{"id":64709,"date":"2026-05-28T10:05:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T10:05:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=64709"},"modified":"2026-05-28T10:12:08","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T10:12:08","slug":"no-happy-ending","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/","title":{"rendered":"No Happy Ending"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>US forces carried out what the Pentagon called &#8220;defensive&#8221; strikes on missile launch sites and minelaying boats in southern Iran on Monday.<\/li>\n<li>Iran&#8217;s Revolutionary Guard retaliated with a drone attack on a US airbase on Thursday.<\/li>\n<li>Brent crude rallies to $96.60 per barrel.<\/li>\n<li>President Trump insists a deal is within reach.<\/li>\n<li>Trump allies have voiced opposition to the proposed deal, which they say favors Iran.<\/li>\n<li>Trump says he can outwait Iran and that Iranian leaders had miscalculated if they thought \u200cthe November midterm elections would force him into a deal.<\/li>\n<li>Gold and silver fall as prospects for a peace deal fade.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<blockquote><p>DUBAI\/WASHINGTON, May 28 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/iran-us-trade-air-strikes-after-trump-dismisses-report-hormuz-deal-2026-05-28\/\">Reuters<\/a>) &#8211; Iran&#8217;s Revolutionary Guard targeted a U.S. airbase on Thursday after the U.S. military carried out what a Washington official said were strikes on an Iranian drone operation near \u200cthe Strait of Hormuz&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. official, who requested anonymity to speak candidly about military operations, told Reuters the military shot down four Iranian attack drones and struck a ground control station \u200bin the port city of Bandar Abbas that was about to launch a fifth drone.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;These actions were measured, purely defensive and intended to maintain the ceasefire,&#8221; the official said.<\/p>\n<p>The Islamic \u200bRevolutionary Guard Corps said it targeted a U.S. base in response to what it described as an early morning U.S. attack near Bandar Abbas airport, \u2060Tasnim news agency reported. The IRGC said it targeted the U.S. airbase from which the attack on the control station near Bandar Abbas was launched, without identifying the base.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Brent crude (July&#8217;26 futures) rallied to $96.60 on news of the air strikes.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-brent.png?resize=525%2C297&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Brent Crude Futures (ICE July'26)\" width=\"525\" height=\"297\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Crude oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain at a trickle.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-hormuz.png?resize=525%2C350&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Oil Tanker Transits Through the Strait of Hormuz\" width=\"525\" height=\"350\" \/><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>For those hoping the end of the price surge is near, Sultan Al Jaber, the head of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), has disappointing news.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEven if this conflict [with Iran] ends tomorrow,\u201d he said today at an <a href=\"https:\/\/link.atlanticcouncil.org\/sultan-al-jabers-lessons-from-the-iran-war\">Atlantic Council<\/a> event, \u201cfull flows will not return before the first or even second quarter of 2027.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>US Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) are shrinking, falling from 415 million barrels to 374 million over the past 6 weeks.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-spr.png?resize=525%2C394&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR)\" width=\"525\" height=\"394\" \/><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The emerging deal puts off many critical issues to be resolved later and has already exposed the Republican president to fierce criticism \u2014 even from some of his own supporters \u2014 that Iran&#8217;s hardline leaders will emerge from the conflict battered but emboldened. It all comes to a head just as the midterm elections to determine control of Congress come into focus and as Republicans worry that rising costs and fuel prices are darkening the American electorate&#8217;s mood.<\/p>\n<p>But Trump on Wednesday dismissed the idea that the upcoming elections would shape his Iran strategy.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;They thought they were gonna outwait me. You know, &#8216;We&#8217;ll outwait him. He&#8217;s got the midterms,'&#8221; Trump said. &#8220;I don&#8217;t care about the midterms.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;.The president is also facing scrutiny from Republican allies, including Sens. Roger Wicker of Mississippi, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and Ted Cruz of Texas, who have said the terms seem too favorable to Tehran.<\/p>\n<p>They&#8217;re balking at aspects of the deal that have emerged publicly that they say too closely resemble the nuclear agreement reached with Iran by Democratic President Barack Obama, which Trump scrapped during his first term.(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2026\/05\/27\/nx-s1-5836202\/trump-cabinet-meeting\">NPR<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Trump faces the risk that higher crude prices cause a similar inflation spike to the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, resulting in a wipeout at the November midterms.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-brent-cpi.png?resize=525%2C372&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Brent Crude &amp; CPI\" width=\"525\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Gold &amp; Silver<\/h2>\n<p>Gold and silver face increased selling pressure as the sudden drop in oil export revenues forces Gulf States to liquidate reserves, including bullion. High oil prices have also forced Turkiye to enter into an $80 billion gold swap to cover higher import costs without crashing the already-weak Turkish Lira. Russia, for different reasons, is also liquidating gold reserves to help fund its war with Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>Gold broke support at $4,500 per ounce, signaling a likely test of support at $4,000.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-gold.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Silver has retraced similarly, and a break below $70 per barrel would signal another test of primary support at $60. Declining Trend Index peaks warn of continued selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-silver.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Silver\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>The US war with Iran \u2014 and negotiations \u2014 will likely continue for months, if not years. Crude oil shortages and high prices are expected to cause an inflation spike ahead of the US midterm elections, resulting in a Republican wipeout in November.<\/p>\n<p>We remain bullish on the long-term outlook for gold and silver, but their current weakness will likely persist until the Strait of Hormuz reopens and oil prices fall.<\/p>\n<h4>Acknowledgments<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Federal Reserve of St Louis: <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/\">FRED Data<\/a><\/li>\n<li>CNBC: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/@LCO.1\">Brent Crude ICE May&#8217;26 Futures<\/a><\/li>\n<li>NPR: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2026\/05\/27\/nx-s1-5836202\/trump-cabinet-meeting\">US conducts another strike against Iran after Trump says Iran is &#8216;negotiating on fumes&#8217;<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Reuters: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/iran-us-trade-air-strikes-after-trump-dismisses-report-hormuz-deal-2026-05-28\/\">Iran and US trade air strikes after Trump dismisses report of Hormuz deal<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points US forces carried out what the Pentagon called &#8220;defensive&#8221; strikes on missile launch sites and minelaying boats in southern Iran on Monday. Iran&#8217;s Revolutionary Guard retaliated with a drone attack on a US airbase on Thursday. Brent crude rallies to $96.60 per barrel. President Trump insists a deal is within reach. Trump allies &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;No Happy Ending&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44,9,34],"tags":[7286,1578,7315,3124,7171,6030,7187],"class_list":["post-64709","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-brent-crude-futures-ice-july26","tag-gold-2","tag-oil-tanker-transits-through-the-strait-of-hormuz","tag-silver-2","tag-strait-of-hormuz","tag-strategic-petroleum-reserves-spr","tag-us-iran-war"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>No Happy Ending - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"No Happy Ending - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points US forces carried out what the Pentagon called &#8220;defensive&#8221; strikes on missile launch sites and minelaying boats in southern Iran on Monday. Iran&#8217;s Revolutionary Guard retaliated with a drone attack on a US airbase on Thursday. Brent crude rallies to $96.60 per barrel. President Trump insists a deal is within reach. Trump allies &hellip; Continue reading &quot;No Happy Ending&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-28T10:05:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-28T10:12:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-brent.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"No Happy Ending\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-28T10:05:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-28T10:12:08+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":794,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-05-27-brent.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Brent Crude Futures (ICE July'26)\",\"Gold\",\"Oil Tanker Transits Through the Strait of Hormuz\",\"silver\",\"Strait of Hormuz\",\"Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR)\",\"US-Iran War\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas\",\"Gold &amp; Precious Metals\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/\",\"name\":\"No Happy Ending - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-05-27-brent.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-28T10:05:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-28T10:12:08+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-05-27-brent.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2026\\\/2026-05-27-brent.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/28\\\/no-happy-ending\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"No Happy Ending\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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Trump allies &hellip; Continue reading \"No Happy Ending\"","og_url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/","og_site_name":"the patient investor","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","article_author":"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","article_published_time":"2026-05-28T10:05:11+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-05-28T10:12:08+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-brent.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"Colin Twiggs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Colin Twiggs","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/"},"author":{"name":"Colin Twiggs","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454"},"headline":"No Happy Ending","datePublished":"2026-05-28T10:05:11+00:00","dateModified":"2026-05-28T10:12:08+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/"},"wordCount":794,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-brent.png","keywords":["Brent Crude Futures (ICE July'26)","Gold","Oil Tanker Transits Through the Strait of Hormuz","silver","Strait of Hormuz","Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR)","US-Iran War"],"articleSection":["Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","Gold &amp; Precious Metals","US &amp; Canada"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/","name":"No Happy Ending - the patient investor","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-brent.png","datePublished":"2026-05-28T10:05:11+00:00","dateModified":"2026-05-28T10:12:08+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-brent.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-27-brent.png"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/28\/no-happy-ending\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"No Happy Ending"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","name":"The Patient Investor","description":"Smart. 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","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454","name":"Colin Twiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Colin Twiggs"},"description":"Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-gPH","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":64090,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/","url_meta":{"origin":64709,"position":0},"title":"Dire Straits","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 14, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Brent crude futures are trading below $100 per barrel, as President Trump says Iran wants to \"work a deal.\" However, the physical market shows signs of distress, with Forties Blend close to $149 per barrel on Monday. The \"genie is out of the bottle,\" and the Gulf states\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Prof. Robert Pape on X","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63987,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/01\/april-fools-day\/","url_meta":{"origin":64709,"position":1},"title":"April Fools Day","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 1, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Trump says, \"We'll be leaving very soon.\" Crude oil futures plunged to test support at $100 per barrel. The S&P 500 jumped 2.9%, testing resistance at 6550. Gold broke resistance at $4,600 per ounce. Crude oil prices plunged, and stocks and gold rallied on President Trump's hint\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-31-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-31-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-31-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64088,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/12\/blockade\/","url_meta":{"origin":64709,"position":2},"title":"Blockade","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 12, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Donald Trump announced a US blockade on Iranian shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Closure of the Strait will restrict 20% of the global oil supply.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude & CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63645,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/19\/crude-oil-spikes-on-us-iran-tensions\/","url_meta":{"origin":64709,"position":3},"title":"Crude Oil Spikes on US-Iran Tensions","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 19, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Brent crude closed above $70 per barrel. US naval buildup off the coast of Iran continues, with a second aircraft carrier group ordered to the region. Iran partially closed the Strait of Hormuz for naval drills and announced additional joint exercises with Russia in the Sea of Oman.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-18-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-18-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-18-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64042,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/08\/ceasefire-but-no-long-term-peace-in-sight\/","url_meta":{"origin":64709,"position":4},"title":"Ceasefire But No Long-term Peace in Sight","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 8, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Trump announced he had agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran. Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi confirmed that Iran will allow safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz for two weeks. Brent crude futures (Jun'26) plunged to $93.86 per barrel. Gold climbed to $4,800 per ounce\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Truth Social Post","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-07-trump.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-07-trump.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-07-trump.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64109,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/16\/more-noise-no-signal\/","url_meta":{"origin":64709,"position":5},"title":"More Noise, No Signal","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 16, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Following the breakdown of ceasefire talks, President Trump initiated a naval blockade on Monday to pressure Iran to restore access to the Strait of Hormuz. Central Command reported that nine oil tankers from Iran followed orders to turn around since the blockade began. On Wednesday, Iran's military threatened\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Middle East&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Middle East","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/middle-east\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-15-brent2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-15-brent2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-15-brent2.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64709","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64709"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64709\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64712,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64709\/revisions\/64712"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64709"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64709"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64709"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}