{"id":61949,"date":"2025-06-13T04:25:04","date_gmt":"2025-06-13T04:25:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=61949"},"modified":"2025-06-13T08:18:56","modified_gmt":"2025-06-13T08:18:56","slug":"israel-strikes-first","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/13\/israel-strikes-first\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel strikes first"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4>Summary<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Israel struck nuclear facilities and military command structures in Iran<\/li>\n<li>The government declared a state of emergency in anticipation of retaliatory attacks from Iran<\/li>\n<li>US Secretary of State Rubio indicated that the US had been notified but was not involved in the strikes<\/li>\n<li>Iran had earlier threatened to attack US bases in the Middle East in response to any attack<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-06-12-netanyahu.png?resize=525%2C328&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Israeli Premier &amp; F35 Fighter Jet\" width=\"525\" height=\"328\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 90%; text-align: center;\"><em>Israeli Premier Benjamin Netanyahu with F35 Fighter Jet<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Israel launched dozens of air strikes targeting Iran&#8217;s nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories, senior military commanders, and nuclear scientists on Friday, warning that this would be a prolonged operation. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/46b1a363-c805-4800-abbf-6b47b9602ef2\">FT<\/a> &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/israel-says-it-strikes-iran-amid-nuclear-tensions-2025-06-13\/\">Reuters<\/a>)<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The strikes come after an International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) resolution on Thursday declared Iran in noncompliance with its nuclear safeguards obligations for the first time in nearly 20 years&#8230;.Iran\u2019s uranium enrichment has reached 60% purity \u2014 a dramatically higher level that is a short technical step from the weapons-grade purity level of 90%. \u201cA country enriching at 60% is a very serious thing. Only countries making bombs are reaching this level,\u201d IAEA chief Rafael Grossi said in 2021. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/06\/12\/trump-wanted-an-iran-deal-fast-now-he-may-get-military-confrontation.html\">CNBC<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>Iran&#8217;s Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh told reporters Wednesday that if nuclear talks fail and &#8220;a conflict is imposed on us,&#8221; the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps &#8220;will target all U.S. bases in the host countries.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>A source familiar with the situation and a U.S. official told CBS News that the Trump administration was weighing options regarding how to support Israeli military action without leading it&#8230;<br \/>\nThe source said the options are unlikely to include direct participation by U.S. B-2 bombers that carry the type of bombs that can penetrate Iran&#8217;s deep underground fortified uranium enrichment facilities at Fordow and Natanz. Without that type of strike, it is unlikely Israeli military action could destroy the underground portions of Iran&#8217;s program, and thus solo military action by Israel is presumed to be limited in its capability to fully eliminate the program. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/israel-is-poised-to-launch-operation-on-iran-sources-say\/\">CBS<\/a>)<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>Israel won&#8217;t back down (I-W-B-D).<\/p>\n<p>Israel faces an existential threat from a nuclear-armed Iran and will strike first in an attempt to eliminate the threat. The strikes may delay Iran&#8217;s uranium-enrichment program, but are unlikely to prevent the country&#8217;s leaders from pursuing their nuclear weapons goal.<\/p>\n<p>The only way to eliminate the threat would be a full-scale invasion, which is likely beyond Israel&#8217;s capability. The US will offer support but is unlikely to become directly embroiled in the conflict unless attacked by Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Oil prices are expected to spike due to supply concerns, while a flight to safety will likely boost gold demand.<\/p>\n<h4>Acknowledgments<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Reuters: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/israel-says-it-strikes-iran-amid-nuclear-tensions-2025-06-13\/\">Israel strikes Iran nuclear facilities, missile factories<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Financial Times: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/46b1a363-c805-4800-abbf-6b47b9602ef2\">Israel launches air strikes against Iran commanders and nuclear sites<\/a><\/li>\n<li>CNBC: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/06\/12\/trump-wanted-an-iran-deal-fast-now-he-may-get-military-confrontation.html\">Trump wanted an Iran nuclear deal fast. Now he may get military confrontation<\/a><\/li>\n<li>CBS: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/israel-is-poised-to-launch-operation-on-iran-sources-say\/\">Israel is poised to launch operation on Iran, multiple sources say<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary Israel struck nuclear facilities and military command structures in Iran The government declared a state of emergency in anticipation of retaliatory attacks from Iran US Secretary of State Rubio indicated that the US had been notified but was not involved in the strikes Iran had earlier threatened to attack US bases in the Middle &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/13\/israel-strikes-first\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Israel strikes first&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,29],"tags":[6895,1897,1918,6893,6894],"class_list":["post-61949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-middle-east","category-the-big-picture","tag-international-atomic-energy-agency-iaea","tag-iran","tag-israel","tag-regional-conflict","tag-uranium-enrichment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Israel strikes first - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Israel strikes first - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Summary Israel struck nuclear facilities and military command structures in Iran The government declared a state of emergency in anticipation of retaliatory attacks from Iran US Secretary of State Rubio indicated that the US had been notified but was not involved in the strikes Iran had earlier threatened to attack US bases in the Middle &hellip; 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-g7b","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":63763,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/28\/us-israel-attack-iran-commodities-spike\/","url_meta":{"origin":61949,"position":0},"title":"US &#038; Israel Attack Iran, Commodities Spike","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 28, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points The US military has begun \"major combat operations\" in Iran. Iran launched missiles at Israel and at several Gulf Arab states that host American bases. Iran warns that the Strait of Hormuz is closed to shipping. Crude oil is expected to spike, along with precious metals and critical\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"US Airstrikes on Iran","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/us-iran.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/us-iran.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/us-iran.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/us-iran.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":64061,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/09\/ceasefire-falls-apart\/","url_meta":{"origin":61949,"position":1},"title":"Ceasefire Falls Apart","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 9, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Key Points Israel stepped up airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Lebanon. Iran's lead negotiator says a bilateral ceasefire is unreasonable in such a situation. Iran attacked Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline, which bypasses the Strait of Hormuz, just hours after the ceasefire \u200cwas agreed. The United Arab Emirates carried out air\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"UAE Air Strike on Iran","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-04-08-uae.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":63915,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/20\/iranian-escalates\/","url_meta":{"origin":61949,"position":2},"title":"Iran Escalates","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 20, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Israel attacked Iran's South Pars oilfield, Iran retaliated by attacking the Ras Laffan production \u200bhub in Qatar, destroying LNG production capacity. DUBAI\/DOHA, March 19 (Reuters) - Iranian attacks \u200chave knocked out 17% of Qatar's liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity, causing an estimated $20 billion in lost annual revenue and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":51592,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/20\/iran-israel-tensions-ease-slightly\/","url_meta":{"origin":61949,"position":3},"title":"Iran-Israel tensions ease slightly","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 20, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Threat of escalation in the conflict between Israel and Iran eased slightly but has the potential to flare up again if there are further strikes from either side. Bitcoin rallied to test new resistance at $64K. Breakout would indicate another test of $72K but respect is as likely and follow-through\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bitcoin","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-19-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-19-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-19-btc.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":63803,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/07\/there-is-no-off-switch\/","url_meta":{"origin":61949,"position":4},"title":"There is No Off-Switch","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 7, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"In war, there is no substitute for victory. ~ General Douglas MacArthur On 24 February 2022, when Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russian officers reportedly packed their ceremonial uniforms for the victory parade in Kyiv, which was expected within weeks. However, Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky refused the American\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Crude Oil &amp; Natural Gas","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/crude-oil-natural-gas\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Brent Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-06-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-06-brent.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2026\/2026-03-06-brent.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":51516,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/04\/19\/the-bitcoin-canary-coughs\/","url_meta":{"origin":61949,"position":5},"title":"Israel launches retaliatory strikes","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"April 19, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Israel launched retaliatory strikes against Iran, with reports of the Shikari airbase at Isfahan and nuclear enrichment facilities at Natanz being targeted. The attack apparently landed on Ali Khamenei\u2019s 85th birthday. From CNN: A spokesman for Iran\u2019s National Cyberspace Center said air defenses intercepted three drones and there were no\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Isfahan","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-19-isfahan.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-19-isfahan.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-04-19-isfahan.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61949"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61949\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":61957,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61949\/revisions\/61957"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}