circle of China military specialists, spelled out in rare detail the reasons the United States is shifting 60 percent of its naval assets — including its most advanced capabilities — to the Pacific. He was blunt: The Chinese People’s Liberation … Continue reading \"Xi’s War Drums – By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy\"","og_url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/","og_site_name":"the patient investor","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","article_published_time":"2013-04-30T23:31:23+00:00","author":"ColinTwiggs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"ColinTwiggs","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/"},"author":{"name":"ColinTwiggs","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5"},"headline":"Xi’s War Drums – By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy","datePublished":"2013-04-30T23:31:23+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/"},"wordCount":137,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"keywords":["PLA","US Pacific Fleet"],"articleSection":["China & HK","The Big Picture","US & Canada"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/","name":"Xi's War Drums - By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy - the patient investor","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website"},"datePublished":"2013-04-30T23:31:23+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/30\/xis-war-drums-by-john-garnaut-foreign-policy\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Xi’s War Drums – By John Garnaut | Foreign Policy"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","name":"The Patient Investor","description":"Smart. Strategic. Unfiltered. ","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/cb072791ac83e8bae585007c133d54a5","name":"ColinTwiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/876c4d990bb2af282291d5f3ff81533c6deccc0c607846086647ca3272fac0ca?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"ColinTwiggs"},"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/colin58s\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1YZ","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5634,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/01\/garnauts-bitter-pill-must-be-swallowed-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":7625,"position":0},"title":"Garnaut\u2019s bitter pill must be swallowed | | MacroBusiness","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 1, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Interesting quote from Professor Ross Garnaut in the AFR: He [Professor Garnaut] said Australia\u2019s terms of trade, or income from exports, would be hit by three \u201cmutually reinforcing negatives\u201d under way in China. The first was a shift in China\u2019s economy away from a focus on heavy industrial investment and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5536,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/20\/prepare-for-the-mining-bust-house-and-holes-macrobusiness-com-au\/","url_meta":{"origin":7625,"position":1},"title":"Prepare for the mining bust – House and Holes | macrobusiness.com.au","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 20, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"By Houses and Holes on September 20, 2012 The grey-beards of Australian economics today unite to deliver one enormous wake-up call to the nation, its government, its interests, its media and its people. Don\u2019t get me wrong, the bucket of cold water is not deserved in equal measures. For mine,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":18403,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2019\/06\/13\/no-us-china-trade-deal\/","url_meta":{"origin":7625,"position":2},"title":"No US-China trade deal","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 13, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"\"On Monday, US President Trump told reporters that he would impose tariffs on an additional USD 300 billion of Chinese goods if Xi Jinping doesn\u2019t meet with him in Japan.\" ~ Trivium China, June 12, 2019 Trump is doing his best to kill any chance of a trade deal. He\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":39045,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/11\/25\/how-australia-should-prepare-for-chinas-invasion-of-taiwan\/","url_meta":{"origin":7625,"position":3},"title":"How Australia should prepare for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 25, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Aircraft Carrier in China's Rapidly Expanding Navy In October, US Chief of Naval Operations, Michael Gilday, warned that China could undertake operations to seize Taiwan as early as 2023. (SMH) The US Secretary of State has sounded similar warnings: Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Monday said China\u2019s plans to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Chinese Aircraft Carrier","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/china-carrier-768x481.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":7709,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/05\/06\/beware-chinas-civilian-military-relationship-the-japan-times\/","url_meta":{"origin":7625,"position":4},"title":"Beware China’s civilian-military relationship | The Japan Times","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 6, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Masahiro Matsumura, professor of international politics at St. Andrew\u2019s University (Momoyama Gakuin Daigaku) in Osaka, writes .......the Chinese state apparatus is largely detached from the military, while the party\u2019s top civilian leaders have only a loose grip on the generals. Worse still, the current fifth generation of civilian leaders is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8315,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/08\/23\/the-road-not-taken-macrobusiness-com-au\/","url_meta":{"origin":7625,"position":5},"title":"The road not taken | Macrobusiness.com.au","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 23, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"By Houses & Holes at Macrobusiness.com.au So, with our Federal election mostly over, at least enough to get a good sense of where we\u2019re going, I think it\u2019s fair to conclude that we are not going to get out in front of the primary economic issues of our time. On\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Australia & NZ"","block_context":{"text":"Australia & NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"The Road Not Taken","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/paths06-300x155.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7625"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7625\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}