{"id":6782,"date":"2013-02-24T18:15:16","date_gmt":"2013-02-24T23:15:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6782"},"modified":"2013-02-24T18:15:16","modified_gmt":"2013-02-24T23:15:16","slug":"scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/24\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\/","title":{"rendered":"Scott Minerd: The Keynesian Depression &#124; John Mauldin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Scott Minerd, Chief Investment Officer at Guggenheim Funds, writes:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"background-color:#ddddff;\">\n<p>Though some may be cheered by the relative policy successes this time around, at the current trajectory it will still take almost as long for total employment to fully recover as it did in the 1930s. While job loss was not as severe this time, the recovery in job creation has been much slower. Although nominal and real gross domestic production have returned to new highs on a per capita basis, we are still below 2007 levels. In the same way the Great Depression and the depressions before it lasted eight to 10 years, we will likely continue to see constrained economic growth until 2015-2016 roughly nine years after U.S. home prices began to slide.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Read more at <a href='http:\/\/www.mauldineconomics.com\/images\/uploads\/pdf\/OTB130222.pdf'>Scott Minerd: The Keynesian Depression | John Mauldin &#8211; Outside the Box<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Scott Minerd, Chief Investment Officer at Guggenheim Funds, writes: Though some may be cheered by the relative policy successes this time around, at the current trajectory it will still take almost as long for total employment to fully recover as it did in the 1930s. While job loss was not as severe this time, the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/24\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Scott Minerd: The Keynesian Depression &#124; John Mauldin&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,34],"tags":[1227,1524,1612,1613,2884],"class_list":["post-6782","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-employment","tag-gdp","tag-great-depression","tag-great-recession","tag-recovery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scott Minerd: The Keynesian Depression &#124; John Mauldin - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scott Minerd: The Keynesian Depression &#124; John Mauldin - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Scott Minerd, Chief Investment Officer at Guggenheim Funds, writes: Though some may be cheered by the relative policy successes this time around, at the current trajectory it will still take almost as long for total employment to fully recover as it did in the 1930s. While job loss was not as severe this time, the &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Scott Minerd: The Keynesian Depression &#124; John Mauldin&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/02\/24\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-02-24T23:15:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/02\\\/24\\\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/02\\\/24\\\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Scott Minerd: The Keynesian Depression &#124; John Mauldin\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-02-24T23:15:16+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/02\\\/24\\\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":144,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Employment\",\"GDP\",\"Great Depression\",\"Great Recession\",\"recovery\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Economy\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/02\\\/24\\\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/02\\\/24\\\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/02\\\/24\\\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\\\/\",\"name\":\"Scott Minerd: The Keynesian Depression &#124; John Mauldin - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2013-02-24T23:15:16+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/02\\\/24\\\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/02\\\/24\\\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2013\\\/02\\\/24\\\/scott-minerd-the-keynesian-depression-john-mauldin\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Scott Minerd: The Keynesian Depression &#124; John Mauldin\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\\\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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Lee","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 29, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"With the ideological shift, supported by the intellectual acceptance of Keynes\u2019s General Theory, politicians found themselves with an excuse to do what most had always wanted to do -- take more money from the general public and transfer it to favored groups (or voting blocs). The benefits are invariably less\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7842,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/06\/02\/scott-sumner-its-complicated-the-great-depression-in-the-us-the-market-monetarist\/","url_meta":{"origin":6782,"position":1},"title":"Scott Sumner: \u201cIt\u2019s Complicated: The Great Depression in the US\u201d | The Market Monetarist","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 2, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Lars Christensen writes of a 2010 lecture by Scott Sumner did at Oxford Hayek Society on the causes of the Great Depression. Scott does a great job showing that policy failure \u2013 both in the terms of monetary policy and labour market regulation \u2013 caused and prolonged the Great Depression.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economic Theory&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economic Theory","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/economic-theory\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":21401,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/09\/05\/rapid-recovery-or-prolonged-depression\/","url_meta":{"origin":6782,"position":2},"title":"Rapid recovery or prolonged depression?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 5, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"US unemployment fell to 8.4% in August. Annual change in non-farm payroll recovered to -6.98%. Initial claims declined to 881,000. But that excludes Pandemic Unemployment Insurance (PUA) introduced under the CARES Act. PUA initial claims climbed to 759,482 for the week ended August 29, compared to 524,986 two weeks earlier.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;US &amp; Canada&quot;","block_context":{"text":"US &amp; Canada","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/us-canada-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11306,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/11\/08\/a-growth-pact-for-america-by-glenn-hubbard-project-syndicate\/","url_meta":{"origin":6782,"position":3},"title":"A Growth Pact for America by Glenn Hubbard | Project Syndicate","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 8, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Glenn Hubbard, former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President George W. Bush, and Dean of Columbia Business School proposes: ....two policies are particularly promising for such a \u201cPact for America\u201d: federal infrastructure spending and corporate-tax reform. Enactment of these reforms would generate a win for each side\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Deficit Spending &amp; Employment&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Deficit Spending &amp; Employment","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/deficit-spending-employment\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4547,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/05\/ron-paul-v-paul-krugman-austrian-v-keynesian\/","url_meta":{"origin":6782,"position":4},"title":"Ron Paul v. Paul Krugman: Austrian v. Keynesian","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 5, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Aired on Bloomberg TV 4-30-2012 Ron Paul vs Paul Krugman Debate http:\/\/youtu.be\/WEoGKpnutyA Paul Krugman is simply wrong about needing the government to set interest rates. The market would do a better job of managing demand and supply. Where government is needed is to regulate the banks and prevent excessive debt\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/WEoGKpnutyA\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":63537,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/02\/who-is-kevin-warsh\/","url_meta":{"origin":6782,"position":5},"title":"Who is Kevin Warsh?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 2, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"From Michael Howell: Regarding monetary policy, Warsh wants to ditch the embedded Keynesian Phillip\u2019s Curve ideology and to bring \u2018money\u2019 back into Fed thinking. Less group-think is crucial. The Fed is: \u201c\u2026 a Central Bank that has inflation models that are stuck in 1978; with a governance system from a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6782","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6782"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6782\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6782"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6782"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6782"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}