{"id":64109,"date":"2026-04-16T12:04:56","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T12:04:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=64109"},"modified":"2026-04-18T05:24:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T05:24:32","slug":"more-noise-no-signal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/16\/more-noise-no-signal\/","title":{"rendered":"More Noise, No Signal"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Following the breakdown of ceasefire talks, President Trump initiated a naval blockade on Monday to pressure Iran to restore access to the Strait of Hormuz.<\/li>\n<li>Central Command reported that nine oil tankers from Iran followed orders to turn around since the blockade began.<\/li>\n<li>On Wednesday, Iran&#8217;s military threatened to block trade through the Red Sea if the United States continues its naval blockade.<\/li>\n<li>The White House says the US remains &#8220;engaged&#8221; in &#8220;productive and ongoing&#8221; discussion with Iran.<\/li>\n<li>President Trump insists the war is &#8220;close to over&#8221; and\u00a0 the stock market is &#8220;going to boom.&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>The S&amp;P 500 makes a new high above 7000.<\/li>\n<li>Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt says the US &#8220;feels good&#8221; about the prospect of a deal, but says no date has been set for further negotiations.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<i>[Content protected for Premium, Australian Growth, International Growth, Market Analysis members only]<\/i>\n&#8230;.. If you are already a subscriber, please login to continue reading:<\/p>\n<div style=\"width:400px;max-width:90%;margin:auto;\"><div class=\"WishListMember_LoginMergeCode\"><div class=\"wlm-ajax-login\"><div class=\"wlm-ajax-login-form\"><form action=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-login.php\" method=\"post\" class=\"wlm_inpageloginform\">\n<input type=\"hidden\" name=\"wlm_redirect_to\" value=\"wishlistmember\" \/>\n<input type=\"hidden\" name=\"redirect_to\" value=\"wishlistmember\" \/>\n<div class=\"wlm3-form\">\n<div class=\"wlm3-form-group\"><label>Username or Email Address<\/label><input name=\"log\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_log\" type=\"text\" value=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"wlm3-form-group\"><label>Password<\/label><span class=\"wishlist-member-login-password\"><input name=\"pwd\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_pwd\" type=\"password\" value=\"\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"dashicons dashicons-visibility\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wlm3-form-group\"><label><input name=\"rememberme\" class=\" form-checkbox fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_rememberme\" type=\"checkbox\"  value=\"forever\"> Remember Me<\/label><\/div>\n<p><input name=\"wp-submit\" class=\"\" id=\"wlm_form_field_wp-submit\" type=\"submit\" value=\"Login\"><\/p>\n\n<p>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-login.php?action=lostpassword\">Lost your Password?<\/a>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/form><\/div><form method=\"post\" action=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-login.php?action=wishlistmember-otl\" class=\"wlm-ajax-login-form-otl\" style=\"display: none;\"><div class=\"wlm-ajax-login-notice -permanent\">Please enter your username or email address. 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You will receive an email message with instructions on how to reset your password.<\/div><div class=\"wlm3-form\"><div class=\"wlm3-form-group\"><label>Username or Email Address<\/label><input name=\"user_login\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_user_login\" type=\"text\" value=\"\"><\/div><p><input name=\"wp-submit\" class=\"\" id=\"wlm_form_field_wp-submit\" type=\"submit\" value=\"Get New Password\"><\/p><input name=\"action\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_action\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"lostpassword\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-login.php?action=login\">Log in<\/a><\/p><\/div><\/form><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<p>If you are not a subscriber, to find out more <a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/subscribe\/\">click here<\/a>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points Following the breakdown of ceasefire talks, President Trump initiated a naval blockade on Monday to pressure Iran to restore access to the Strait of Hormuz. Central Command reported that nine oil tankers from Iran followed orders to turn around since the blockade began. On Wednesday, Iran&#8217;s military threatened to block trade through the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/16\/more-noise-no-signal\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;More Noise, No Signal&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,34],"tags":[495,1113,7270,3010,7171],"class_list":["post-64109","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-middle-east","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-brent-crude","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-iran-blockade","tag-sp-500","tag-strait-of-hormuz"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>More Noise, No Signal - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"More Noise, No Signal - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points Following the breakdown of ceasefire talks, President Trump initiated a naval blockade on Monday to pressure Iran to restore access to the Strait of Hormuz. Central Command reported that nine oil tankers from Iran followed orders to turn around since the blockade began. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-gG1","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":64090,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/","url_meta":{"origin":64109,"position":0},"title":"Dire Straits","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 14, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Brent crude futures are trading below $100 per barrel, as President Trump says Iran wants to \"work a deal.\" However, the physical market shows signs of distress, with Forties Blend close to $149 per barrel on Monday. The \"genie is out of the bottle,\" and the Gulf states\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Prof. Robert Pape on X","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64183,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/20\/iran-update\/","url_meta":{"origin":64109,"position":1},"title":"Iran Update","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 20, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Iran is considering attending peace talks with the United States in Pakistan, \u200ba senior Iranian official told Reuters on Monday. The US blockade of Iranian ports remains in place. Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz and remains a threat to oil pipelines in the region.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":64088,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/12\/blockade\/","url_meta":{"origin":64109,"position":2},"title":"Blockade","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 12, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Donald Trump announced a US blockade on Iranian shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Closure of the Strait will restrict 20% of the global oil supply.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude & CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64263,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/27\/crude-rises-as-peace-talks-stall\/","url_meta":{"origin":64109,"position":3},"title":"Crude Rises as Peace Talks Stall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 27, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Brent crude futures rise to $107.88 per barrel at 8:40 am BST. Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf has withdrawn from the negotiating team. President Trump calls off negotiations with Iran. The US blockade is \"going global,\" according to Secretary of War Pete Hegseth.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude Futures (ICE June'26)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-27-brent-jun26.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-27-brent-jun26.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-27-brent-jun26.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64422,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/11\/sp-500-rallies-on-jobs-gain-but-no-peace-deal\/","url_meta":{"origin":64109,"position":4},"title":"S&#038;P 500 Rallies on Job Gains, But Peace Deal Hopes Crash","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 11, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Trump rejects Iran's peace proposal. Iran continued attacks on its Gulf neighbors. Brent crude July futures jump to $104.50 per barrel. Confidential intelligence sources say that Iran can survive a US blockade for at least 3-4 months. The US labor market added 115,000 jobs in April 2026,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude Nymex Futures (July'26 & Dec'26)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-10-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-10-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-10-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-10-brent.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-05-10-brent.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64294,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/30\/crude-up-gold-down\/","url_meta":{"origin":64109,"position":5},"title":"Crude Up, Gold Down","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 30, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Trump rejects Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait and discusses an extended US naval blockade. Brent crude futures (June'26) jump to more than $120 per barrel. The Fed kept interest rates on hold in Jerome Powell's last FOMC meeting as Fed Chair. Powell says he will stay\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude Futures (ICE June'26)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-29-brent2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-29-brent2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-29-brent2.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64109","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64109"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64109\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64158,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64109\/revisions\/64158"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64109"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64109"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64109"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}