{"id":62114,"date":"2025-07-11T07:47:47","date_gmt":"2025-07-11T07:47:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=62114"},"modified":"2025-07-11T07:47:47","modified_gmt":"2025-07-11T07:47:47","slug":"bitcoin-blast-off-bullish-for-sp-500","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/11\/bitcoin-blast-off-bullish-for-sp-500\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin blast-off bullish for S&#038;P 500"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Summary<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Bitcoin reaches a new high<\/li>\n<li>The bullishness is expected to spill over into stocks<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Bitcoin blasted through resistance at 110K, reaching a new high at 117.6K, signaling a surge of animal spirits in financial markets.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-10-btc.png?resize=525%2C441&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC)\" width=\"525\" height=\"441\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The result is bound to be bullish for US stocks. The S&amp;P 500 recovered above 6250, while higher Trend Index troughs signal buying pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-10-spx.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>A breakout of the Dow Jones Industrial Average above 45K would confirm the S&amp;P 500 bull market signal.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-10-dow.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Financial Markets<\/h2>\n<p>The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index decreased to -0.51 on July 4, signaling easy monetary conditions.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-10-nfci.png?resize=525%2C372&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Dollar &amp; Gold<\/h2>\n<p>The US Dollar Index is retracing to test resistance at 98. Respect will likely confirm the downtrend. Our target is 90.<br \/>\n<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-10-dxy.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold continues its bullish consolidation between 3200 and 3430. An upward breakout would strengthen our target of 4000 by year-end.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-10-gold.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Silver broke out from its recent pennant consolidation at 36, offering a short-term target of 39. Rising Trend Index troughs indicate buying pressure.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-10-silver.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Silver\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin warns of a sharp rise in bullish sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>A Dow breakout above 45K would confirm a bull market.<\/p>\n<p>This reminds us of the final leg of the bull market during the Dotcom bubble, from 1999 to 2000. It was great for traders but terrible for investors.<\/p>\n<h4>Acknowledgments<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>CoinDesk: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/price\/bitcoin\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Federal Reserve of St Louis: <a href=\" https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/\">FRED Data<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary Bitcoin reaches a new high The bullishness is expected to spill over into stocks Bitcoin blasted through resistance at 110K, reaching a new high at 117.6K, signaling a surge of animal spirits in financial markets. The result is bound to be bullish for US stocks. The S&amp;P 500 recovered above 6250, while higher Trend &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/11\/bitcoin-blast-off-bullish-for-sp-500\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Bitcoin blast-off bullish for S&#038;P 500&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,5342,9,34,35],"tags":[5056,6622,1073,1113,3010,3204,3206],"class_list":["post-62114","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-cryptocurrency","category-gold-precious-metals","category-us-canada-countries-regions","category-us-dollar-index","tag-bitcoin-btc","tag-chicago-fed-national-financial-conditions-index","tag-dollar-index","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-sp-500","tag-spot-gold","tag-spot-silver"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin blast-off bullish for S&amp;P 500 - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin blast-off bullish for S&amp;P 500 - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Summary Bitcoin reaches a new high The bullishness is expected to spill over into stocks Bitcoin blasted through resistance at 110K, reaching a new high at 117.6K, signaling a surge of animal spirits in financial markets. The result is bound to be bullish for US stocks. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients. Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients. Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-g9Q","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":62177,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/24\/stocks-rally-on-japan-trade-deal\/","url_meta":{"origin":62114,"position":0},"title":"Japan trade deal boosts prospects for a bull market","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 24, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Donald Trump's announcement of a trade deal with Japan boosted stocks Stocks are supported by strong financial market liquidity But a weakening dollar is boosting demand for gold and silver Announcement of a US trade deal with Japan soothed market concerns over tariff turmoil. The surprise is that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-23-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-23-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-23-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":62125,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/14\/silver-spikes-on-trump-tariff\/","url_meta":{"origin":62114,"position":1},"title":"Silver spikes on Trump tariff","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 14, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary Silver spikes as Trump announces 30% tariff on imports from Mexico Stocks are bullish, while the dollar and Treasuries remain bearish Gold edges higher on dollar weakness Donald Trump announced a 30 percent tariff on imports from Mexico and the European Union starting on August 1, the latest escalation\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Spot Silver","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-11-silver.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-11-silver.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-11-silver.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":62171,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/22\/sp-500-weakens-and-gold-rallies\/","url_meta":{"origin":62114,"position":2},"title":"S&#038;P 500 weakens and gold rallies","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 22, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The S&P 500 closed above 6300 for the first time, supported by strong liquidity But declining Trend Index peaks warn of a retracement Consumer Confidence remains weak, and the Conference Board Leading Economic Index signals a recession Gold and silver rallied as the dollar weakened The S&P 500\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-21-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-07-21-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":62245,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/07\/heavy-truckers-anticipate-a-slow-down\/","url_meta":{"origin":62114,"position":3},"title":"Truckers anticipate a slowdown","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 7, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The weekly Bull\/Bear market indicator for the US declined to 40% on a further drop in heavy truck sales The US decline also affected the ASX indicator, which fell to 56% Long-term Treasury yields and the dollar are weakening, boosting support for gold US Bull\/Bear Market The Bull\/Bear\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bull\/Bear Market Indicator","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-08-06-us-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-08-06-us-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-08-06-us-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":62084,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/01\/stock-rise-while-gold-bear-trap-snaps-shut\/","url_meta":{"origin":62114,"position":4},"title":"Stocks rise while gold bear trap snaps shut","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 1, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The S&P 500 reached another new high, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average has not yet confirmed the breakout Long-term Treasury yields are softening However, the dollar is weakening, and gold completed a bear trap, warning of more volatility Stocks The S&P 500 reached a new high after breaking\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-30-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-30-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-30-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61556,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/27\/a-bear-rally-but-capital-outflows-likely-to-continue\/","url_meta":{"origin":62114,"position":5},"title":"A bear rally, but capital outflows likely to continue","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 27, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have rallied but remain below their 50-week weighted MA, indicating a bear market 10-year Treasury yields eased slightly, but the declining dollar continues to warn of capital outflows from US financial markets Plunging consumer sentiment warns of recession Gold continues in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-25-spx-w.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-25-spx-w.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-04-25-spx-w.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62114","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62114"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62114\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":62115,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62114\/revisions\/62115"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62114"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62114"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62114"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}