{"id":65530,"date":"2026-08-02T10:32:26","date_gmt":"2026-08-02T10:32:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=65530"},"modified":"2026-08-02T10:43:28","modified_gmt":"2026-08-02T10:43:28","slug":"4-key-takeaways-from-the-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/08\/02\/4-key-takeaways-from-the-week\/","title":{"rendered":"4 Key Takeaways for the Week"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Long-term Treasury yields climbed after the Fed kept rates unchanged.<\/li>\n<li>The Japanese Yen is weakening as the Bank of Japan slow walks rate hikes.<\/li>\n<li>Gold absorbs selling pressure as long-term rates rise.<\/li>\n<li>China&#8217;s economy is slowing.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>Treasury Market<\/h2>\n<p>The bond market has been anticipating a rate hike. This has been signaled since the 2-year Treasury yield broke above the Fed funds target range in March 2026.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-2y-ffr.png?resize=525%2C372&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"2-Year Treasury Yield &amp; Fed Funds Target (Upper Limit)\" width=\"525\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The FOMC voted to keep the Fed funds rate unchanged, with a target range of 3.5% to 3.75%. There were 3 dissenting votes, calling for a rate hike. The new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, is encouraging opposing views, and we can expect more dissent in the future. Warsh has also avoided forward guidance, which is likely to increase volatility in the bond market and consequently the term premium.<\/p>\n<p>10-year Treasury yields climbed to 4.745% on Friday, reflecting market concern that the FOMC is not taking a more hawkish stance on inflation.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-tnx.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yield\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>GDP grew at 6.5% over the 12 months to June, suggesting that the 10-year yield needs to rise by at least 175 basis points if the Fed is serious about containing inflation. Long-term interest rates below nominal GDP growth (the rate of return on new capital investment) encourage rapid credit growth, with demand expanding faster than output.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-10y-ngdp.png?resize=525%2C372&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yield &amp; Nominal GDP Growth\" width=\"525\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Japan &amp; the Sovereign Bond Market<\/h2>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s GDP grew by 3.6% over the 12 months to March 2026. The 10-year JGB yield is 2.8%, indicating that monetary policy remains stimulative, but less so than the US.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-japan-10y-ngdp.png?resize=525%2C372&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yield &amp; Nominal GDP Growth\" width=\"525\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate at 1.0% at last week&#8217;s meeting despite an upturn in CPI to 1.7%. The weakening Yen drives higher inflation.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-japan-cpi.png?resize=525%2C359&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Japanese CPI Inflation\" width=\"525\" height=\"359\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The low BOJ policy rate and ongoing bond purchases aimed at suppressing long-term JGB yields undermine the currency. The Yen has steadily weakened, breaking above 160 against the Dollar in June 2026 to reach its highest level in 39 years. Japan&#8217;s Ministry of Finance intervened on Thursday to support the Yen, driving the exchange rate to 157 against the Dollar. However, the effect of these MoF interventions is short-lived because of BoJ policy.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-jpy.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Japanese Yen\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Rising long-term yields in sovereign bond markets reflect growing concern over sovereign debt levels and the risk of fiscal dominance. When central bank policy is dominated by government bond markets&#8217; need for support, with lower interest rates prioritized above containing inflation, the currency&#8217;s purchasing power is eroded, as in Japan.<\/p>\n<p>The US 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.275%, reflecting concerns over currency debasement.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-us30y.png?resize=525%2C332&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"30-Year Treasury Yield\" width=\"525\" height=\"332\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Japanese JGB yield is lower at 3.98%, but this reflects sizable ongoing QE by the Bank of Japan aimed at suppressing long-term rates.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-jp30y.png?resize=525%2C332&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"30-Year JGB Yield\" width=\"525\" height=\"332\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Japan has higher debt levels relative to GDP than the UK and should theoretically trade at a higher yield. The difference in the 30-year Gilt yield lies in central bank monetary policy: the Bank of England is steadily shrinking its balance sheet, while the BoJ is actively buying JGBs in the secondary market to suppress yields.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-gb30y.png?resize=525%2C332&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"30-Year UK Gilts Yield\" width=\"525\" height=\"332\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Dollar &amp; Gold<\/h2>\n<p>Rising short-term yields are strengthening the Dollar, with the 1-Year Treasury yield gaining more than 50 basis points in the last 6 months.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-us1y.png?resize=525%2C332&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"1-Year Treasury Yield (CNBC)\" width=\"525\" height=\"332\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold has softened considerably from its peak of $5,500 per ounce and has been testing primary support at $4,000 over the past 8 weeks.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-gold.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold ETF inflows slowed in the first half of 2026 but remained positive, driven by continued inflows into Asian funds. North America experienced an outflow of $7.7 billion, European inflows slowed to $3.2 billion, while Asia recorded a strong inflow of $12 billion.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-gold-etfs.png?resize=525%2C216&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Gold ETF Flows\" width=\"525\" height=\"216\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Average daily trading volumes surged to a record $488 billion in the first half of 2026.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-gold-liquidity.png?resize=525%2C216&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Gold Average Daily Trading Volumes\" width=\"525\" height=\"216\" \/><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>OTC trading, led by the LBMA, averaged US$249bn\/day, substantially above 2025 levels and underscoring the depth of institutional participation. Exchange-traded volumes also jumped, reaching US$227bn\/day \u2013 22% higher than the 2025 average \u2013 supported by elevated investor activity. Meanwhile, global Gold ETF trading averaged US$12bn\/day \u2013 up 73% from 2025 \u2013 fueled primarily by robust trading in US funds as investors increasingly turned to Gold amid heightened macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>Comex futures net longs increased to 538 tonnes, up 16% since May, and the highest month-end level since January despite a weakening gold price. A closer look shows retail participation (non-reportable net longs declined in June, while other reportables, which capture large trades outside the managed money category, were up 16% from May. Managed money net longs remained broadly stable, declining by just 43 tonnes year-to-date. Again, H1 investor behavior differed: retail positioning largely tracked short-term price movements while larger traders\u2019 positions have, in general, stayed stable since mid-March. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/data\/global-gold-backed-etf-holdings-and-flows\">WGC<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Comex contracts standing for delivery jumped to 13,123 in July from 8,838 in May, and a 9.0% increase over July last year.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-gold-comex-deliveries.png?resize=525%2C380&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" width=\"525\" height=\"380\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>China<\/h2>\n<p>The Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.2 in July, down sharply from 50.3 in June. Values below 50 indicate a contraction in the manufacturing sector.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-31-china-nbs-mnfg-pmi.png?resize=525%2C359&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"China: NBS Manufacturing PMI\" width=\"525\" height=\"359\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The OECD Composite Leading Indicator for China fell to 98.6 in June, below its long-term average of 100, signaling a contraction.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-china-oecd-cli.png?resize=525%2C359&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"OECD: China Composite Leading Indicator\" width=\"525\" height=\"359\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The RBA&#8217;s activity indicators for China show industrial production is holding up, boosted by record exports. However, real retail sales growth has stalled, while fixed asset investment has contracted sharply following Trump&#8217;s tariff blitz last year.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/china-activity-indicators.gif?resize=525%2C441&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"OECD: China Activity Indicators\" width=\"525\" height=\"441\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Household credit growth (purple below) has also stalled. Business credit has taken up the slack, but government credit growth is also contracting.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/china-total-social-financing.gif?resize=525%2C489&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"OECD: China Total Social Financing\" width=\"525\" height=\"489\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>10-year US Treasury yields jumped to 4.745% after the Fed kept its funds target range at 3.5%-3.75%, reflecting bond market concerns over inflation.<\/p>\n<p>The new Fed Chair&#8217;s strategy is to keep short-term rates low and allow long-term rates to rise, to slow the rate of demand growth in the economy and curb inflation. However, nominal GDP is growing at an annual rate of 6.5%, which means that 10-year Treasury yields would need to rise by 175 basis points to keep inflation in check. An increase to 6.5% would likely cause a sharp contraction in stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s Ministry of Finance has intervened to support the Yen. However, the effects will likely be short-lived, as the Bank of Japan continues to maintain stimulative monetary policy, which fuels inflation and undermines the currency.<\/p>\n<p>Rising long-term sovereign debt yields reflect bond market concerns over rising sovereign debt and the risk of fiscal dominance, as in Japan, where the central bank has prioritized maintaining an orderly bond market above price stability. Erosion of the currency purchasing power is the inevitable outcome.<\/p>\n<p>Gold has found strong support at $4,000 per ounce, with long-term investors prepared to wait out the turmoil in the Middle East. Demand from Asian investors has been particularly strong, but could be undermined if China goes into recession.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s economy shows increasing signs of contraction, precipitated by a decline in business investment following President Trump&#8217;s 2025 tariff attack. Household credit and real retail sales have stalled, and the NBS Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.2, signaling a contraction. Higher fuel prices would be an added headwind that could tip the economy into recession.<\/p>\n<h4>Acknowledgments<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Federal Reserve of St Louis: <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/\">FRED Data<\/a><\/li>\n<li>CNBC: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/US2Y\">Government Bond Yields<\/a><\/li>\n<li>World Gold Council, GoldHub: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/data\/global-gold-backed-etf-holdings-and-flows\">Gold ETF Flows<\/a><\/li>\n<li>SchiffGold: <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4929128-comex-delivery-volume-remains-elevated-inventories-not-impacted\">Comex: Delivery Volume Remains Elevated But Inventories Are Not Impacted<\/a><\/li>\n<li>TradingEconomics: <a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/china\/composite-leading-indicator\">China: OECD Composite Leading Indicator &amp; Japan CPI<\/a><\/li>\n<li>RBA Chart Pack: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rba.gov.au\/chart-pack\/world-economy.html\">China Activity &amp; Total Social Financing<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points Long-term Treasury yields climbed after the Fed kept rates unchanged. The Japanese Yen is weakening as the Bank of Japan slow walks rate hikes. Gold absorbs selling pressure as long-term rates rise. China&#8217;s economy is slowing. Treasury Market The bond market has been anticipating a rate hike. This has been signaled since the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/08\/02\/4-key-takeaways-from-the-week\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;4 Key Takeaways for the Week&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,41,45,3761,9,17,6165,19,34],"tags":[4877,69,7402,663,6788,4724,7403,7400,1072,4996,1353,1429,1446,1578,1934,1935,2486,7401],"class_list":["post-65530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-china-hk","category-debt-levels","category-gdp-and-activity","category-gold-precious-metals","category-japan-korea","category-japanese-yen","category-middle-east","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-1-year-treasury-yield","tag-10-year-treasury-yield","tag-30-year-yields","tag-china","tag-china-nbs-manufacturing-pmi","tag-comex-futures","tag-comex-physical-deliveries","tag-composite-leading-indicator","tag-dollar","tag-etf-inflows","tag-fed-funds-rate","tag-fomc","tag-forward-guidance","tag-gold-2","tag-japan","tag-japanese-yen","tag-nominal-gdp-growth","tag-sovereign-bonds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>4 Key Takeaways for the Week - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"4 Key Takeaways for the Week - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points Long-term Treasury yields climbed after the Fed kept rates unchanged. The Japanese Yen is weakening as the Bank of Japan slow walks rate hikes. Gold absorbs selling pressure as long-term rates rise. China&#8217;s economy is slowing. Treasury Market The bond market has been anticipating a rate hike. This has been signaled since the &hellip; Continue reading &quot;4 Key Takeaways for the Week&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/08\/02\/4-key-takeaways-from-the-week\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-08-02T10:32:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-02T10:43:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-08-01-2y-ffr.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/08\\\/02\\\/4-key-takeaways-from-the-week\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/08\\\/02\\\/4-key-takeaways-from-the-week\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"4 Key Takeaways for the Week\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-08-02T10:32:26+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-08-02T10:43:28+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/08\\\/02\\\/4-key-takeaways-from-the-week\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1167,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/08\\\/02\\\/4-key-takeaways-from-the-week\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-08-01-2y-ffr.png\",\"keywords\":[\"1-Year Treasury Yield\",\"10-Year Treasury Yield\",\"30-Year Yields\",\"China\",\"China NBS Manufacturing PMI\",\"COMEX Futures\",\"COMEX Physical Deliveries\",\"Composite Leading Indicator\",\"dollar\",\"ETF Inflows\",\"Fed funds rate\",\"FOMC\",\"forward guidance\",\"Gold\",\"Japan\",\"Japanese yen\",\"nominal GDP growth\",\"Sovereign Bonds\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Banks &amp; 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients. Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit. 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Financial markets reacted to the meeting's hawkish tone, with the 2-year Treasury yield climbing to 4.17%. Inflation has been above the Fed's 2.0% target for more than 5 years, and inflationary pressures are growing. Kevin\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Fed Chair Kevin Warsh","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/kevin-warsh.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":57467,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/09\/13\/gold-breaks-out-to-new-high\/","url_meta":{"origin":65530,"position":1},"title":"Gold breaks out to new high","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 13, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold broke resistance at $2,525 per ounce, signaling another advance with a target of $2,600. Silver also made solid gains as the Dollar weakened. Markets anticipate a Fed rate cut at next week's FOMC meeting, with 10-year Treasury yields below 3.7%. The S&P 500 rally continues, approaching another test of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-12-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-12-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-12-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":48611,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/02\/17\/crude-breakout-warns-of-higher-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":65530,"position":2},"title":"Crude breakout warns of higher inflation","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 17, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 is retracing to test new support at 5000 but respect is likely. Trend Index troughs above zero signal strong buying pressure. The massive rally is likely to continue for as long as the Fed and Treasury continue injecting liquidity in financial markets. Russell 2000 Small Caps (IWM)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-16-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-16-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-16-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":57492,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/09\/14\/sp-500-and-gold-bullish-with-expected-fed-rate-cut\/","url_meta":{"origin":65530,"position":3},"title":"S&#038;P 500 and gold bullish with Fed rate cut expected","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 14, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The recent liquidity decline is slowing, and the S&P 500, with large caps leading the way, is headed for another test of its July high at 5670. Long-term Treasury yields are at their lowest level in more than a year as financial markets anticipate a Fed rate cut on September\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-13-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":62459,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/18\/62459\/","url_meta":{"origin":65530,"position":4},"title":"Powell walks the tightrope with the latest FOMC decision","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 18, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, with two more expected this year. 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After climbing to 160 against the US Dollar it fell as low as 155. There appear to be conflicting views within the Japanese government\/central bank as to whether to defend the Yen's fall. Robin Brooks at the Brookings Institute: In Japan, policy is descending\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Japanese Yen","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-29-jpy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-29-jpy.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-29-jpy.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65530"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65530\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65542,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65530\/revisions\/65542"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}