{"id":6258,"date":"2012-11-22T20:52:48","date_gmt":"2012-11-23T01:52:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6258"},"modified":"2012-11-22T20:52:48","modified_gmt":"2012-11-23T01:52:48","slug":"nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/","title":{"rendered":"Nomura: China recovery unsustainable | | MacroBusiness"},"content":{"rendered":"

Interesting take by Nomura, reported by FT Alphaville<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Nomura thinks that after this year, China\u2019s days of 8 per cent-plus growth are finished, and that stimulus efforts will run into problems with CPI inflation, not to mention its own credit system…..<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

via Nomura: China recovery unsustainable | | MacroBusiness<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Interesting take by Nomura, reported by FT Alphaville. Nomura thinks that after this year, China\u2019s days of 8 per cent-plus growth are finished, and that stimulus efforts will run into problems with CPI inflation, not to mention its own credit system….. via Nomura: China recovery unsustainable | | MacroBusiness.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,5],"tags":[1527,1828,3246],"class_list":["post-6258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-hk","category-economy","tag-gdp-growth","tag-inflation","tag-stimulus"],"yoast_head":"\nNomura: China recovery unsustainable | | MacroBusiness - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nomura: China recovery unsustainable | | MacroBusiness - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Interesting take by Nomura, reported by FT Alphaville. Nomura thinks that after this year, China\u2019s days of 8 per cent-plus growth are finished, and that stimulus efforts will run into problems with CPI inflation, not to mention its own credit system….. via Nomura: China recovery unsustainable | | MacroBusiness.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-11-23T01:52:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Nomura: China recovery unsustainable | | MacroBusiness\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-11-23T01:52:48+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/\"},\"wordCount\":52,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"GDP growth\",\"Inflation\",\"stimulus\"],\"articleSection\":[\"China & HK\",\"Economy\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/\",\"name\":\"Nomura: China recovery unsustainable | | MacroBusiness - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2012-11-23T01:52:48+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/nomura-china-recovery-unsustainable-macrobusiness\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Nomura: China recovery unsustainable | | MacroBusiness\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1CW","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":4610,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/13\/the-china-driven-commodities-super-cycle-debate-nomura-edition\/","url_meta":{"origin":6258,"position":0},"title":"The China-driven commodities super-cycle debate: Nomura edition","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 13, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Nomura: We have performed a detailed analysis of metal intensity of GDP for steel, copper and aluminium in the following pages, which we believe clearly outlines our view that China\u2019s economy is not large enough (in GDP terms) to support a continuation of the rapid growth in metal consumption seen\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5271,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/15\/air-cargo-volume-indicator-points-to-weakening-of-industrial-activities\/","url_meta":{"origin":6258,"position":1},"title":"Air cargo volume indicator points to weakening of industrial activities","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 15, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"10 August, 2012, 1:53. Posted by Zarathustra Nomura has a Air cargo volume index (as we first mentioned here), which correlated with global industrial activities pretty with (correlation = 0.84). via Air cargo volume indicator points to weakening of industrial activities.","rel":"","context":"In "Economy"","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1583,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2011\/10\/26\/richard-koo-cutting-government-deficits-too-early-will-prolong-gfc\/","url_meta":{"origin":6258,"position":2},"title":"Richard Koo: Cutting government deficits too early will prolong GFC","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 26, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Richard Koo explains how cutting government deficits too early in Japan prolonged the de-leveraging cycle by almost 10 years. INET interview with Richard Koo, Chief Economist of Nomura Research","rel":"","context":"In "Economic Theory"","block_context":{"text":"Economic Theory","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/economic-theory\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/tOpWsW9SPkw\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":5980,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/01\/twin-china-pmi-surveys-show-economy-perking-up-reuters\/","url_meta":{"origin":6258,"position":3},"title":"Twin China PMI surveys show economy perking up | Reuters","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 1, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"By Lucy Hornby \"The return of the PMI above 50 suggests economic momentum has indeed picked up. It indicates the effect of policy easing may have been stronger than the consensus expected,\" Zhiwei Zhang of Nomura said in a comment emailed to Reuters. \"We believe macro data will continue to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":20819,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2020\/06\/20\/sp-500-technology-rules\/","url_meta":{"origin":6258,"position":4},"title":"S&P 500: Technology rules","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 20, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The Nasdaq 100 continues to test resistance at 10,000 but bearish divergence on the Money Flow index warns of selling pressure and a likely reversal. Breach of support at 9000 would warn of another test of primary support at 7000. Technology stocks are driving the recovery, while the rest of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Stock Markets"","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6107,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/11\/nomuras-fresh-alert-on-a-chinese-hard-landing-telegraph-blogs\/","url_meta":{"origin":6258,"position":5},"title":"Nomura's fresh alert on a Chinese hard landing | Telegraph Blogs","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 11, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Ambrose Evans Pritchard writes: Nomura's early warning signal for the Chinese financial system \u2013 the China Stress Index \u2013 is flashing amber again.......Its case against China: \"overinvestment and excessive credit; a rudimentary monetary policy architecture; too many privileges for state-owned enterprises; unintended consequences of financial liberalisation; the Lewis turning point;\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China & HK"","block_context":{"text":"China & HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6258"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6258\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}