{"id":62688,"date":"2025-10-13T07:00:16","date_gmt":"2025-10-13T07:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=62688"},"modified":"2025-10-13T07:22:27","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T07:22:27","slug":"the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/13\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\/","title":{"rendered":"The Mistaken Myth of an Invincible China | Robin J Brooks"},"content":{"rendered":"

An alternative view on why China is increasing export controls on critical materials:<\/p>\n

China this week put new export controls on rare earths and other critical minerals needed for US defense and technology production. This step drastically escalates the tariff stand-off with the US and fits neatly into the widespread narrative that China has the upper hand over the US. That narrative is nonsense….<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

You can read more at Robin Brooks<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Conclusion<\/h2>\n

I’m unsure how China stepping up export controls and provoking President Trump will bring tariffs down. Whether China’s actions are a sign that it has the upper hand in negotiations or not, this will likely escalate the trade war, increasing volatility in global financial markets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

An alternative view on why China is increasing export controls on critical materials: China this week put new export controls on rare earths and other critical minerals needed for US defense and technology production. This step drastically escalates the tariff stand-off with the US and fits neatly into the widespread narrative that China has the … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “The Mistaken Myth of an Invincible China | Robin J Brooks”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,34],"tags":[4514,7002,3782,3458],"class_list":["post-62688","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-critical-materials","tag-export-controls","tag-tariffs","tag-trade-war"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Mistaken Myth of an Invincible China | Robin J Brooks - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Mistaken Myth of an Invincible China | Robin J Brooks - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"An alternative view on why China is increasing export controls on critical materials: China this week put new export controls on rare earths and other critical minerals needed for US defense and technology production. This step drastically escalates the tariff stand-off with the US and fits neatly into the widespread narrative that China has the … Continue reading "The Mistaken Myth of an Invincible China | Robin J Brooks"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/13\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T07:00:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T07:22:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/13\\\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/13\\\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"The Mistaken Myth of an Invincible China | Robin J Brooks\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-10-13T07:00:16+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T07:22:27+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/13\\\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":127,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Critical Materials\",\"Export Controls\",\"Tariffs\",\"Trade War\"],\"articleSection\":[\"China & HK\",\"US & Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/13\\\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/13\\\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/13\\\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Mistaken Myth of an Invincible China | Robin J Brooks - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-10-13T07:00:16+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-13T07:22:27+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/13\\\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/13\\\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/10\\\/13\\\/the-mistaken-myth-of-an-invincible-china-robin-j-brooks\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"The Mistaken Myth of an Invincible China | Robin J Brooks\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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There are now 218 individuals and 620 entities from China in the US Treasury Department's sanctions database, an incredible figure given\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Critical Materials: Medium-Term","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-13-criticalmaterials-mt.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-13-criticalmaterials-mt.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-13-criticalmaterials-mt.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63117,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/19\/yttrium-what-trade-deal\/","url_meta":{"origin":62688,"position":1},"title":"Yttrium – what trade deal?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 19, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Supplies of rare earth element yttrium have dwindled, sending prices soaring. China has not lifted export controls imposed in April as retaliation for US tariffs. China is squeezing the supply of rare-earth element yttrium, sending the semiconductor and aerospace industries into a panic. The October meeting between President\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Yttrium Oxide","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-18-yttrium.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-18-yttrium.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-18-yttrium.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-11-18-yttrium.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":62597,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/11\/xi-pulls-the-rug-on-trump\/","url_meta":{"origin":62688,"position":2},"title":"Xi pulls the rug on Trump","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 11, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points China increased export controls on critical materials where it has a dominant share of production, two weeks ahead of a scheduled face-to-face meeting between leader Xi Jinping and President Trump. The US President has threatened retaliation, including 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. The S&P 500 plunged on Friday,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Banks & Interest Rates"","block_context":{"text":"Banks & Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-10-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-10-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-10-10-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61589,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/13\/the-relief-rally-is-likely-to-be-short-lived\/","url_meta":{"origin":62688,"position":3},"title":"The relief rally is likely to be short-lived","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 13, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary Announcement of a reduction in US-China tariffs during a 90-day pause sparked a relief rally on Wall Street However, uncertainty over long-term US trade policy continues to cloud the economic outlook A US-China trade war could take years to resolve, and risks a global recession Relief Rally Concluding two\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-13-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-13-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61973,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/16\/rare-earths-and-vinny-jones\/","url_meta":{"origin":62688,"position":4},"title":"Rare earths and Vinny Jones","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 16, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Lock, Stock & Two Smoking Barrels (1998) In a scene from the dark British gangster comedy Lock, Stock & Two Smoking Barrels, hard man Vinny Jones refuses to comply with two gun-toting wannabe hoodlums. When they demand to know why, Jones responds with the classic line: \"....Because your guns have\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Lock, Stock and Two Smoking Barrels","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-16-two-smoking-barrels.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1442,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/21\/chart-of-the-day-chinas-u-s-debt-holdings-credit-writedowns\/","url_meta":{"origin":62688,"position":5},"title":"China\u2019s U.S. Debt Holdings","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 21, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"According to China Daily, China owns $1.13 trillion of US debt. China has $3.20 trillion in foreign exchange reserves. via Chart of the day: China\u2019s U.S. Debt Holdings | Credit Writedowns. The key statistic here is the $36.5 billion decline in August which dwarfs previous monthly changes. No wonder the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62688","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62688"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62688\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":62691,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62688\/revisions\/62691"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62688"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62688"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62688"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}