{"id":6341,"date":"2012-12-04T01:19:24","date_gmt":"2012-12-04T06:19:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6341"},"modified":"2012-12-04T01:19:24","modified_gmt":"2012-12-04T06:19:24","slug":"china-controlled-descent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/04\/china-controlled-descent\/","title":{"rendered":"China: Controlled descent"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index monthly chart displays controlled descent rather than free-fall, declining in layers of roughly 200 points since early 2010. After breaking support at 2000, expect a decline to 1800*. Oscillation of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero reflects the primary down-trend. Recovery above 2000 is most unlikely but would suggest a bear trap.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Shanghai Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-12-03-ssec.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 2000 &#8211; ( 2200 &#8211; 2000 ) = 1800<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The Shenzhen Composite Index offers a target of 600* after breaking support at 800 on the monthly chart.\u00a013-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero indicates selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Shenzhen Composite Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-12-03-szsc.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 800 &#8211; ( 1000 &#8211; 800 ) = 600<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng Index respected resistance at 22000. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of medium-term selling pressure. Reversal below 21000 would indicate a test of the rising trendline at 20000. Recovery above 22000 is unlikely at present but would signal an advance to 24000*<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Hang Seng Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-12-03-hsi.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;\"><span style=\"color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 22 + ( 22 &#8211; 20 ) = 24<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index monthly chart displays controlled descent rather than free-fall, declining in layers of roughly 200 points since early 2010. After breaking support at 2000, expect a decline to 1800*. Oscillation of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero reflects the primary down-trend. Recovery above 2000 is most unlikely but would suggest a bear trap. &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/12\/04\/china-controlled-descent\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;China: Controlled descent&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,57],"tags":[1116,1644,3100],"class_list":["post-6341","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-stock-markets","tag-dow-jones-shanghai-index","tag-hang-seng-index","tag-shanghai-composite-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China: Controlled descent - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China: Controlled descent - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite Index monthly chart displays controlled descent rather than free-fall, declining in layers of roughly 200 points since early 2010. After breaking support at 2000, expect a decline to 1800*. Oscillation of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero reflects the primary down-trend. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1Eh","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5721,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/08\/asia-china-india-and-japan\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":0},"title":"Asia: China, India and Japan","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 8, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Shanghai Composite Index is consolidating between 2000 and 2150. Descending 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of long-term selling pressure. Respect of resistance at 2150 is likely and breakout below 2000 would signal a decline to 1800*. * Target calculation: 2150 - ( 2500 - 2150 ) = 1800 Shenzhen\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2254,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/11\/21\/china-and-hong-kong\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":1},"title":"China and Hong Kong","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 21, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index is testing medium-term support at 18000; breach would signal another test of 16000*. 13-Week Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of rising selling pressure. * Target calculation: 16 - ( 20 \u2212 16 ) = 12 The Shanghai Composite is testing medium-term support at 2400.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5378,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/03\/asia-china-japan-bearish-india-hesitant\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":2},"title":"Asia: China &#038; Japan bearish, India hesitant","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 3, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's official manufacturing PMI fell to a nine-month low in August, below 50 at 49.2; steel prices are at their lowest level since 2009 and rail cargo volumes have experienced their sharpest fall since 2008. In the circumstances, stocks have held up surprisingly well, with a gradual rather than vertical\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6286,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/27\/china-shanghai-breaks-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":3},"title":"China: Shanghai breaks support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 27, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"China's Shanghai Composite Index followed the DJ Shanghai Index, breaking primary support at 2000 to warn of a down-swing to 1850*. Completion of another\u00a063-day Twiggs Momentum peak, this time deep below zero, would indicate a strong primary down-trend. Recovery above 2000 is unlikely but would suggest a bear trap. *\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9808,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/05\/14\/india-bullish-while-china-japan-remain-weak\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":4},"title":"India bullish while China, Japan remain weak","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"May 14, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Sometimes monthly charts provide a clearer view of market direction by eliminating short-term noise. India's Sensex displays a primary advance, since breaking resistance at 21000, offering a long-term target of 26000*. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow troughs above zero indicate strong buying pressure. Correction to test the rising trendline and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Sensex","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-14-bse.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-14-bse.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-05-14-bse.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13709,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/06\/21\/good-week-for-the-sp-500-but-not-the-asx\/","url_meta":{"origin":6341,"position":5},"title":"Good week for the S&#038;P 500 but not the ASX","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"June 21, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary: A good week for US markets. China continues to threaten further down-side. The ASX 200, pulled in opposite directions, is range bound for the present. Momentum strategies require persistence. The S&P 500 broke through 1950 and is expected to test the next resistance level at 2000*. Rising 21-day Twiggs\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Market Insights&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Market Insights","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/market-insights\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2014\/2014-06-21-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6341","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6341"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6341\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6341"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6341"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6341"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}