{"id":7558,"date":"2013-04-25T01:08:28","date_gmt":"2013-04-25T05:08:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=7558"},"modified":"2013-04-25T01:08:28","modified_gmt":"2013-04-25T05:08:28","slug":"gold-rallies-while-treasury-yields-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/25\/gold-rallies-while-treasury-yields-fall\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold rallies while treasury yields fall"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gold is testing short-term resistance at $1440. Bear market rallies are notoriously unreliable and reversal below $1400 would warn of another down-swing. Breach of $1330 would confirm another decline, with the next major support level at the 2008 high of $1000.<\/p>\n

\"Spot<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1550 – ( 1800 – 1550 ) = 1300<\/p>\n

I am still bullish on gold in the long-term. We face a decade of easy monetary policy from central banks, with competing devaluations as nations struggle to recover at the expense of each other. This WSJ interview with PIMCO CEO Mohamed El-Erian<\/a> offers a realistic long-term outlook.<\/p>\n

Dollar Index<\/h3>\n

There has been no major strengthening of the Dollar, which one would expect if gold’s fall was caused by revision of the market’s\u00a0 inflation outlook. The primary trend is up, but so far resistance at 84.00 has held. Breakout would signal an advance to 89.00\/90.00.<\/p>\n

\"Dollar<\/p>\n

Treasury Yields<\/h3>\n

Ten-year treasury yields continue to test support at 1.70%. Follow-through below 1.65% would test the July 2012 low at 1.40%. Prior to 2012, the 1945 low of 1.70% at the end of WWII was the lowest level in the 200 year history of the US Treasury<\/a>. Money flowing back into treasuries is a bearish sign for stocks.<\/p>\n

\"Dollar<\/p>\n

Crude Oil<\/h3>\n

Brent Crude is falling sharply, while Nymex WTI rallied back above $90\/barrel. The gap between the two is narrowing as the European economy slows. Falling crude prices are a healthy long-term sign for the economy, but indicate falling demand and medium-term weakness. Nymex reversal below $90 would confirm a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n

\"Brent<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gold is testing short-term resistance at $1440. Bear market rallies are notoriously unreliable and reversal below $1400 would warn of another down-swing. Breach of $1330 would confirm another decline, with the next major support level at the 2008 high of $1000. * Target calculation: 1550 – ( 1800 – 1550 ) = 1300 I am … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Gold rallies while treasury yields fall”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44,6,9,35],"tags":[1073,1779,2529,3204],"class_list":["post-7558","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-fixed-income","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-dollar-index","tag-dollar-index","tag-ice-brent-crude","tag-nymex-wti-light-crude","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"\nGold rallies while treasury yields fall - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold rallies while treasury yields fall - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Gold is testing short-term resistance at $1440. Bear market rallies are notoriously unreliable and reversal below $1400 would warn of another down-swing. 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After finding short-term support at $1320 on the 2-hourly chart, gold rallied to $1400 before retreating to test $1360. The long tail at $1360 indicates buying\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4023,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/04\/gold-falls-as-the-dollar-rallies\/","url_meta":{"origin":7558,"position":1},"title":"Gold falls as the dollar rallies","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 4, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index rallied to test resistance at 80.00. Breakout would indicate respect of the rising trendline and another primary advance. Recovery above 82 would confirm the target of 86*. Respect of the zero line by 63-day Twiggs Momentum would also strengthen the signal. * Target calculation: 82 + (\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15648,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/07\/28\/gold-rallies-as-crude-rises-and-dollar-falls\/","url_meta":{"origin":7558,"position":2},"title":"Gold rallies as Crude rises and Dollar falls","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 28, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index is testing primary support between 92 and 93; bullish for gold. Breach of support would offer a long-term target between 83 and 84*. *Target: 93 - ( 103 - 93 ) = 83 Crude rallied strongly this week, with Nymex light crude testing its upper trend channel\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Crude Oil & Natural Gas"","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil & Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4614,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/14\/dollar-gold-crude-oil-and-commodities\/","url_meta":{"origin":7558,"position":3},"title":"Dollar, gold, crude oil and commodities","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 14, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index is retracing to test support at 81.50. Respect would confirm the primary up-trend, offering a long-term target of the 2010 high at 89. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum oscillating above zero indicates a healthy up-trend. Spot Gold is rallying to test resistance around $1650\/ounce -- at the descending trendline\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12898,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/03\/01\/gold-rallies-as-crude-finds-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":7558,"position":4},"title":"Gold rallies as crude finds support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 1, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Crude finds support at $30\/barrel, iron ore rallies, the Dollar strengthens, long-term interest rates fall and all seems right with the world. But is it? Deflationary pressures in Europe are rising. China cut bank reserve requirements to stimulate lending. And long-term interest rates would be rising, not falling, if confidence\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Nymex WTI Light Crude June 2016 Futures","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-03-01-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-03-01-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2016\/2016-03-01-crude.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4680,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/20\/rising-dollar-suggests-lower-gold-and-commodities\/","url_meta":{"origin":7558,"position":5},"title":"Rising Dollar suggests lower gold and commodities","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 20, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index is testing medium-term support at 81.00\/81.50. Respect would confirm a healthy primary up-trend. Reversal below the rising trendline is unlikely, but would indicate trend weakness. Another trough above zero on 63-day Twiggs Momentum would strengthen the bull signal. * Target calculation: 81 + ( 81 - 78\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7558","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7558"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7558\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7558"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7558"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7558"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}