{"id":65255,"date":"2026-07-14T10:19:51","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T10:19:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=65255"},"modified":"2026-07-14T10:20:37","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T10:20:37","slug":"war-inflation-gold-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/14\/war-inflation-gold-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"War, Inflation &#038; Gold to the Moon"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>The war in the Persian Gulf is hotting up, with both sides trading missile strikes and threatening to blockade shipping.<\/li>\n<li>Brent Crude rose to $85.40 per barrel.<\/li>\n<li>Crude and finished product inventories are declining, increasing upward pressure on gasoline and diesel prices.<\/li>\n<li>Interest rates are rising in expectation of higher inflation.<\/li>\n<li>The Dollar is rising in expectation of higher rates.<\/li>\n<li>Gold and commodities face increased selling pressure as the Dollar strengthens.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<blockquote><p>DUBAI\/WASHINGTON\/CAIRO, July 13 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/iran-escalates-attacks-us-bases-gulf-states-warns-more-incidents-strait-2026-07-13\/\">Reuters<\/a>) &#8211; The U.S. military carried out a third consecutive night of strikes against Iran on Monday and two tankers came under \u200bfire in the Strait of Hormuz, after President Donald Trump said the United States was reinstating its blockade of Iranian shipping in the Gulf and would ensure that the strategic waterway stayed open \u2014 for a fee.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;.Soon after, the United Arab Emirates Ministry of Defense said Iranian cruise missiles struck two Emirati oil tankers, the Mombasa and Al Bahiyah, while transiting the southern lane of the strait in Omani territorial waters, killing one crew member and injuring eight others.<\/p>\n<p>The \u200bUnited Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations agency said a tanker had been hit by an unknown projectile while traveling 40 nautical miles northeast of Oman&#8217;s Qalhat and that all crew were safe.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The Hormuz Strait is OPEN, and will remain OPEN, with or \u2060without Iran. We are reinstating THE IRANIAN BLOCKADE,&#8221; Trump had said earlier on Monday on Truth Social.<br \/>\n&#8220;The U.S.A. will be, from this point forward, known as &#8216;THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT&#8217;, but as such, and as a matter of FAIRNESS, will be reimbursed, \u200bat the rate of 20% on all cargo shipped.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;.The UN&#8217;s shipping agency pushed back against Trump&#8217;s proposal, saying it opposes any fees for straits used in international navigation and stressing that there is no legal basis for introducing mandatory tolls on strait transits.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;.Iran&#8217;s state TV cited the Iranian army as saying that it targeted a &#8220;hostile&#8221; U.S. vessel with cruise missiles and U.S. facilities and equipment in \u200bKuwait with drones. Iranian media also said the Revolutionary Guards shot down a U.S. MQ-1 drone over Hormuz, while sirens sounded early on Tuesday in Bahrain &#8211; home to another U.S. military base.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Brent Crude (September futures) jumped to $85.40 per barrel.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-brent-sep26.png?resize=525%2C278&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Brent Crude Futures (ICE September'26)\" width=\"525\" height=\"278\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) fell to 319.5 million barrels on July 3, a decline of 6 million barrels for the week.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-eia-spr.png?resize=525%2C394&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"EIA Strategic Petroleum reserve (SPR)\" width=\"525\" height=\"394\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Overall crude stocks, including SPR, declined to 1.517 billion barrels, the lowest level in 23 years.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-eia-inventory.png?resize=525%2C394&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"EIA Crude &amp; Petroleum Products Inventories (incl. SPR)\" width=\"525\" height=\"394\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Stocks of Gasoline (blue) and Diesel (brown) are close to their floor of 200 million barrels and 100 million barrels, respectively.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-eia-gas-diesel-inventory.png?resize=525%2C394&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"EIA US Gasoline &amp; Distillate Inventory\" width=\"525\" height=\"394\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gasoline prices declined to a US average of $3.777 per gallon by July 6.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-eia-gasprices.png?resize=525%2C394&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"EIA US Gasoline Prices\" width=\"525\" height=\"394\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Diesel prices also softened to $4.578 per gallon.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-eia-dieselprice.png?resize=525%2C394&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"EIA US Diesel Prices\" width=\"525\" height=\"394\" \/><\/p>\n<p>However, the 3-2-1 crack spread<sup>3<\/sup> widened to $62.17 per barrel, indicating that refiners are taking advantage of low finished product inventories to widen their margins. However, there is speculation that crude futures prices are being distorted, and refiners are paying more than the quoted price per barrel to secure supplies.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-crackspread.png?resize=378%2C189&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Energy Channel: 3-2-1 Crack Spread\" width=\"378\" height=\"189\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average is tentative, with three red candles over the past five days, and a fall below 52,000 would signal a correction.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-dow.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Financial Markets<\/h2>\n<p>2-year Treasury yields jumped to 4.29%, more than 50 basis points above the target range for the Fed funds rate. Financial markets are anticipating higher crude prices to increase inflationary pressure, forcing the Fed to raise rates.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-us2y.png?resize=525%2C278&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"2-Year Treasury Yield (CNBC)\" width=\"525\" height=\"278\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index continues its downtrend, indicating ample liquidity in financial markets.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-nfci.png?resize=525%2C372&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<p>However, Bitcoin<sup>1<\/sup> is testing primary support at 60,000, warning that financial markets are becoming risk averse. A fall below support would warn of a sharp contraction in liquidity in financial markets.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-btc.png?resize=525%2C360&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC)\" width=\"525\" height=\"360\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Treasury Markets<\/h2>\n<p>10-year Treasury yields jumped to above 4.6% in anticipation of higher inflation and higher interest rates. A breakout above 4.7% would offer a target of 5.0% \u2014 a third rail for the economy.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-tnx.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yield\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Dollar &amp; Gold<\/h2>\n<p>The Dollar Index rallied in expectation of higher interest rates.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-dxy.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The stronger Dollar triggered another Gold test of primary support at $4,000 per ounce. However, rising Trend Index troughs below zero indicate buying pressure at the support level.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-gold.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Energy Transition<\/h2>\n<p>The strong Dollar is also causing a sell-off in energy transition metals.<\/p>\n<p>Sprott Uranium Miners ETF<sup>2<\/sup> (URNM) is testing primary support at 50. Declining Trend Index peaks below zero warn of strong selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-urnm.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM)\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Sprott Copper Miners ETF<sup>2<\/sup> (COPP) crossed below its 50-week moving average, indicating another test of primary support at 32.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-copp.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Sprott Copper Miners ETF (COPP)\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Sprott Lithium Miners ETF<sup>2<\/sup> (LITP) is testing primary support at 11.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-litp.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Sprott Lithium Miners ETF (LITP)\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Sprott Critical Materials ETF<sup>2<\/sup> (SETM) has broken primary support at 30. A follow-through below the previous week&#8217;s low would confirm a target of 20.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-setm.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM)\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>We expect a steep rise in crude prices. Lower inventory levels indicate there are fewer reserves to cushion the impact of a supply shortage. Falling gasoline and diesel inventories warn of a sharp price rise ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Interest rates are rising in anticipation of higher inflation, fueled by energy prices, which in turn increases support for the Dollar.<\/p>\n<p>The strong Dollar increases selling pressure on precious metals and commodities such as uranium, copper, lithium, and critical minerals.<\/p>\n<p>High inflation may reduce speculative demand for Gold in the short-term because of the likely increased carrying cost, but it increases investment demand for the metal as an inflation hedge. What will light the afterburners, however, is if the Fed suppresses interest rates to support the Treasury market.<\/p>\n<p>Chinese demand is the largest driver of Gold prices in the long term, and low prices will likely trigger an increase in buying, both through official channels and via backdoor non-monetary Gold purchases.<\/p>\n<h4>Acknowledgments<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>CoinDesk: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/price\/bitcoin\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Federal Reserve of St Louis: <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/\">FRED Data<\/a><\/li>\n<li>CNBC: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@LCO.1\">Brent Crude ICE Sep&#8217;26 Futures<\/a><\/li>\n<li>CNBC: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/US2Y\">2-Year Treasury Yield<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Reuters: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/iran-escalates-attacks-us-bases-gulf-states-warns-more-incidents-strait-2026-07-13\/\">U.S. military renews strikes on Iran while tankers come under attack in Strait of Hormuz<\/a><\/li>\n<li>EIA: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/petroleum\/gasdiesel\/\">Gasoline &amp; Diesel Prices <\/a><\/li>\n<li>EIA: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/dnav\/pet\/pet_stoc_wstk_dcu_nus_w.htm\">Crude &amp; SPR Inventories<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Energy Stock Channel: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.energystockchannel.com\/3-2-1-crack-spread\/\">3-2-1 Crack Spread<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Notes<\/h4>\n<ol>\n<li>Cryptocurrencies are the highest-risk asset class, and we analyze Bitcoin (BTC) solely to identify risk sentiment in financial markets. Our analysis is not a recommendation to buy or sell BTC, nor is it a commentary on the merits of cryptocurrency.<\/li>\n<li>We analyze exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to determine market sentiment towards a specific sector, industry, or commodity. The analysis is not a recommendation to buy or sell, nor is it a commentary on the merits of the particular ETF.<\/li>\n<li>The 3-2-1 crack spread is calculated by subtracting the price of 3 barrels of crude from the sum of 2 barrels of gasoline and 1 barrel of diesel. The result is then divided by 3 to reflect the refiner&#8217;s gross profit per barrel of crude.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points The war in the Persian Gulf is hotting up, with both sides trading missile strikes and threatening to blockade shipping. Brent Crude rose to $85.40 per barrel. Crude and finished product inventories are declining, increasing upward pressure on gasoline and diesel prices. Interest rates are rising in expectation of higher inflation. The Dollar &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/14\/war-inflation-gold-prices\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;War, Inflation &#038; Gold to the Moon&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44,9,19,34],"tags":[69,4808,7293,5056,495,6622,815,6746,7375,6154,1073,1113,5942,4485,3204,5632,5228,7187],"class_list":["post-65255","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-gold-precious-metals","category-middle-east","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-10-year-treasury-yield","tag-2-year-treasury-yield","tag-3-2-1-crack-spread","tag-bitcoin-btc","tag-brent-crude","tag-chicago-fed-national-financial-conditions-index","tag-copper","tag-critical-minerals","tag-crude-inventory","tag-diesel","tag-dollar-index","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-gasoline","tag-lithium","tag-spot-gold","tag-strategic-petroleum-reserve-spr","tag-uranium","tag-us-iran-war"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>War, Inflation &amp; Gold to the Moon - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"War, Inflation &amp; Gold to the Moon - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points The war in the Persian Gulf is hotting up, with both sides trading missile strikes and threatening to blockade shipping. Brent Crude rose to $85.40 per barrel. Crude and finished product inventories are declining, increasing upward pressure on gasoline and diesel prices. Interest rates are rising in expectation of higher inflation. The Dollar &hellip; Continue reading &quot;War, Inflation &#038; Gold to the Moon&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/14\/war-inflation-gold-prices\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-14T10:19:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-14T10:20:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-07-13-brent-sep26.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"8 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/14\\\/war-inflation-gold-prices\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/14\\\/war-inflation-gold-prices\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"War, Inflation &#038; 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Brent crude and Gold warn of higher inflation but financial market liquidity is keeping a lid on long-term interest rates. Crude Oil Brent crude continues its advance, reaching $89.43 per barrel on Wednesday. Our medium-term\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-03-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-03-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-03-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":50890,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/09\/gold-and-bitcoin-rally-while-stocks-lag\/","url_meta":{"origin":65255,"position":1},"title":"Gold and Bitcoin rally while stocks lag","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 9, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 continues to test support at 5200, while lower Trend Index peaks warn of selling pressure. Breach of 5100 is now as likely and would warn of a strong correction. From Jim Grant at Grant's Almost Daily: A rise in ill omens helps usher in first quarter earnings\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-08-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-08-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-08-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":53559,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/29\/soggy-demand-has-a-silver-lining\/","url_meta":{"origin":65255,"position":2},"title":"Soggy demand has a silver lining","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 29, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Weak demand at recent Treasury auctions and an up-tick in crude oil seem to have taken the steam out of the S&P 500 up-trend. But financial market conditions remain easy and are expected to support stock prices. Treasury Markets Long-term Treasury yields rose today after two- and five-year auctions both\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"10-Year Treasury Yield","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-28-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-28-tnx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-28-tnx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":48611,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/02\/17\/crude-breakout-warns-of-higher-inflation\/","url_meta":{"origin":65255,"position":3},"title":"Crude breakout warns of higher inflation","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 17, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 is retracing to test new support at 5000 but respect is likely. Trend Index troughs above zero signal strong buying pressure. The massive rally is likely to continue for as long as the Fed and Treasury continue injecting liquidity in financial markets. Russell 2000 Small Caps (IWM)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-16-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-16-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-16-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":58791,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/10\/29\/strong-liquidity-but-rising-uncertainty\/","url_meta":{"origin":65255,"position":4},"title":"Strong liquidity but rising uncertainty","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 29, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Bitcoin signals strong financial market liquidity, supporting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq uptrends. However, rising 10-year Treasury yields indicate concern over the sustainability of fiscal deficits, which has boosted demand for the safety of precious metals. Stocks The S&P 500 continues to test support at 5800, with lower Trend Index\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-10-28-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-10-28-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-10-28-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":49914,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/14\/crude-sets-the-cat-amongst-the-pigeons\/","url_meta":{"origin":65255,"position":5},"title":"Crude sets the cat amongst the pigeons","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 14, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Brent crude broke resistance at $84, signaling a fresh advance. Expect retracement to test the new support level but respect is likely and would confirm our target of $94 per barrel. Nymex light crude similarly broke resistance at $80, offering a target of $90 per barrel. The threaten upsurge in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-15-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-15-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-03-15-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65255","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65255"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65255\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65258,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65255\/revisions\/65258"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65255"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65255"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65255"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}