{"id":65015,"date":"2026-06-25T10:29:45","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T10:29:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=65015"},"modified":"2026-06-25T10:35:02","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T10:35:02","slug":"bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Brent Crude falls below $75 per barrel as the Strait of Hormuz gradually reopens.<\/li>\n<li>However, crude oil reserves continue to decline.<\/li>\n<li>Bitcoin is testing primary support, and stocks are weakening.<\/li>\n<li>The Dollar is stronger, while Gold is testing primary support at $4,000 per ounce.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Brent Crude futures (Aug&#8217;26) fell below $75 per barrel on reports of increased traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png?resize=525%2C301&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Brent Crude Futures (ICE August'26)\" width=\"525\" height=\"301\" \/><\/p>\n<p>From <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hfir.com\/p\/idea-parex-resources-high-torque\">HFI Research<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The market is pricing a clean reopening, right on schedule. I am not convinced&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>A reopening is neither as close nor as clean as the market would have us believe. Tankers have to start entering the Gulf for shut-in wells to be brought back on production. Minesweeping alone takes weeks after any ceasefire, redirected tankers need 30 to 40 days to reposition, and Tehran can keep the mere threat of attack alive to throttle passage at will.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>US Strategic Petroleum Reserves continue to decline at the rate of 9 million barrels a week, falling to 331 million barrels on June 19.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-spr.png?resize=525%2C394&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)\" width=\"525\" height=\"394\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The ceasefire remains tenuous, with hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon a potential flashpoint. From <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/israel-stands-firm-troops-southern-lebanon-rubio-seeks-sell-peace-deal-middle-2026-06-24\/\">Reuters<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>In Washington, Lebanon and Israel discussed a U.S.-backed proposal for Israel&#8217;s forces to pull out of \u2060some territory it \u200binvaded to be handed back to Lebanese army control. But Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel would not pull troops out.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;At home, the reckoning is equally stark, said former U.S. official Dennis Ross. Netanyahu is increasingly boxed in between a U.S. president intent on ending the conflict and a domestic base resistant to \u200bconcessions, particularly in Lebanon, he said. Withdrawal risks political backlash while escalation risks confrontation with Washington.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Bitcoin<sup>1<\/sup> continues to test primary support at 60,000. A breach would warn of another decline, signaling a hard swing in financial markets away from risk assets.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-btc.png?resize=525%2C366&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC)\" width=\"525\" height=\"366\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is in its fourth week of a mild sell-off, with declining Trend Index peaks indicating secondary selling pressure. A retracement to test support at 7000 is likely.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-spx.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>10-year Treasury yields are retracing for another test of support at 4.25% as lower oil prices ease inflation fears.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-tnx.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yield\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Dollar &amp; Gold<\/h2>\n<p>The Dollar is strengthening in expectation of higher short-term interest rates, but new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has yet to reveal his hand.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-dxy.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold is testing primary support at $4,000 per ounce as the Dollar strengthens.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-gold.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Copper &amp; Lithium<\/h2>\n<p>Energy metals are also experiencing a sell-off, with Copper and Lithium most prominent.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-cu.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Copper\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Sprott Copper Miners ETF<sup>2<\/sup> (COPP) is headed for a test of primary support at 32, while Trend Index peaks below zero warn of long-term selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-copp.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Sprott Copper Miners ETF (COPP)\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Sprott Lithium Miners ETF<sup>2<\/sup> (LITP) is testing secondary support at 13. Declining Trend Index peaks warn of growing selling pressure, and a breach of support will likely test the primary level at 11.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-litp.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Sprott Lithium Miners ETF (LITP)\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>The Dollar is strengthening amid expectations of higher short-term interest rates under the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh. But Warsh has yet to reveal his hand, and long-term Treasury yields are softening as fears of high inflation from spiking energy prices fade.<\/p>\n<p>The ceasefire in the Persian Gulf is tenuous and could easily be disrupted by a flare-up of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Stability in the region is even further out of reach than it was before 28 February and will likely remain so. States will likely build up larger strategic reserves and develop strategies to reduce their exposure to another closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This includes encouraging the use of electric vehicles and nuclear energy, two industries that we expect to be long-term beneficiaries from the conflict.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest losers will likely be the Gulf States and Israel. The Gulf States have suffered an enormous setback in their ability to project themselves as a stable financial and industrial hub for future development. They will fall under Iran&#8217;s shadow, which will be able to exert far greater political sway in the region. Israel is also likely to suffer under whatever peace deal President Trump negotiates, with a financially stronger Iran able to extend its influence in the region and unlikely to be deterred from its long-term aims of regional hegemony.<\/p>\n<p>Gold and commodities are falling as the Dollar strengthens, but we are convinced that this runs counter to the secular trend, which will likely last for decades. Increased fiscal spending and growing deficits will accelerate the debasement of the Dollar and other fiat currencies, with central banks continuing their <a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/22\/gold-outlook-improves\/\">shift to Gold bullion<\/a> as the primary reserve asset.<\/p>\n<h4>Acknowledgments<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>CoinDesk: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/price\/bitcoin\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Federal Reserve of St Louis: <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/\">FRED Data<\/a><\/li>\n<li>CNBC: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@LCO.1\">Brent Crude ICE Aug&#8217;26 Futures<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Reuters: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/us-iran-deal-may-leave-netanyahu-biggest-casualty-2026-06-24\/\">US-Iran deal may leave Netanyahu as biggest casualty<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Reuters: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/israel-stands-firm-troops-southern-lebanon-rubio-seeks-sell-peace-deal-middle-2026-06-24\/\">Trump, Republican senator engage in shouting match over Iran war<\/a><\/li>\n<li>HFI Research: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hfir.com\/p\/idea-parex-resources-high-torque\">Parex Resources, High Torque Oil Leverage At A Double-Digit Yield<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Notes<\/h4>\n<ol>\n<li>Cryptocurrencies are the highest-risk asset class, and we analyze Bitcoin (BTC) solely to identify risk sentiment in financial markets. Our analysis is not a recommendation to buy or sell BTC, nor is it a commentary on the merits of cryptocurrency.<\/li>\n<li>We analyze exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to determine market sentiment towards a specific sector, industry, or commodity. The analysis is not a recommendation to buy or sell, nor is it a commentary on the merits of the particular ETF.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points Brent Crude falls below $75 per barrel as the Strait of Hormuz gradually reopens. However, crude oil reserves continue to decline. Bitcoin is testing primary support, and stocks are weakening. The Dollar is stronger, while Gold is testing primary support at $4,000 per ounce. Brent Crude futures (Aug&#8217;26) fell below $75 per barrel &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[4738,44,5342,9,4547,34,35],"tags":[69,4585,495,815,898,1073,1578,1918,7260,4485,3010,5632,7291],"class_list":["post-65015","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-copper","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-cryptocurrency","category-gold-precious-metals","category-lithium","category-us-canada-countries-regions","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yield","tag-bitcoin","tag-brent-crude","tag-copper","tag-crude-oil-2","tag-dollar-index","tag-gold-2","tag-israel","tag-lebanon","tag-lithium","tag-sp-500","tag-strategic-petroleum-reserve-spr","tag-us-iran-peace-deal"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points Brent Crude falls below $75 per barrel as the Strait of Hormuz gradually reopens. However, crude oil reserves continue to decline. Bitcoin is testing primary support, and stocks are weakening. The Dollar is stronger, while Gold is testing primary support at $4,000 per ounce. Brent Crude futures (Aug&#8217;26) fell below $75 per barrel &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-25T10:29:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-06-25T10:35:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-06-25T10:29:45+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-06-25T10:35:02+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":870,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png\",\"keywords\":[\"10-Year Treasury Yield\",\"Bitcoin\",\"Brent crude\",\"Copper\",\"crude oil\",\"Dollar Index\",\"Gold\",\"Israel\",\"Lebanon\",\"Lithium\",\"S&amp;P 500\",\"Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)\",\"US-Iran Peace Deal\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Copper\",\"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas\",\"Cryptocurrency\",\"Gold &amp; Precious Metals\",\"Lithium\",\"US &amp; Canada\",\"US Dollar Index\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/\",\"name\":\"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-06-25T10:29:45+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-06-25T10:35:02+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/25\\\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. Strategic. Unfiltered. \",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/colin_thepatientinvestor\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\",\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Colin Twiggs\"},\"description\":\"Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\\\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/facebook.com\\\/people\\\/The-Patient-Investor\\\/61572934660810\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/colin_thepatientinvestor\",\"https:\\\/\\\/au.linkedin.com\\\/in\\\/colintwiggs\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/author\\\/investor\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off - the patient investor","robots":{"index":"noindex","follow":"follow"},"og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off - the patient investor","og_description":"Key Points Brent Crude falls below $75 per barrel as the Strait of Hormuz gradually reopens. However, crude oil reserves continue to decline. Bitcoin is testing primary support, and stocks are weakening. The Dollar is stronger, while Gold is testing primary support at $4,000 per ounce. Brent Crude futures (Aug&#8217;26) fell below $75 per barrel &hellip; Continue reading \"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off\"","og_url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/","og_site_name":"the patient investor","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","article_author":"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","article_published_time":"2026-06-25T10:29:45+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-06-25T10:35:02+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"Colin Twiggs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Colin Twiggs","Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/"},"author":{"name":"Colin Twiggs","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454"},"headline":"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off","datePublished":"2026-06-25T10:29:45+00:00","dateModified":"2026-06-25T10:35:02+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/"},"wordCount":870,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png","keywords":["10-Year Treasury Yield","Bitcoin","Brent crude","Copper","crude oil","Dollar Index","Gold","Israel","Lebanon","Lithium","S&amp;P 500","Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)","US-Iran Peace Deal"],"articleSection":["Copper","Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","Cryptocurrency","Gold &amp; Precious Metals","Lithium","US &amp; Canada","US Dollar Index"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/","name":"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off - the patient investor","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png","datePublished":"2026-06-25T10:29:45+00:00","dateModified":"2026-06-25T10:35:02+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-24-brent-aug26.png"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/25\/bitcoin-flags-market-shift-to-risk-off\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Bitcoin Flags Shift to Risk-Off"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","name":"The Patient Investor","description":"Smart. Strategic. Unfiltered. ","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454","name":"Colin Twiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Colin Twiggs"},"description":"Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-gUD","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":65012,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/23\/a-lull-in-hostilities\/","url_meta":{"origin":65015,"position":0},"title":"A Lull in Hostilities","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 23, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Hostilities in Lebanon faded. Tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz increased. Brent Crude futures fell to $77.64 per barrel. 2-year Treasury yields rose above 4.20% amid expectations of tighter Fed monetary policy. Brent Crude futures (Aug'26) fell to $77.64 per barrel on reports of a lull in hostilities\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Copper&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Copper","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/copper\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude Futures (ICE August'26)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-23-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-23-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-23-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64090,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/","url_meta":{"origin":65015,"position":1},"title":"Dire Straits","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 14, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Brent crude futures are trading below $100 per barrel, as President Trump says Iran wants to \"work a deal.\" However, the physical market shows signs of distress, with Forties Blend close to $149 per barrel on Monday. The \"genie is out of the bottle,\" and the Gulf states\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Prof. Robert Pape on X","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63983,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/31\/financial-markets-tighten-as-tankers-burn\/","url_meta":{"origin":65015,"position":2},"title":"Financial Markets Tighten as Tankers Burn","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 31, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Iran attacked a fully loaded oil tanker off Dubai in the Persian Gulf, setting it ablaze. Brent crude futures (May'26) are testing resistance at $115 per barrel. Financial market liquidity is tightening, with credit spreads widening. The US Dollar strengthened to 100.5. TEL AVIV\/WASHINGTON, March 31 (Reuters) -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude Futures (ICE May'26)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-30-brent4.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-30-brent4.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-30-brent4.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64042,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/08\/ceasefire-but-no-long-term-peace-in-sight\/","url_meta":{"origin":65015,"position":3},"title":"Ceasefire But No Long-term Peace in Sight","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 8, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Trump announced he had agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran. Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi confirmed that Iran will allow safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz for two weeks. Brent crude futures (Jun'26) plunged to $93.86 per barrel. Gold climbed to $4,800 per ounce\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Truth Social Post","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-07-trump.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-07-trump.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-07-trump.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63855,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/13\/iran-strait-of-hormuz-must-remain-closed\/","url_meta":{"origin":65015,"position":4},"title":"Iran says Strait of Hormuz must remain closed","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 13, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Iran indicates it will keep the Strait of Hormuz closed. Brent crude futures test resistance at $100 per barrel. The S&P 500 broke support at 6700. Iran's new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, said Thursday that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz maritime passage should be continued as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude Futures (ICE May'26)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-12-brent3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-12-brent3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-12-brent3.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64813,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/04\/bitcoin-plunge-signals-risk-off-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":65015,"position":5},"title":"Bitcoin Plunge Signals Risk-Off","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 4, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Bitcoin tests primary support at $63,000, signaling risk-off. The ISM Services PMI at 54.5% continues to indicate expansion, while the Prices index at 71.3% signals strong inflationary pressure. Japanese Ministry of Finance efforts to support the Yen are driving up US Treasury yields. US exports of nonmonetary Gold\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Copper&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Copper","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/copper\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bitcoin (BTC)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-03-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-03-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-03-btc.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65015","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65015"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65015\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65021,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65015\/revisions\/65021"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}