{"id":64359,"date":"2026-05-07T09:56:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T09:56:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=64359"},"modified":"2026-05-07T09:56:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T09:56:09","slug":"trump-talks-peace-deal-but-nothing-stops-this-train","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/trump-talks-peace-deal-but-nothing-stops-this-train\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Talks &#8220;Peace Deal&#8221; But Nothing Stops This Train"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>President Trump again baits financial markets with the prospect of a peace agreement.<\/li>\n<li>Brent Crude (July&#8217;26 futures) is testing support at $100 per barrel.<\/li>\n<li>However, the crude market faces critical shortages even if a peace deal is signed.<\/li>\n<li>The S&amp;P 500 rallied to a new high at 7365, while the Dow threatens a breakout above 50,000.<\/li>\n<li>The ISM Services PMI warns that growth is slowing, while soaring prices signal inflationary pressures.<\/li>\n<li>Lithium is in a strong uptrend, while Copper, Critical Materials, and Uranium show signs of a recovery.<\/li>\n<li>The RBA hiked rates this week and would like to hold for a while, but rising prices may force further hikes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<blockquote><p>ISLAMABAD\/WASHINGTON\/TEL AVIV, May 7 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/china\/trump-sees-swift-end-war-iran-reviews-us-peace-proposal-2026-05-07\/\">Reuters<\/a>) &#8211; U.S. President Donald Trump predicted a swift end to the \u200bwar with Iran as Tehran considered a U.S. peace proposal that sources said would formally end the conflict while leaving unresolved key U.S. demands that Iran suspend \u200cits nuclear program and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p>An Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson cited by Iran&#8217;s ISNA news agency said Tehran would convey its response, while Iranian lawmaker Ebrahim Rezaei, a spokesperson for parliament&#8217;s powerful foreign policy and national security committee, described the proposal as &#8220;more of an American wish-list than a reality.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;They want to make a deal. We&#8217;ve had very good talks over the last 24 hours, and it&#8217;s very possible that we&#8217;ll make \u200ba deal,&#8221; Trump told reporters in the Oval Office on Wednesday, saying later &#8220;it&#8217;ll be over quickly.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Trump has repeatedly played up the prospect of an agreement to end the war \u200bthat started on February 28, so far without success. The two sides remain at odds over a variety of difficult issues, such as Iran&#8217;s nuclear \u2060ambitions and its control of the Strait of Hormuz, which before the war handled one-fifth of the world&#8217;s oil and gas supply.<\/p>\n<p>A Pakistani source and another source briefed on the mediation \u200bsaid an agreement was close on a one-page memorandum that would formally end the conflict. That would kick off discussions to unblock shipping through the strait, lift U.S. sanctions on Iran and set \u200bcurbs on Iran&#8217;s nuclear program, the sources said.<\/p>\n<p>A separate senior Pakistani official involved in the talks told Reuters on Thursday that negotiators were hopeful of reaching a deal but noted gaps between the sides remained.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Brent Crude (July futures), buoyed by optimism over a prospective peace deal, is retracing to test support at $100 per barrel.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-06-brent.png?resize=525%2C306&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Brent Crude Futures (ICE July'26)\" width=\"525\" height=\"306\" \/><\/p>\n<i>[Content protected for Premium, Australian Growth, International Growth, Market Analysis members only]<\/i>\n&#8230;.. 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Brent Crude (July&#8217;26 futures) is testing support at $100 per barrel. However, the crude market faces critical shortages even if a peace deal is signed. The S&amp;P 500 rallied to a new high at 7365, while the Dow threatens a &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/trump-talks-peace-deal-but-nothing-stops-this-train\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Trump Talks &#8220;Peace Deal&#8221; But Nothing Stops This Train&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,31,4738,5282,44,5342,3761,9,13,4547,19,6106,34,35],"tags":[69,255,6380,4585,7286,6622,815,4514,1073,7140,1113,7285,1897,6457,6458,6459,5855,4485,7284,7287,4055,7278,7272,3010,6948,3204,7171,5228,3570],"class_list":["post-64359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-copper","category-critical-materials","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-cryptocurrency","category-gdp-and-activity","category-gold-precious-metals","category-inflation-economy","category-lithium","category-middle-east","category-uranium","category-us-canada-countries-regions","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yield","tag-asx-200-index","tag-australian-cpi","tag-bitcoin","tag-brent-crude-futures-ice-july26","tag-chicago-fed-national-financial-conditions-index","tag-copper","tag-critical-materials","tag-dollar-index","tag-dow-jones-global-oil-gas-index","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-global-crude-inventories","tag-iran","tag-ism-services-employment","tag-ism-services-new-orders","tag-ism-services-prices","tag-ism-services-pmi","tag-lithium","tag-magnificent-7","tag-peace-prospects","tag-rba-cash-rate-target","tag-sp-1500-containers-packaging-index","tag-sp-1500-transportation-index","tag-sp-500","tag-sp-global-composite-pmi","tag-spot-gold","tag-strait-of-hormuz","tag-uranium","tag-usa"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trump Talks &quot;Peace Deal&quot; But Nothing Stops This Train - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump Talks &quot;Peace Deal&quot; But Nothing Stops This Train - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points President Trump again baits financial markets with the prospect of a peace agreement. Brent Crude (July&#8217;26 futures) is testing support at $100 per barrel. However, the crude market faces critical shortages even if a peace deal is signed. 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However, the crude market faces critical shortages even if a peace deal is signed. The S&amp;P 500 rallied to a new high at 7365, while the Dow threatens a &hellip; Continue reading \"Trump Talks &#8220;Peace Deal&#8221; But Nothing Stops This Train\"","og_url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/trump-talks-peace-deal-but-nothing-stops-this-train\/","og_site_name":"the patient investor","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","article_author":"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","article_published_time":"2026-05-07T09:56:09+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-06-brent.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"Colin Twiggs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Colin Twiggs","Est. reading time":"10 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/trump-talks-peace-deal-but-nothing-stops-this-train\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/trump-talks-peace-deal-but-nothing-stops-this-train\/"},"author":{"name":"Colin Twiggs","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454"},"headline":"Trump Talks &#8220;Peace Deal&#8221; But Nothing Stops This Train","datePublished":"2026-05-07T09:56:09+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/trump-talks-peace-deal-but-nothing-stops-this-train\/"},"wordCount":1444,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/trump-talks-peace-deal-but-nothing-stops-this-train\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-06-brent.png","keywords":["10-Year Treasury Yield","ASX 200 Index","Australian CPI","Bitcoin","Brent Crude Futures (ICE July'26)","Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index","Copper","Critical Materials","Dollar Index","Dow Jones Global Oil &amp; Gas Index","Dow Jones Industrial Average","Global Crude Inventories","Iran","ISM Services - Employment","ISM Services - New Orders","ISM Services - Prices","ISM Services PMI","Lithium","Magnificent 7","Peace Prospects","RBA Cash Rate Target","S&amp;P 1500 Containers &amp; 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","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454","name":"Colin Twiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Colin Twiggs"},"description":"Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-gK3","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":63565,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/05\/bitcoin-plunge-signals-risk-off\/","url_meta":{"origin":64359,"position":0},"title":"Bitcoin Plunge Signals Risk-Off","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 5, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Bitcoin plunged to $71,200, warning that financial markets are becoming risk-averse. Brent crude surged to nearly $70 per barrel amid heightened US-Iran tensions. Volatility following the CME margin hike, effective Monday, triggered a broad selloff in precious metals and energy transition metals. Bitcoin2 (BTC) broke support at 85,000,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Cryptocurrency&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Cryptocurrency","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/cryptocurrency\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bitcoin (BTC)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-04-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-04-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-04-btc.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":59057,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/06\/trump-comeback\/","url_meta":{"origin":64359,"position":1},"title":"Trump comeback","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 6, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"According to pundits from The Hill, former President Donald Trump is projected to win the popular vote and sweep the electoral college. That would complete a comeback last achieved 120 years ago by President Grover Cleveland. There is unlikely to be much short-term effect on financial markets, but the long-term\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Trump versus Harris","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-04-harris-trump2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-04-harris-trump2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-04-harris-trump2.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":55287,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/04\/wall-street-goes-full-costanza\/","url_meta":{"origin":64359,"position":2},"title":"Wall Street goes full-Costanza","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 4, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"George Costanza from Seinfeld obviously has many disciples on Wall Street. His logic is clearly evident in the latest response to a weak ISM Services PMI. Stocks rallied in anticipation of an early Fed rate cut, ignoring the warning that the Services sector, the capstone of the economy, is now\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"George Costanza from Seinfeld","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/2024-07-03-costanza.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":53947,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/06\/stocks-and-precious-metals-surge\/","url_meta":{"origin":64359,"position":3},"title":"Stocks and precious metals surge","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 6, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Nymex light crude has broken support, warning of a decline to test long-term support at $68 per barrel. Falling crude prices are likely to reduce global inflationary pressures over the next 12 months. OPEC+ are projecting a phase out of \"voluntary\" production cuts over four quarters, commencing Q4 of 2024.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Nymex Light Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-06-05-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-06-05-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-06-05-crude.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64306,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/03\/sp-500-uptrend-against-gold\/","url_meta":{"origin":64359,"position":4},"title":"S&#038;P 500 Uptrend Against Gold","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 3, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The S&P 500 index made a new high at 7230, reversing its long-term downtrend against Gold. However, the Dow is struggling to break resistance at 50,000. The ISM Manufacturing PMI indicates the sector is expanding, but producer prices are soaring. Lithium is in a strong uptrend, while Copper\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500\/Gold ratio","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-01-spx-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-01-spx-gold.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-01-spx-gold.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61477,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/04\/bear-market-bites\/","url_meta":{"origin":64359,"position":5},"title":"The bear market bites","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 4, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary Stocks plunged in reaction to Donald Trump's new \"reciprocal\" tariffs. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average broke support levels, confirming the bear market. Declining 10-year Treasury yields warn of a recession. The ISM services PMI warns of slowing growth and rising unemployment. Stocks The Dow Jones Industrial\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Dow Jones Industrial Average","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-03-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-03-dow.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-03-dow.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64359","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64359"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64359\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64361,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64359\/revisions\/64361"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}