{"id":64019,"date":"2026-04-07T06:09:39","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T06:09:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=64019"},"modified":"2026-04-07T07:30:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T07:30:30","slug":"australian-composite-pmi-dives-to-recession-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/07\/australian-composite-pmi-dives-to-recession-levels\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian PMI Dives to Recession Levels"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Key Points<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>The S&amp;P Global Australia Composite PMI dived to 46.6 in March, from 52.4 in February.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>The S&amp;P Global Australia Composite PMI dived to 46.6 in March, from 52.4 in February. The fall below 49.0 marks our first recession warning since December 2023.<\/p>\n<i>[Content protected for Premium, Australian Growth, International Growth, Market Analysis members only]<\/i>\n&#8230;..<\/p>\n<p>To find out more <a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/subscribe\/\">click here<\/a>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points The S&amp;P Global Australia Composite PMI dived to 46.6 in March, from 52.4 in February. The S&amp;P Global Australia Composite PMI dived to 46.6 in March, from 52.4 in February. The fall below 49.0 marks our first recession warning since December 2023.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,3761,13],"tags":[1828,2880,7146],"class_list":["post-64019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-gdp-and-activity","category-inflation-economy","tag-inflation","tag-recession","tag-sp-global-australian-composite-pmi"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Australian PMI Dives to Recession Levels - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Australian PMI Dives to Recession Levels - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Key Points The S&amp;P Global Australia Composite PMI dived to 46.6 in March, from 52.4 in February. The S&amp;P Global Australia Composite PMI dived to 46.6 in March, from 52.4 in February. The fall below 49.0 marks our first recession warning since December 2023.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/07\/australian-composite-pmi-dives-to-recession-levels\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-04-07T06:09:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-07T07:30:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-06-aus-composite-pmi.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/07\/australian-composite-pmi-dives-to-recession-levels\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/07\/australian-composite-pmi-dives-to-recession-levels\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Australian PMI Dives to Recession Levels\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-04-07T06:09:39+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-07T07:30:30+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/07\/australian-composite-pmi-dives-to-recession-levels\/\"},\"wordCount\":132,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/07\/australian-composite-pmi-dives-to-recession-levels\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-06-aus-composite-pmi.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Inflation\",\"Recession\",\"S&amp;P Global: Australian Composite PMI\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Australia &amp; 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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The rate increase is the second since the RBA reversed direction on 4 February and is an admission that the Board cut too early. The economy was doing fine in February 2025, with unemployment at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"RBA Cash Rate Target","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-17-rba-cashrate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-17-rba-cashrate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-17-rba-cashrate.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63542,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/04\/rba-admits-its-mistake\/","url_meta":{"origin":64019,"position":1},"title":"RBA Admits Its Mistake","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 4, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The RBA raised its cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.85%. The consumer price index jumped to 3.8% for the 12 months to December 2025. The unemployment rate fell to a seasonally-adjusted 4.1%. The ASX 200 found support at 8800. The RBA increased its cash rate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australian CPI & Trimmed Mean CPI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-03-aus-cpi-tm.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-03-aus-cpi-tm.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-03-aus-cpi-tm.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-03-aus-cpi-tm.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":53286,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/24\/australia-resilience-or-recession-it-depends-where-you-look\/","url_meta":{"origin":64019,"position":2},"title":"Australia: Resilience or recession, it depends where you look","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 24, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The Judo Bank\/S&P Global Composite PMI Index for May continues to signal expansion (above 50 on LHS), albeit at a slightly slower rate of 52.6 compared to 53.0 in April. The Manufacturing PMI continues to signal contraction (below 50) but the rate slowed to 49.6 in both April and May.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Judo Bank\/S&P Global Composite PMI","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-23-aus-judo-pmi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-23-aus-judo-pmi.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-23-aus-judo-pmi.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-23-aus-judo-pmi.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63335,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/03\/asx-selling-pressure-while-consumers-struggle\/","url_meta":{"origin":64019,"position":3},"title":"ASX selling pressure","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 3, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Real GDP growth slowed to 0.4% in the third quarter, but this masks negative growth for the consumer. The S&P Global composite PMI shows business is holding up well. However, the ASX 200 is signaling selling pressure. Real GDP growth slowed to 0.4% in the fourth quarter, while\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Real GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-02-aus-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-02-aus-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-02-aus-gdp.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-12-02-aus-gdp.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":55279,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/04\/asx-lifts-on-iron-ore-rally\/","url_meta":{"origin":64019,"position":4},"title":"ASX lifts on iron ore rally","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 4, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The ASX 200 rallied on the back of a strong US overnight performance and an upsurge in iron ore prices. Rising Trend Index troughs signal buying pressure. The ASX 300 Metals & Mining climbed off the floor after an extended test of primary support at 5600. Boosted by an upsurge\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ASX 200","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-07-03-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-07-03-xjo.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-07-03-xjo.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63649,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/19\/asx-ripe-for-a-breakout\/","url_meta":{"origin":64019,"position":5},"title":"ASX Ripe for a Breakout","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 19, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Australian unemployment fell to 4.1% in January. The S&P Global Composite PMI is at its highest level in more than 4 years. The ASX 200 index and its two biggest sector indices are all testing resistance at their previous highs. Australian unemployment fell to 4.1% in January, indicating\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australia: Unemployment","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-19-aus-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-19-aus-u3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-19-aus-u3.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-02-19-aus-u3.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64019","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64019"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64019\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64025,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64019\/revisions\/64025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64019"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64019"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64019"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}