{"id":6373,"date":"2012-12-05T20:16:34","date_gmt":"2012-12-06T01:16:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6373"},"modified":"2012-12-05T20:16:34","modified_gmt":"2012-12-06T01:16:34","slug":"weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/05\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\/","title":{"rendered":"Weaker commodities threaten down-turn"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Commodities remain weak despite the softer dollar, with the DJ-UBS Commodity Index hovering above support at 140 on the weekly chart. Breach of support would test the primary level at 125\/126, warning of a global economic down-turn. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would also suggest a down-trend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"DJ-UBS Commodity Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-12-05-dubs.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The gap between Nymex WTI Light Crude and ICE Brent Crude\u00a0 Middle East widened to $24\/barrel as a result of tensions in the Middle East. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum holding below zero suggests a primary down-trend despite the weaker dollar.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Nymex WTI Light Crude\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-12-05-crude2.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Commodities remain weak despite the softer dollar, with the DJ-UBS Commodity Index hovering above support at 140 on the weekly chart. Breach of support would test the primary level at 125\/126, warning of a global economic down-turn. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would also suggest a down-trend. The gap between Nymex WTI Light &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/05\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Weaker commodities threaten down-turn&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[1064,1779,2529],"class_list":["post-6373","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gold-commodities","tag-dj-ubs-commodity-index","tag-ice-brent-crude","tag-nymex-wti-light-crude"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weaker commodities threaten down-turn - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weaker commodities threaten down-turn - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Commodities remain weak despite the softer dollar, with the DJ-UBS Commodity Index hovering above support at 140 on the weekly chart. Breach of support would test the primary level at 125\/126, warning of a global economic down-turn. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would also suggest a down-trend. The gap between Nymex WTI Light &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Weaker commodities threaten down-turn&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/05\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-12-06T01:16:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-12-05-dubs.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Weaker commodities threaten down-turn\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-12-06T01:16:34+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":90,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2012\\\/2012-12-05-dubs.png\",\"keywords\":[\"DJ-UBS Commodity Index\",\"ICE Brent Crude\",\"Nymex WTI Light Crude\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Gold &amp; Commodities\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/\",\"name\":\"Weaker commodities threaten down-turn - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2012\\\/2012-12-05-dubs.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-12-06T01:16:34+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2012\\\/2012-12-05-dubs.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2012\\\/2012-12-05-dubs.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/12\\\/05\\\/weaker-commodities-threaten-down-turn\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Weaker commodities threaten down-turn\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\\\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would also suggest a down-trend. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1EN","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":6309,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/29\/gold-long-tail-as-dollar-retreats\/","url_meta":{"origin":6373,"position":0},"title":"Gold long tail as dollar retreats","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 29, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Yesterday's long tail on the spot gold daily chart indicates support at $1700 per ounce. Recovery above $1750 would signal another test of $1800. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum well above zero continues to indicate a healthy up-trend. A weakening dollar would strengthen the signal. * Target calculation: 1800 + ( 1800\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Forex&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Forex","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5837,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/24\/gold-and-commodities-fall\/","url_meta":{"origin":6373,"position":1},"title":"Gold and commodities fall","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 24, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index is consolidating between 79 and 80. Upward breakout would test resistance at 81.00\/81.50 -- penetration of the descending trendline indicating the correction has ended -- but the primary trend is downward and breach of support at 79 would signal another decline. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Gold &amp; Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Gold &amp; Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6246,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/gold-strengthens-as-dollar-retreats\/","url_meta":{"origin":6373,"position":2},"title":"Gold strengthens as dollar retreats","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 22, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Long tails on the last two days of the spot gold daily chart indicate strong support at $1700 per ounce. Breakout above $1740 would indicate another test of $1800. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum well above zero suggests a healthy up-trend. A weakening dollar would strengthen the signal. * Target calculation: 1800\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Forex&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Forex","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6097,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/08\/the-gold-euro-dollar-conundrum\/","url_meta":{"origin":6373,"position":3},"title":"The Gold-Euro-Dollar conundrum","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 8, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Euro broke support at $1.28 against the greenback (weekly chart). Respect of the descending trendline warns of a down-swing to test primary support at $1.20. Reversal of\u00a0 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the signal. But the Dollar Index and Gold suggest the opposite. Recovery above $1.28 would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Forex&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Forex","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5963,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/31\/gold-and-dollar-test-support-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":6373,"position":4},"title":"Gold and dollar test support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 31, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index (daily chart) broke medium-term resistance at 80 before retracing to test the new support level. Penetration of the descending trendline indicates the correction has ended. A long tail on Wednesday indicates (short-term) buying pressure; respect of support would signal an advance to 81. But the primary trend\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Gold &amp; Commodities&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Gold &amp; Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6195,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/16\/the-gold-euro-dollar-conundrum-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":6373,"position":5},"title":"The Gold-Euro-Dollar conundrum Part II","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 16, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week we discussed conflicting signals from the euro and US dollar. The Dollar Index and the euro are normally plotted inversely to each other.\u00a0 I have reversed this on the chart below.\u00a0 As expected, with the euro the largest component (57.6 percent) of the dollar index weighted basket of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Forex&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Forex","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6373","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6373"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6373\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}