{"id":64920,"date":"2026-06-13T07:55:16","date_gmt":"2026-06-13T07:55:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=64920"},"modified":"2026-06-14T06:12:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-14T06:12:27","slug":"producer-price-shock-but-optimism-over-rate-cut-grows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/13\/producer-price-shock-but-optimism-over-rate-cut-grows\/","title":{"rendered":"PPI Shock But Optimism Over Rate Cut Grows"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>The Producer Price Index (PPI) grew by 1.06% in May, for the second straight month, at an annualized rate of 12.7%.<\/li>\n<li>Annual PPI growth rose to 6.4%.<\/li>\n<li>Bank credit growing faster than real GDP reflects rising inflationary pressure.<\/li>\n<li>Bitcoin continues to test support at 60,000, signaling risk-off across financial markets.<\/li>\n<li>Stocks and Gold are rising as optimism over a peace deal grows.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>The monthly Producer Price Index (PPI) grew 1.06% in May, matching the April figure, with\u00a0an annualized rate of 12.7%.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-12-ppi-m.png?resize=525%2C372&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Producer Price Index (PPI) - Monthly\" width=\"525\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<i>[Content protected for Premium, Australian Growth, International Growth, Market Analysis members only]<\/i>\n&#8230;.. <\/p>\n<p>If you are already a subscriber, please login to continue reading:<\/p>\n<div style=\"width:400px;max-width:90%;margin:auto;\"><div class=\"WishListMember_LoginMergeCode\"><div class=\"wlm-ajax-login\"><div class=\"wlm-ajax-login-form\"><form action=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-login.php\" method=\"post\" class=\"wlm_inpageloginform\">\n<input type=\"hidden\" name=\"wlm_redirect_to\" value=\"wishlistmember\" \/>\n<input type=\"hidden\" name=\"redirect_to\" value=\"wishlistmember\" \/>\n<div class=\"wlm3-form\">\n<div class=\"wlm3-form-group\"><label>Username or Email Address<\/label><input name=\"log\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_log\" type=\"text\" value=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wlm3-form-group\"><label>Password<\/label><span class=\"wishlist-member-login-password\"><input name=\"pwd\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_pwd\" type=\"password\" value=\"\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"dashicons dashicons-visibility\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wlm3-form-group\"><label><input name=\"rememberme\" class=\" form-checkbox fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_rememberme\" type=\"checkbox\"  value=\"forever\"> Remember Me<\/label><\/div>\n<p><input name=\"wp-submit\" class=\"\" id=\"wlm_form_field_wp-submit\" type=\"submit\" value=\"Login\"><\/p>\n\n<p>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-login.php?action=lostpassword\">Lost your Password?<\/a>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/form><\/div><form method=\"post\" action=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-login.php?action=wishlistmember-otl\" class=\"wlm-ajax-login-form-otl\" style=\"display: none;\"><div class=\"wlm-ajax-login-notice -permanent\">Please enter your username or email address. 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You will receive an email message with instructions on how to reset your password.<\/div><div class=\"wlm3-form\"><div class=\"wlm3-form-group\"><label>Username or Email Address<\/label><input name=\"user_login\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_user_login\" type=\"text\" value=\"\"><\/div><p><input name=\"wp-submit\" class=\"\" id=\"wlm_form_field_wp-submit\" type=\"submit\" value=\"Get New Password\"><\/p><input name=\"action\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_action\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"lostpassword\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-login.php?action=login\">Log in<\/a><\/p><\/div><\/form><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<p>If you are not a subscriber, <a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/subscribe\/\">click here<\/a> to find out more about our latest offer.\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points The Producer Price Index (PPI) grew by 1.06% in May, for the second straight month, at an annualized rate of 12.7%. Annual PPI growth rose to 6.4%. Bank credit growing faster than real GDP reflects rising inflationary pressure. Bitcoin continues to test support at 60,000, signaling risk-off across financial markets. Stocks and Gold &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/13\/producer-price-shock-but-optimism-over-rate-cut-grows\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;PPI Shock But Optimism Over Rate Cut Grows&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5342,3761,9,13,34,35],"tags":[5056,495,5861,820,1073,7353,5290,2871,3010,7354,3204,5228],"class_list":["post-64920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cryptocurrency","category-gdp-and-activity","category-gold-precious-metals","category-inflation-economy","category-us-canada-countries-regions","category-us-dollar-index","tag-bitcoin-btc","tag-brent-crude","tag-commercial-bank-loans-leases","tag-core-ppi","tag-dollar-index","tag-finished-goods-ppi","tag-producer-price-index-ppi","tag-real-gdp-growth","tag-sp-500","tag-services-ppi","tag-spot-gold","tag-uranium"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>PPI Shock But Optimism Over Rate Cut Grows - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"PPI Shock But Optimism Over Rate Cut Grows - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points The Producer Price Index (PPI) grew by 1.06% in May, for the second straight month, at an annualized rate of 12.7%. Annual PPI growth rose to 6.4%. Bank credit growing faster than real GDP reflects rising inflationary pressure. Bitcoin continues to test support at 60,000, signaling risk-off across financial markets. Stocks and Gold &hellip; Continue reading &quot;PPI Shock But Optimism Over Rate Cut Grows&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/13\/producer-price-shock-but-optimism-over-rate-cut-grows\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-13T07:55:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-06-14T06:12:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-12-ppi-m.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/13\\\/producer-price-shock-but-optimism-over-rate-cut-grows\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/13\\\/producer-price-shock-but-optimism-over-rate-cut-grows\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"PPI Shock But Optimism Over Rate Cut Grows\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-06-13T07:55:16+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-06-14T06:12:27+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/13\\\/producer-price-shock-but-optimism-over-rate-cut-grows\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":522,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/13\\\/producer-price-shock-but-optimism-over-rate-cut-grows\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-06-12-ppi-m.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Bitcoin (BTC)\",\"Brent crude\",\"Commercial Bank Loans &amp; 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","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454","name":"Colin Twiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Colin Twiggs"},"description":"Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-gT6","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":56689,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/08\/14\/stocks-rally-on-ppi-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":64920,"position":0},"title":"Stocks rally on PPI fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 14, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Stocks were boosted by falling producer price index (PPI) growth, which indicates low CPI readings are likely later today. Gold continues to test resistance at $2,475 per ounce, boosted by falling long-term Treasury yields and a weaker Dollar. Stocks The S&P 500 broke resistance at 5400 and is headed for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-08-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-08-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-08-13-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":26853,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/07\/15\/ppi-and-beige-book-warn-of-broad-based-price-increases\/","url_meta":{"origin":64920,"position":1},"title":"PPI and Beige Book warn of broad-based price increases","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 15, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Producer prices surged, with broad PPI (all commodities) jumping to 19.5% on a year-on-year basis, while the retail-oriented final demand PPI index climbed 7.1%. Price increases are accelerating, with 6-month measures growing at annualized rates of 29.9% (all commodities) and 10.6% (final demand). Such high PPI readings have not been\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9121,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/02\/05\/commodity-prices-effect-on-corporate-profits\/","url_meta":{"origin":64920,"position":2},"title":"Commodity prices effect on corporate profits","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 5, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Sharp spikes in the US Industrial Commodities PPI (producer price index) often precede a drop in Corporate Profits (expressed below as a ratio to GDP). And sharp falls in the PPI tend to precipitate a surge in profits. The 5-year chart above shows PPI growth close to zero since 2012.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"US Corporate Profits\/GDP compared to Industrial Commodities PPI - 5 Years","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/corpprofits-industrialppi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/corpprofits-industrialppi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/corpprofits-industrialppi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":24050,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/02\/10\/the-1970s-great-inflation-revisited\/","url_meta":{"origin":64920,"position":3},"title":"The 1970s Great Inflation revisited","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 10, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"This thread on Twitter from Alexi Savov at NYU Stern concludes that we need not fear another Great Inflation like in the 1970s. We disagree. We don't agree with the conclusion -- but not for the reasons cited by B. Schlossberg above which we will address first. The Oil Price\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Inflation in the 1970s","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/2021-02-10-azsavov.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/2021-02-10-azsavov.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/2021-02-10-azsavov.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64955,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/16\/japans-debt-trap-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":64920,"position":4},"title":"Japan&#8217;s Debt Trap","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 16, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The Bank of Japan hiked its policy rate to 1.0% after a long pause. The BOJ also paused the taper of its quantitative easing (QE) program. Japanese government debt is at a precarious 200% of GDP. The Japanese Yen is testing resistance at 160 against the Dollar. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Japanese Govt 3-Month Bill Discount Rate","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-16-boj-rate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-16-boj-rate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-06-16-boj-rate.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":62282,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/15\/stocks-pause-on-inflation-scare\/","url_meta":{"origin":64920,"position":5},"title":"Stocks pause on inflation scare","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 15, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The producer price index revealed a sharp increase in input costs Stocks hesitated, with the S&P 500 managing a 2-point gain Producer prices jumped in July, with goods final demand growing at an annualized rate of more than 11.0% and services final demand close to a 13.0% annualized\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Producer Price Index (PPI)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-08-14-ppi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-08-14-ppi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-08-14-ppi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64920","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64920"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64920\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64924,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64920\/revisions\/64924"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}