{"id":6979,"date":"2013-03-14T22:16:22","date_gmt":"2013-03-15T02:16:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6979"},"modified":"2013-03-14T22:16:22","modified_gmt":"2013-03-15T02:16:22","slug":"expanding-debt-dousing-the-flames-with-gasoline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/14\/expanding-debt-dousing-the-flames-with-gasoline\/","title":{"rendered":"Expanding debt: Dousing the flames with gasoline"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We are now in the fifth year of recovery from the worst financial crisis in 50 years &#8212; fueled by expanding household debt, rising from 50% of GDP in the 1980s to close to 100% in 2008. Contraction since the GFC has brought US household debt back to 80% of GDP&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Household Debt as % of GDP\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/research.stlouisfed.org\/fred2\/graph\/fredgraph.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>But a worrying sign is that consumer debt has started to rise<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Consumer Debt as a % of Disposable Income\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/research.stlouisfed.org\/fred2\/graph\/fredgraph.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:left;\">And Steve Keen points out that margin debt is also rising, fueling the latest stock market rally.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\">\n<a title=\"Yahoo: Steve Keen Interview\" href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/WNyV93QS3E\" target=\"_blank\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Yahoo: Steve Keen Interview\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/stevekeen-margindebt.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n[click on the image to view the video in a separate window]<\/p>\n<p>Holding interest rates at artificially low levels for an extended period risks fueling another credit bubble. The Fed\/central bank needs to react quickly to expanding credit in any area of the economy. We all hope for a recovery, but it must be sustainable &#8212; with consumption fueled by rising employment rather than rising debt &#8212; and not another debt-fueled boom-then-bust.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We are now in the fifth year of recovery from the worst financial crisis in 50 years &#8212; fueled by expanding household debt, rising from 50% of GDP in the 1980s to close to 100% in 2008. Contraction since the GFC has brought US household debt back to 80% of GDP&#8230; But a worrying sign &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/14\/expanding-debt-dousing-the-flames-with-gasoline\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Expanding debt: Dousing the flames with gasoline&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,45,34],"tags":[796,1726,2218],"class_list":["post-6979","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-debt-levels","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-consumer-debt","tag-household-debt","tag-margin-debt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Expanding debt: Dousing the flames with gasoline - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Expanding debt: Dousing the flames with gasoline - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We are now in the fifth year of recovery from the worst financial crisis in 50 years &#8212; fueled by expanding household debt, rising from 50% of GDP in the 1980s to close to 100% in 2008. Contraction since the GFC has brought US household debt back to 80% of GDP&#8230; But a worrying sign &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Expanding debt: Dousing the flames with gasoline&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/14\/expanding-debt-dousing-the-flames-with-gasoline\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-03-15T02:16:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/research.stlouisfed.org\/fred2\/graph\/fredgraph.png?graph_id=112127\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/03\\\/14\\\/expanding-debt-dousing-the-flames-with-gasoline\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/03\\\/14\\\/expanding-debt-dousing-the-flames-with-gasoline\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Expanding debt: Dousing the flames with gasoline\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-03-15T02:16:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/03\\\/14\\\/expanding-debt-dousing-the-flames-with-gasoline\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":155,\"commentCount\":14,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/03\\\/14\\\/expanding-debt-dousing-the-flames-with-gasoline\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/research.stlouisfed.org\\\/fred2\\\/graph\\\/fredgraph.png?graph_id=112127\",\"keywords\":[\"consumer debt\",\"household debt\",\"margin debt\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Banks &amp; 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Household debt subsequently fell to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":38974,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/11\/22\/australias-debt-end-game\/","url_meta":{"origin":6979,"position":1},"title":"Australia&#8217;s debt end game","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 22, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"We are nearing the end of a thirty year bull market in credit, during which time the overnight cash rate in Australia fell from 18% in 1989 to 0.03% in 2021. Low interest rates enabled households to borrow more relative to their income, with housing debt expanding 4.5 times, over\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3578,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/02\/23\/canadas-household-debt-is-rising-wsj-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":6979,"position":2},"title":"Canada&#8217;s Household Debt Is Rising &#8211; WSJ.com","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 23, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"OTTAWA\u2014Increased household debt in Canada, underpinned by rising house prices and low interest rates, poses a key domestic risk to financial stability, the Bank of Canada said on Thursday. The finding, contained in the central bank's quarterly economic review, was the latest in a series of warnings from economists and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Debt Levels&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13713,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/11\/06\/is-the-market-in-a-bubble\/","url_meta":{"origin":6979,"position":3},"title":"Is the market in a bubble?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 6, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"As global growth recovers we expect equity markets to be buoyed by improvements in both earnings and dividends, with strong momentum over the quarter. There is much discussion in the media as to whether various markets are in a \"bubble\". Little attention is devoted to the fact that bubbles can\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"US Household Debt","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-11-18-us-excsresns.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-11-18-us-excsresns.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2013\/2013-11-18-us-excsresns.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":14739,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/01\/30\/bis-high-household-debt-kills-growth-macrobusiness\/","url_meta":{"origin":6979,"position":4},"title":"BIS: High household debt kills growth | Macrobusiness","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 30, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"From Leith van Onselen, reproduced with kind permission from Macrobusiness: Last month I showed how Australia\u2019s ratio of household debt to GDP had hit 123% of GDP \u2013 the third highest in the world \u2013 according to data released by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS): Martin North also compiled\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ScreenHunter_16670 Dec. 13 07.13","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/ScreenHunter_16670-Dec.-13-07.13-240x660.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":41226,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/03\/14\/volatility-how-does-australia-compare\/","url_meta":{"origin":6979,"position":5},"title":"Volatility: How Does Australia Compare?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 14, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week we covered suppression of volatility in complex systems and showed how Fed suppression of interest rate has destroyed productivity, causing debt to grow at a faster rate than GDP. Quick Recap The ratio of federal government debt increased to a precarious 121% of GDP at the end of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Federal Government Debt & Non-Financial Private Debt\/GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-07-debt-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-07-debt-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-07-debt-gdp.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6979","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6979"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6979\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6979"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6979"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6979"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}