{"id":64090,"date":"2026-04-14T08:22:56","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T08:22:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=64090"},"modified":"2026-04-14T08:35:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T08:35:09","slug":"dire-straits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/","title":{"rendered":"Dire Straits"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Brent crude futures are trading below $100 per barrel, as President Trump says Iran wants to &#8220;work a deal.&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>However, the physical market shows signs of distress, with Forties Blend close to $149 per barrel on Monday.<\/li>\n<li>The &#8220;genie is out of the bottle,&#8221; and the Gulf states are unlikely to settle for a deal that leaves Iran with the capability to close the Strait of Hormuz.<\/li>\n<li>A US blockade of Iranian ports could escalate tensions with China.<\/li>\n<li>Lithium miners jumped on sharp increases in EV sales in Europe and other countries that saw steep increases in energy prices.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<i>[Content protected for Premium, Australian Growth, International Growth, Market Analysis members only]<\/i>\n&#8230;..<\/p>\n<p>To find out more <a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/subscribe\/\">click here<\/a>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points Brent crude futures are trading below $100 per barrel, as President Trump says Iran wants to &#8220;work a deal.&#8221; However, the physical market shows signs of distress, with Forties Blend close to $149 per barrel on Monday. The &#8220;genie is out of the bottle,&#8221; and the Gulf states are unlikely to settle for &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Dire Straits&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44,9,4547,35],"tags":[4674,4585,495,663,6259,7269,4485,7268,3010,3204,3557],"class_list":["post-64090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-gold-precious-metals","category-lithium","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10_year-treasury-yields","tag-bitcoin","tag-brent-crude","tag-china","tag-ev-sales","tag-iran-exports","tag-lithium","tag-naval-blockade","tag-sp-500","tag-spot-gold","tag-us-dollar-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dire Straits - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dire Straits - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points Brent crude futures are trading below $100 per barrel, as President Trump says Iran wants to &#8220;work a deal.&#8221; However, the physical market shows signs of distress, with Forties Blend close to $149 per barrel on Monday. The &#8220;genie is out of the bottle,&#8221; and the Gulf states are unlikely to settle for &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Dire Straits&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-04-14T08:22:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-14T08:35:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Dire Straits\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-04-14T08:22:56+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-14T08:35:09+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/\"},\"wordCount\":1530,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png\",\"keywords\":[\"10-Year Treasury Yields\",\"Bitcoin\",\"Brent crude\",\"China\",\"EV Sales\",\"Iran Exports\",\"Lithium\",\"Naval Blockade\",\"S&amp;P 500\",\"Spot Gold\",\"US Dollar Index\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas\",\"Gold &amp; Precious Metals\",\"Lithium\",\"US Dollar Index\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/\",\"name\":\"Dire Straits - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-04-14T08:22:56+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-14T08:35:09+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-13-pape.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Dire Straits\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-gFI","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":63983,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/31\/financial-markets-tighten-as-tankers-burn\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":0},"title":"Financial Markets Tighten as Tankers Burn","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 31, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Iran attacked a fully loaded oil tanker off Dubai in the Persian Gulf, setting it ablaze. Brent crude futures (May'26) are testing resistance at $115 per barrel. Financial market liquidity is tightening, with credit spreads widening. The US Dollar strengthened to 100.5. TEL AVIV\/WASHINGTON, March 31 (Reuters) -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude Futures (ICE May'26)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-30-brent4.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-30-brent4.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-30-brent4.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64088,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/12\/blockade\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":1},"title":"Blockade","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 12, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Donald Trump announced a US blockade on Iranian shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Closure of the Strait will restrict 20% of the global oil supply.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude & CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":62742,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/16\/crude-sinks-but-copper-lithium-and-uranium-boom\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":2},"title":"Crude sinks but copper, lithium, and uranium boom","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 16, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The International Energy Agency forecasts a heavy crude oil oversupply in 2026, sinking spot prices. However, copper, lithium, and uranium miners are all trending higher, anticipating rising transport electrification and a massive build-out of AI datacenters. A declining Cass Freight Index and falling heavy truck sales warn of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Copper&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Copper","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/copper\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"IEA Forecast of Global Crude Oil Supply & Demand","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-15-iea-supply.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-15-iea-supply.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-15-iea-supply.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-15-iea-supply.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63862,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/13\/a-gas-station-masquerading-as-an-islamic-republic\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":3},"title":"A &#8216;Gas Station masquerading as an Islamic Republic&#8217;","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 13, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Brent crude futures rose to $103.91 per barrel. A US-owned tanker is ablaze in an Iraqi seaport after an attack by two explosive-laden unmanned boats. The US should consider a total blockade of Iranian crude oil exports to accelerate the regime's collapse, says Robin Brooks. Brent crude (ICE\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-13-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-13-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-13-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63223,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/26\/rate-cut-rebound-but-consumer-confidence-falls\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":4},"title":"Rate cut rebound but consumer confidence falls","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 26, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Retail sales dipped slightly in September, with no real improvement since 2021. The Conference Board Consumer Expectations Index is at a low of 63.2, warning of a recession. Stocks rallied, and the dollar weakened, on prospects of a December rate cut. We expect gold to test resistance at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Advance Real Retail & Food Sales","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-25-realretail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-25-realretail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-25-realretail.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63565,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/05\/bitcoin-plunge-signals-risk-off\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":5},"title":"Bitcoin Plunge Signals Risk-Off","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 5, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Bitcoin plunged to $71,200, warning that financial markets are becoming risk-averse. Brent crude surged to nearly $70 per barrel amid heightened US-Iran tensions. Volatility following the CME margin hike, effective Monday, triggered a broad selloff in precious metals and energy transition metals. Bitcoin2 (BTC) broke support at 85,000,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Cryptocurrency&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Cryptocurrency","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/cryptocurrency\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bitcoin (BTC)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-04-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-04-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-04-btc.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64090"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64090\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64096,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64090\/revisions\/64096"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}