{"id":7066,"date":"2013-03-19T02:07:05","date_gmt":"2013-03-19T06:07:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=7066"},"modified":"2013-03-19T02:07:05","modified_gmt":"2013-03-19T06:07:05","slug":"sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/","title":{"rendered":"S&#038;P 500 and Europe: Likely to blow over"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Question: Is the outcry in Europe going to tip the S&amp;P 500 into a correction?<\/p>\n<p>Answer: The outcome is uncertain. While there is a strong case for <a title=\"Cyprus: Deposit Insurance and Moral Hazard\" href=\"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/2013\/03\/18\/cyprus-deposit-insurance-and-moral-hazard\/\" target=\"_blank\">giving depositors and bondholders a haircut<\/a>, the timing &#8212; so soon after an inconclusive Italian election &#8212; could not be worse. But let&#8217;s see what the market are saying&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>Longish tail on the S&amp;P 500 shows buying support at the close. Mild bearish divergence (mild because TMF has leveled out rather than falling sharply) on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term selling pressure. We are likely to see retracement to the first line of support &#8212; at the previous high of 1525\/1530 &#8212; but only breach of this level and the rising trendline would warn of a correction. Target for the current advance is 1600*.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-03-18-spx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 1525 + ( 1525 &#8211; 1475 ) = 1575<\/p>\n<p>VIX Volatility Index remains low &#8212; near its 2005 lows at 0.10. Breakout above 0.20 would be a warn of rising uncertainty.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"VIX Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-03-18-vix.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><br \/>\nThe FTSE 100 exhibits an even longer tail, but bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow also indicates medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below the latest rising trendline (6400) would warn of a correction, while breakout above 6550 would continue the advance to 6800*.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"FTSE 100 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-03-18-ftse.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 6400 + ( 6400 \u2013 6000 ) = 6800<\/p>\n<p>The DAX showed even greater resilience, closing back above 8000. Follow-through above 8100 would signal a fresh primary advance. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates medium-term buying pressure.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"DAX Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-03-18-dax.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>Conclusion<\/h3>\n<blockquote style=\"background-color:#eeeeff;\"><p>There is bound to be some turbulence but markets are showing resilience and the storm is likely to blow over.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Question: Is the outcry in Europe going to tip the S&amp;P 500 into a correction? Answer: The outcome is uncertain. While there is a strong case for giving depositors and bondholders a haircut, the timing &#8212; so soon after an inconclusive Italian election &#8212; could not be worse. But let&#8217;s see what the market are &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;S&#038;P 500 and Europe: Likely to blow over&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,33,34],"tags":[64,947,1481,3014],"class_list":["post-7066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-uk-europe-countries-regions","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-vix","tag-dax","tag-ftse-100","tag-sp-500-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>S&#038;P 500 and Europe: Likely to blow over - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"S&#038;P 500 and Europe: Likely to blow over - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Question: Is the outcry in Europe going to tip the S&amp;P 500 into a correction? Answer: The outcome is uncertain. While there is a strong case for giving depositors and bondholders a haircut, the timing &#8212; so soon after an inconclusive Italian election &#8212; could not be worse. But let&#8217;s see what the market are &hellip; Continue reading &quot;S&#038;P 500 and Europe: Likely to blow over&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-03-19T06:07:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-03-18-spx.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"S&#038;P 500 and Europe: Likely to blow over\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-03-19T06:07:05+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/\"},\"wordCount\":250,\"commentCount\":9,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-03-18-spx.png\",\"keywords\":[\"$VIX\",\"DAX\",\"FTSE 100\",\"S&amp;P 500 Index\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Stock Markets\",\"UK &amp; Europe\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/\",\"name\":\"S&#038;P 500 and Europe: Likely to blow over - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-03-18-spx.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-03-19T06:07:05+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-03-18-spx.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-03-18-spx.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/19\/sp-500-and-europe-likely-to-blow-over\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"S&#038;P 500 and Europe: Likely to blow over\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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US market sentiment remains bullish, while Europe hesitates on Portuguese banking worries. As Shane Oliver observed: \"Could there be a correction? Yes. Is it start of new bear mkt? Unlikely. Bull mkts end\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-11-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-11-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-11-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13850,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/12\/market-bullish-despite-europe-bank-worries-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":7066,"position":1},"title":"Market bullish despite Europe bank worries","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 12, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"S&P 500 advance to 2000 likely. Europe warns of correction. China further consolidation expected. ASX 200 hesitant. US market sentiment remains bullish, while Europe hesitates on Portuguese banking worries. As Shane Oliver observed: \"Could there be a correction? Yes. Is it start of new bear mkt? Unlikely. Bull mkts end\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-11-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-11-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-11-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":10440,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/29\/dow-and-sp-500-remain-bullish\/","url_meta":{"origin":7066,"position":2},"title":"Dow and S&#038;P 500 remain bullish","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 29, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Industrial Average found support at 16950, with long tails indicating short-term buying pressure. Recovery above 17075 would indicate a fresh advance; above 17150 would confirm. A close below 16950 is less likely, but would warn of a correction to 16500. The decline of 21-day Twiggs Money Flow indicates\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Industrial Average","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-29-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-29-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-07-29-dow.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":15496,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/06\/23\/europe-mild-correction\/","url_meta":{"origin":7066,"position":3},"title":"Europe: Mild correction","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 23, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 is undergoing a correction to test medium-term support at 3500. Declining Twiggs Money Flow indicates moderate selling pressure but long-term troughs above zero suggest a bull market. Respect of support is likely and would signal an advance to the 2015 high at 3800*. * Target\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7533,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/23\/nikkei-and-asx-200-rally-while-china-europe-weaken\/","url_meta":{"origin":7066,"position":4},"title":"Nikkei and ASX 200 rally, while China &#038; Europe weaken","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 23, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Respect of support at 1540 and the bottom trend channel indicates a S&P 500 rally to test 1600 and the upper channel line. Failure to break resistance at 1600 would warn of a correction as signaled by mild bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow. * Target calculation: 1350 +\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":21486,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/09\/12\/europe-north-america-selling-pressure-builds\/","url_meta":{"origin":7066,"position":5},"title":"Europe &#038; North America: Selling pressure builds","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 12, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The Footsie displays a broad Money Flow peak at zero, warning of strong selling pressure. Breach of support at 6000 has warned of another test of primary support at 5000 for the last two months but the index has so far continued to consolidate in a descending channel; too big\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7066","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7066"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7066\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7066"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7066"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7066"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}