{"id":6341,"date":"2012-12-04T01:19:24","date_gmt":"2012-12-04T06:19:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6341"},"modified":"2012-12-04T01:19:24","modified_gmt":"2012-12-04T06:19:24","slug":"china-controlled-descent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/04\/china-controlled-descent\/","title":{"rendered":"China: Controlled descent"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index monthly chart displays controlled descent rather than free-fall, declining in layers of roughly 200 points since early 2010. After breaking support at 2000, expect a decline to 1800*. Oscillation of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero reflects the primary down-trend. Recovery above 2000 is most unlikely but would suggest a bear trap.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-12-03-ssec.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2000 &#8211; ( 2200 &#8211; 2000 ) = 1800<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The Shenzhen Composite Index offers a target of 600* after breaking support at 800 on the monthly chart.\u00a013-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero indicates selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Shenzhen Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-12-03-szsc.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 800 &#8211; ( 1000 &#8211; 800 ) = 600<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng Index respected resistance at 22000. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below 21000 would indicate a test of the rising trendline at 20000. Recovery above 22000 is unlikely at present but would signal an advance to 24000*<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Hang Seng Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-12-03-hsi.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 22 + ( 22 &#8211; 20 ) = 24<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index monthly chart displays controlled descent rather than free-fall, declining in layers of roughly 200 points since early 2010. After breaking support at 2000, expect a decline to 1800*. Oscillation of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero reflects the primary down-trend. Recovery above 2000 is most unlikely but would suggest a bear trap. &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/04\/china-controlled-descent\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;China: Controlled descent&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,57],"tags":[1116,1644,3100],"class_list":["post-6341","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-stock-markets","tag-dow-jones-shanghai-index","tag-hang-seng-index","tag-shanghai-composite-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China: Controlled descent - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China: Controlled descent - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index monthly chart displays controlled descent rather than free-fall, declining in layers of roughly 200 points since early 2010. After breaking support at 2000, expect a decline to 1800*. Oscillation of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero reflects the primary down-trend. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients. Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients. Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1Eh","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5721,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/08\/asia-china-india-and-japan\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":0},"title":"Asia: China, India and Japan","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 8, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Shanghai Composite Index is consolidating between 2000 and 2150. Descending 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of long-term selling pressure. Respect of resistance at 2150 is likely and breakout below 2000 would signal a decline to 1800*. * Target calculation: 2150 - ( 2500 - 2150 ) = 1800 Shenzhen\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2254,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/21\/china-and-hong-kong\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":1},"title":"China and Hong Kong","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 21, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index is testing medium-term support at 18000; breach would signal another test of 16000*. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of rising selling pressure. * Target calculation: 16 - ( 20 \u2212 16 ) = 12 The Shanghai Composite is testing medium-term support at 2400.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5378,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/03\/asia-china-japan-bearish-india-hesitant\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":2},"title":"Asia: China &#038; Japan bearish, India hesitant","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 3, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's official manufacturing PMI fell to a nine-month low in August, below 50 at 49.2; steel prices are at their lowest level since 2009 and rail cargo volumes have experienced their sharpest fall since 2008. In the circumstances, stocks have held up surprisingly well, with a gradual rather than vertical\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6286,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/27\/china-shanghai-breaks-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":3},"title":"China: Shanghai breaks support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 27, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Shanghai Composite Index followed the DJ Shanghai Index, breaking primary support at 2000 to warn of a down-swing to 1850*. Completion of another\u00a063-day Twiggs Momentum peak, this time deep below zero, would indicate a strong primary down-trend. Recovery above 2000 is unlikely but would suggest a bear trap. *\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9808,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/05\/14\/india-bullish-while-china-japan-remain-weak\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":4},"title":"India bullish while China, Japan remain weak","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 14, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Sometimes monthly charts provide a clearer view of market direction by eliminating short-term noise. India's Sensex displays a primary advance, since breaking resistance at 21000, offering a long-term target of 26000*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow troughs above zero indicate strong buying pressure. Correction to test the rising trendline and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Sensex","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-14-bse.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-14-bse.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-14-bse.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13709,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/21\/good-week-for-the-sp-500-but-not-the-asx\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":5},"title":"Good week for the S&#038;P 500 but not the ASX","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 21, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary: A good week for US markets. China continues to threaten further down-side. The ASX 200, pulled in opposite directions, is range bound for the present. Momentum strategies require persistence. The S&P 500 broke through 1950 and is expected to test the next resistance level at 2000*. Rising 21-day Twiggs\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6341","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6341"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6341\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6341"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6341"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6341"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}