{"id":6408,"date":"2012-12-09T05:05:45","date_gmt":"2012-12-09T10:05:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6408"},"modified":"2012-12-09T05:05:45","modified_gmt":"2012-12-09T10:05:45","slug":"china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/09\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\/","title":{"rendered":"China is now heading toward Japan-style economic paralysis if it doesnt change course &#124; Quartz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Jack Rodman, president of Global Distressed Solutions LLC, spent 1999 to 2011 living in Japan and China, packaging and disposing of nonperforming loans and distressed assets. He writes on the problems facing China:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"background-color:#ddddff;\">\n<p>At the end of 1989, Japan\u2019s bubble economy burst and its economic miracle came to an abrupt end. The Nikkei exchange fell from nearly 40,000 to its current 10,000 range. Over the course of 20 years, what appeared to be \u201cunstoppable\u201d economic growth proved to be anything but.<\/p>\n<p>Today, China, in some ways, appears to be closer to following Japan than to sustaining its own economic miracle. China\u2019s Shanghai Index (stocks) has fallen from a high of 7,000 in 2007 to a low of 2,000 for the past few years, and Chinese domestic investors have little confidence in their domestic stock market. The Japanese bubble, and its aftermath, was the result of a series of domestic financial and economic imbalances, many of which China faces today\u2014to varying if not greater degrees&#8230;.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Read more at <a href='http:\/\/qz.com\/34384\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course\/'>China is now heading toward Japan-style economic paralysis if it doesnt change course &#8211; Quartz<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jack Rodman, president of Global Distressed Solutions LLC, spent 1999 to 2011 living in Japan and China, packaging and disposing of nonperforming loans and distressed assets. He writes on the problems facing China: At the end of 1989, Japan\u2019s bubble economy burst and its economic miracle came to an abrupt end. The Nikkei exchange fell &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/09\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;China is now heading toward Japan-style economic paralysis if it doesnt change course &#124; Quartz&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,5,17],"tags":[663,1175,1934,3218],"class_list":["post-6408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-economy","category-japan-korea","tag-china","tag-economic-growth","tag-japan","tag-stagnation"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China is now heading toward Japan-style economic paralysis if it doesnt change course &#124; Quartz - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China is now heading toward Japan-style economic paralysis if it doesnt change course &#124; Quartz - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jack Rodman, president of Global Distressed Solutions LLC, spent 1999 to 2011 living in Japan and China, packaging and disposing of nonperforming loans and distressed assets. He writes on the problems facing China: At the end of 1989, Japan\u2019s bubble economy burst and its economic miracle came to an abrupt end. The Nikkei exchange fell &hellip; Continue reading &quot;China is now heading toward Japan-style economic paralysis if it doesnt change course &#124; Quartz&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/09\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-12-09T10:05:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/09\\\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/09\\\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"China is now heading toward Japan-style economic paralysis if it doesnt change course &#124; Quartz\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-12-09T10:05:45+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/09\\\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":190,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"China\",\"economic growth\",\"Japan\",\"stagnation\"],\"articleSection\":[\"China &amp; HK\",\"Economy\",\"Japan &amp; Korea\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/09\\\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/09\\\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/09\\\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\\\/\",\"name\":\"China is now heading toward Japan-style economic paralysis if it doesnt change course &#124; Quartz - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2012-12-09T10:05:45+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/09\\\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/09\\\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/09\\\/china-is-now-heading-toward-japan-style-economic-paralysis-if-it-doesnt-change-course-quartz\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"China is now heading toward Japan-style economic paralysis if it doesnt change course &#124; Quartz\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\\\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1Fm","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":9981,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/08\/chinas-investment-driven-growth-miracle\/","url_meta":{"origin":6408,"position":0},"title":"China&#8217;s Investment-Driven Growth \u201cMiracle\u201d","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 8, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Worth Wray quotes Michael Pettis from his 2013 book, Avoiding the Fall: China\u2019s Economic Restructuring, about the future path of China's debt-laden economy: Every country that has followed a consumption-repressing, investment-driven growth model like China\u2019s has ended with an unsustainable debt burden caused by wasted debt-financed investment. This has always\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6133,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/12\/japan-economy-shrinks-as-china-dispute-takes-toll\/","url_meta":{"origin":6408,"position":1},"title":"Japan economy shrinks as China dispute takes toll","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 12, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Elaine Kurtenbach at USA Today writes: Japan's economy contracted in the latest quarter, signaling that like Europe it may already be in recession, further weighing down world growth. On an annualized basis, the world's No. 3 economy shrank 3.5% in the July-September quarter, the government reported Monday. It was in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5611,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/28\/china-alters-its-strategy-in-dispute-with-japan-nytimes-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":6408,"position":2},"title":"China Alters Its Strategy in Dispute With Japan &#8211; NYTimes.com","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 28, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"By JANE PERLEZ Notions of punishing Tokyo economically for buying the islands, whose status was left unclear after World War II, are unrealistic, said Hu Shuli, editor in chief of Caixin Media and one of China\u2019s chief economic journalists. So many Chinese workers are employed at Japanese-owned companies, she said,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6828,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/01\/us-asia-contrasting-economic-activity\/","url_meta":{"origin":6408,"position":3},"title":"US &#038; Asia: Contrasting economic activity","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 1, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"While Fedex broke through long-term resistance at $100, signaling rising activity in North America.... The Harpex index of container shipping (charter) rates, primarily for movement of finished goods, is close to its 2009 low. There is no indication of a resurgence in exports between Asia and the West.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12117,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/28\/china-deja-vu-all-over-again\/","url_meta":{"origin":6408,"position":4},"title":"China: Deja vu all over again","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 28, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The Shanghai Composite today found support at 3500 today after plunging more than 8% on Monday. The large divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow continues to warn of selling pressure. * Target calculation: 4000 - ( 5000 - 4000 ) = 3000 Japan's Lost Decade From Wikipedia: The Japanese asset\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Shanghai Composite Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-28-ssec.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-28-ssec.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2015\/2015-07-28-ssec.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":22051,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/10\/17\/november-never-waste-a-good-crisis\/","url_meta":{"origin":6408,"position":5},"title":"November: Never waste a good crisis","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 17, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"In this short video clip, Michael Pettis \u2014 Finance Professor, Peking University, and Senior Fellow, Carnegie-Tsinghua Center \u2014 discusses China's over-reliance on debt and the likely outcome: There are two ways of addressing a debt bubble: An abrupt crisis which allows the economy to quickly adjust for past excesses, writing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6408","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6408"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6408\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}