{"id":6397,"date":"2012-12-07T19:22:26","date_gmt":"2012-12-08T00:22:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6397"},"modified":"2012-12-07T19:22:26","modified_gmt":"2012-12-08T00:22:26","slug":"lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/","title":{"rendered":"Lakshman Achuthan&#039;s US recession call"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sam Ro of <em>Business Insider<\/em> quotes ECRI:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"background-color:#ddddff;\"><p>So, with about a month to go before year-end, what do the hard data tell us about where we are in the business cycle? Reviewing the indicators used to officially decide U.S. recession dates, it looks like the recession began around July 2012. This is because, in retrospect, three of those four coincident indicators \u2013 the broad measures of production, income, employment and sales \u2013 saw their high points in July&#8230;.. with only employment still rising.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>See chart at <a href='http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/lakshman-achuthan-tell-tale-chart-2012-12'>Lakshman Achuthan&#039;s Tell-Tale Chart | Business Insider<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sam Ro of Business Insider quotes ECRI: So, with about a month to go before year-end, what do the hard data tell us about where we are in the business cycle? Reviewing the indicators used to officially decide U.S. recession dates, it looks like the recession began around July 2012. This is because, in retrospect, &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Lakshman Achuthan&#039;s US recession call&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,34],"tags":[1186,2880],"class_list":["post-6397","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-ecri","tag-recession"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Lakshman Achuthan&#039;s US recession call - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lakshman Achuthan&#039;s US recession call - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Sam Ro of Business Insider quotes ECRI: So, with about a month to go before year-end, what do the hard data tell us about where we are in the business cycle? Reviewing the indicators used to officially decide U.S. recession dates, it looks like the recession began around July 2012. This is because, in retrospect, &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Lakshman Achuthan&#039;s US recession call&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-12-08T00:22:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Lakshman Achuthan&#039;s US recession call\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-12-08T00:22:26+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/\"},\"wordCount\":97,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"ECRI\",\"Recession\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Economy\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/\",\"name\":\"Lakshman Achuthan&#039;s US recession call - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2012-12-08T00:22:26+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/07\/lakshman-achuthans-us-recession-call\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Lakshman Achuthan&#039;s US recession call\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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But the jobless rate dropped to 4.5%, its lowest reading since 2007, so the Fed\u2019s \u201cfull-employment\u201d mandate has been met. Their other mandate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Inflation&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Inflation","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/inflation-economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4781,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/07\/the-threat-from-a-recession-ecri\/","url_meta":{"origin":6397,"position":2},"title":"The Threat From a Recession &#124; ECRI","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 7, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Economic Cycle Research Institute, which claims a perfect recession-forecasting record, says an economic contraction is imminent. \"We have not seen a slowdown where year-over-year payroll job growth has dropped this low without a recession,\" ECRI states in a May report. If, or when, the U.S. (and\/or the global) economy\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3661,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/02\/29\/contrarian-view-ecris-lakshman-achuthan-says-economy-is-slowing\/","url_meta":{"origin":6397,"position":3},"title":"Contrarian view: ECRI&#8217;s Lakshman Achuthan says economy is slowing","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 29, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan says the economy is slowing: [gigya src=\"http:\/\/i.cdn.turner.com\/money\/.element\/apps\/cvp\/4.0\/swf\/cnn_money_384x216_embed.swf\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" bgcolor=\"#000000\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" width=\"384\" wmode=\"transparent\" height=\"356\" flashVars=\"context=embed&videoId=\/video\/news\/2012\/02\/29\/n_ecri_lak_recession_jobs.cnnmoney\"]","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":522,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/30\/its-too-late-for-obama-to-create-jobs-says-ecris-achuthan\/","url_meta":{"origin":6397,"position":4},"title":"It\u2019s Too Late For Obama To Create Jobs, Says ECRI\u2019s Achuthan","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 30, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Economic Cycle Research Institute co-founder Lakshman Achuthan: \"There's nothing they're going to be able to do about that near-term direction in the unemployment rate, especially if we slip into a recession because every time you have a recession by definition the unemployment rate will be spiking.\" ... Achuthan says the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;US &amp; Canada&quot;","block_context":{"text":"US &amp; Canada","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/us-canada-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":38236,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/10\/20\/important-recession-warning\/","url_meta":{"origin":6397,"position":5},"title":"Important recession warning","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 20, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"We have had a number of major indicators warning of a bear market over the year, with the S&P 500 falling by more than 20%, completing a Dow Theory reversal, and 100-day Momentum holding below zero. On the recession front, GDP recorded two quarters of negative growth -- a useful\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500 Index","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-10-20-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-10-20-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-10-20-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6397","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6397"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6397\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6397"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6397"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6397"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}