{"id":64090,"date":"2026-04-14T08:22:56","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T08:22:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=64090"},"modified":"2026-04-17T00:54:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T00:54:24","slug":"dire-straits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/","title":{"rendered":"Dire Straits"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Brent crude futures are trading below $100 per barrel, as President Trump says Iran wants to &#8220;work a deal.&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>However, the physical market shows signs of distress, with Forties Blend close to $149 per barrel on Monday.<\/li>\n<li>The &#8220;genie is out of the bottle,&#8221; and the Gulf states are unlikely to settle for a deal that leaves Iran with the capability to close the Strait of Hormuz.<\/li>\n<li>A US blockade of Iranian ports could escalate tensions with China.<\/li>\n<li>Lithium miners jumped on sharp increases in EV sales in Europe and other countries that saw steep increases in energy prices.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<i>[Content protected for Premium, Australian Growth, International Growth, Market Analysis members only]<\/i>\n&#8230;.. 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You will receive an email message with instructions on how to reset your password.<\/div><div class=\"wlm3-form\"><div class=\"wlm3-form-group\"><label>Username or Email Address<\/label><input name=\"user_login\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_user_login\" type=\"text\" value=\"\"><\/div><p><input name=\"wp-submit\" class=\"\" id=\"wlm_form_field_wp-submit\" type=\"submit\" value=\"Get New Password\"><\/p><input name=\"action\" class=\" wlm3-form-field fld\" id=\"wlm_form_field_action\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"lostpassword\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-login.php?action=login\">Log in<\/a><\/p><\/div><\/form><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<p>If you are not a subscriber, to find out more <a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/subscribe\/\">click here<\/a>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points Brent crude futures are trading below $100 per barrel, as President Trump says Iran wants to &#8220;work a deal.&#8221; However, the physical market shows signs of distress, with Forties Blend close to $149 per barrel on Monday. The &#8220;genie is out of the bottle,&#8221; and the Gulf states are unlikely to settle for &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/14\/dire-straits\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Dire Straits&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44,9,4547,35],"tags":[4674,4585,495,663,6259,7269,4485,7268,3010,3204,3557],"class_list":["post-64090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-gold-precious-metals","category-lithium","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10_year-treasury-yields","tag-bitcoin","tag-brent-crude","tag-china","tag-ev-sales","tag-iran-exports","tag-lithium","tag-naval-blockade","tag-sp-500","tag-spot-gold","tag-us-dollar-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dire Straits - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dire Straits - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points Brent crude futures are trading below $100 per barrel, as President Trump says Iran wants to &#8220;work a deal.&#8221; However, the physical market shows signs of distress, with Forties Blend close to $149 per barrel on Monday. 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TEL AVIV\/WASHINGTON, March 31 (Reuters) -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude Futures (ICE May'26)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-30-brent4.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-30-brent4.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-30-brent4.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64109,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/16\/more-noise-no-signal\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":1},"title":"More Noise, No Signal","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 16, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Following the breakdown of ceasefire talks, President Trump initiated a naval blockade on Monday to pressure Iran to restore access to the Strait of Hormuz. Central Command reported that nine oil tankers from Iran followed orders to turn around since the blockade began. On Wednesday, Iran's military threatened\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Middle East&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Middle East","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/middle-east\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-15-brent2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-15-brent2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-15-brent2.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64263,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/27\/crude-rises-as-peace-talks-stall\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":2},"title":"Crude Rises as Peace Talks Stall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 27, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Brent crude futures rise to $107.88 per barrel at 8:40 am BST. Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf has withdrawn from the negotiating team. President Trump calls off negotiations with Iran. The US blockade is \"going global,\" according to Secretary of War Pete Hegseth.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude Futures (ICE June'26)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-27-brent-jun26.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-27-brent-jun26.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-27-brent-jun26.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64088,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/12\/blockade\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":3},"title":"Blockade","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 12, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points President Donald Trump announced a US blockade on Iranian shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Closure of the Strait will restrict 20% of the global oil supply.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude & CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-10-brent-cpi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":62742,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/16\/crude-sinks-but-copper-lithium-and-uranium-boom\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":4},"title":"Crude sinks but copper, lithium, and uranium boom","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 16, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The International Energy Agency forecasts a heavy crude oil oversupply in 2026, sinking spot prices. However, copper, lithium, and uranium miners are all trending higher, anticipating rising transport electrification and a massive build-out of AI datacenters. A declining Cass Freight Index and falling heavy truck sales warn of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Copper&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Copper","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/copper\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"IEA Forecast of Global Crude Oil Supply & Demand","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-15-iea-supply.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-15-iea-supply.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-15-iea-supply.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-15-iea-supply.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63223,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/26\/rate-cut-rebound-but-consumer-confidence-falls\/","url_meta":{"origin":64090,"position":5},"title":"Rate cut rebound but consumer confidence falls","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 26, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Retail sales dipped slightly in September, with no real improvement since 2021. The Conference Board Consumer Expectations Index is at a low of 63.2, warning of a recession. Stocks rallied, and the dollar weakened, on prospects of a December rate cut. We expect gold to test resistance at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Advance Real Retail & Food Sales","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-25-realretail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-25-realretail.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-25-realretail.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64090"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64090\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64094,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64090\/revisions\/64094"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}