{"id":6440,"date":"2012-12-10T21:53:39","date_gmt":"2012-12-11T02:53:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6440"},"modified":"2012-12-10T21:53:39","modified_gmt":"2012-12-11T02:53:39","slug":"what-to-do-about-the-us-currency-war-alan-kohler-commentary-business-spectator","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/10\/what-to-do-about-the-us-currency-war-alan-kohler-commentary-business-spectator\/","title":{"rendered":"What to do about the US currency war &#124; Alan Kohler &#124; Business Spectator"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Alan Kohler writes about the Fed&#8217;s quantitative easing strategy which is effectively debasing the US dollar:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"background-color:#ddddff;\">\n<p>Because it is trying to reduce the world\u2019s reserve currency, the Fed is effectively giving other countries two choices: either allow your currencies to appreciate against the US dollar and thus make your economies less competitive and crunch your export industries, or print money with us and risk (or perhaps guarantee) inflation.<\/p>\n<p>It is a Hobson\u2019s Choice, and like most other countries\u2019 central banks, the Reserve Bank of Australia doesn\u2019t quite know what to do.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The strategy is also debasing the more than $2 trillion of US Treasuries held by China and Japan, placing these Asian exporters in an awkward position. Repatriating their investments would send the dollar plummeting against the yuan and the yen, reversing their export advantage maintained over the last two decades through capital account inflows into US Treasuries. Capital inflows were used to offset the current account outflows and prevented the yen and yuan from appreciating against the dollar. If the flows reverse, the US will enjoy an unfair trade advantage from an under-valued dollar.<\/p>\n<p>Methinks those who predict a globally dominant China with continued growth rates of 7% to 8% are a mite premature. &#8230;&#8230;.Possibly a century or two.<\/p>\n<p>Read more at <a href='http:\/\/www.businessspectator.com.au\/bs.nsf\/Article\/currency-war-federal-reserve-QE-reserve-banks-doll-pd20121207-2R2WB?OpenDocument&#038;src=sph#.UMTxHQzbuEk.twitter'>What to do about the US currency war | Alan Kohler | Commentary | Business Spectator<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alan Kohler writes about the Fed&#8217;s quantitative easing strategy which is effectively debasing the US dollar: Because it is trying to reduce the world\u2019s reserve currency, the Fed is effectively giving other countries two choices: either allow your currencies to appreciate against the US dollar and thus make your economies less competitive and crunch your &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/10\/what-to-do-about-the-us-currency-war-alan-kohler-commentary-business-spectator\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;What to do about the US currency war &#124; Alan Kohler &#124; Business Spectator&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,41,34],"tags":[1317,1328,1828,2831],"class_list":["post-6440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-china-hk","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-exchange-rates","tag-exports","tag-inflation","tag-quantitative-easing"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What to do about the US currency war &#124; Alan Kohler &#124; Business Spectator - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What to do about the US currency war &#124; Alan Kohler &#124; Business Spectator - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alan Kohler writes about the Fed&#8217;s quantitative easing strategy which is effectively debasing the US dollar: Because it is trying to reduce the world\u2019s reserve currency, the Fed is effectively giving other countries two choices: either allow your currencies to appreciate against the US dollar and thus make your economies less competitive and crunch your &hellip; Continue reading &quot;What to do about the US currency war &#124; Alan Kohler &#124; Business Spectator&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/10\/what-to-do-about-the-us-currency-war-alan-kohler-commentary-business-spectator\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-12-11T02:53:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/10\/what-to-do-about-the-us-currency-war-alan-kohler-commentary-business-spectator\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/10\/what-to-do-about-the-us-currency-war-alan-kohler-commentary-business-spectator\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"What to do about the US currency war &#124; 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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First off, the two largest currency-manipulating central banks currently at work in the world\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Foreign Reserves","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-08-19-fxreserves.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-08-19-fxreserves.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-08-19-fxreserves.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":2660,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/12\/15\/fragile-and-unbalanced-in-2012-nouriel-roubini-project-syndicate\/","url_meta":{"origin":6440,"position":1},"title":"Fragile and Unbalanced in 2012 &#8211; Nouriel Roubini &#8211; Project Syndicate","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"December 15, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The outlook for the global economy in 2012 is clear, but it isn\u2019t pretty: recession in Europe, anemic growth at best in the United States, and a sharp slowdown in China and in most emerging-market economies. ......Adjustment of relative prices via currency movements is stalled, because surplus countries are resisting\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":27303,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2021\/08\/11\/the-error-of-a-dollar-reserve-currency-and-fed-dominance\/","url_meta":{"origin":6440,"position":2},"title":"The error of a Dollar reserve currency","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 11, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The era1 of US Dollar reserve currency status started in 1971, when Richard Nixon ended convertibility to gold. The present issues have taken a long time to evolve but are a consequence of that decision. Yesterday we showed how GDP had declined against the M2 money supply2 since the global\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4555,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/06\/when-austerity-fails\/","url_meta":{"origin":6440,"position":3},"title":"When Austerity Fails","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 6, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Austerity decimated Asian economies during their 1997\/98 financial crisis and similar measures have failed to rescue the PIIGS in Europe 2012. David Cameron's austerity measures have also not saved the UK from falling back into recession. So why is Wayne Swan in Australia so proud of his balanced budget? And\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Debt Levels&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Debt Levels","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/debt-levels\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11066,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/10\/07\/reserve-currency-status-privilege-or-burden\/","url_meta":{"origin":6440,"position":4},"title":"Reserve currency status: Privilege or burden?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 7, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Is the reserve currency status of the US Dollar a privilege or a burden? Michael Pettis suggests the latter and argues in favor of constraining unlimited purchases of US or other government bonds by international trading partners like China and Japan: ...it is actually quite easy to list the conditions\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":60957,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/14\/gold-the-long-game-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":6440,"position":5},"title":"Gold, the long game","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 14, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A timeline since 1960 shows that the price of gold tends to rise in waves, typically triggered by an event that unsettles global financial markets. These waves are interspersed with long periods when the Federal Reserve succeeded in suppressing the price of gold despite persistent inflation. In the 1960s, a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Gold Timeline","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-13-gold-timeline.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-13-gold-timeline.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-13-gold-timeline.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-13-gold-timeline.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6440"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6440\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6440"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}