{"id":61458,"date":"2025-03-31T03:11:06","date_gmt":"2025-03-31T03:11:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=61458"},"modified":"2025-03-31T03:12:58","modified_gmt":"2025-03-31T03:12:58","slug":"give-war-a-chance-edward-luttwak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/31\/give-war-a-chance-edward-luttwak\/","title":{"rendered":"Give War a Chance | Edward Luttwak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/cdn-live.foreignaffairs.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/_webp_large_1x\/public\/images\/2024\/03\/22\/1995-04-01T120000Z_215860408_PBEAHUNAJBR_RTRMADP_3_YUGOSLAVIA.JPG.webp?resize=525%2C372&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"UN Peacekeepers in Bosnia\" width=\"525\" height=\"372\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 0.8em;\">UN soldiers at a NATO base near Brcko, Bosnia, March 1998 | Juergen Schwarz, Reuters<\/p>\n<p>This 1999 opinion in Foreign Affairs magazine, by Edward N. Luttwak, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, is relevant to today&#8217;s conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>An unpleasant truth often overlooked is that although war is a great evil, it does have a great virtue: it can resolve political conflicts and lead to peace. This can happen when all belligerents become exhausted or when one wins decisively&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>A cease-fire tends to arrest war-induced exhaustion and lets belligerents reconstitute and rearm their forces. It intensifies and prolongs the struggle once the cease-fire ends\u2014and it does usually end&#8230;.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Read more at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/give-war-chance\">Foreign Affairs<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UN soldiers at a NATO base near Brcko, Bosnia, March 1998 | Juergen Schwarz, Reuters This 1999 opinion in Foreign Affairs magazine, by Edward N. Luttwak, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, is relevant to today&#8217;s conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza: An unpleasant truth often overlooked is that although war &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/31\/give-war-a-chance-edward-luttwak\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Give War a Chance | Edward Luttwak&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,26,29,33],"tags":[619,6833,1640,1918,3006,3521],"class_list":["post-61458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-middle-east","category-russia-former-ussr","category-the-big-picture","category-uk-europe-countries-regions","tag-ceasefire","tag-gaza-war","tag-hamas","tag-israel","tag-russia","tag-ukraine"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Give War a Chance | Edward Luttwak - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Give War a Chance | Edward Luttwak - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"UN soldiers at a NATO base near Brcko, Bosnia, March 1998 | Juergen Schwarz, Reuters This 1999 opinion in Foreign Affairs magazine, by Edward N. Luttwak, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, is relevant to today&#8217;s conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza: An unpleasant truth often overlooked is that although war &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Give War a Chance | Edward Luttwak&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/31\/give-war-a-chance-edward-luttwak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-03-31T03:11:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-03-31T03:12:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cdn-live.foreignaffairs.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/_webp_large_1x\/public\/images\/2024\/03\/22\/1995-04-01T120000Z_215860408_PBEAHUNAJBR_RTRMADP_3_YUGOSLAVIA.JPG.webp?itok=wYph_x3N\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/31\\\/give-war-a-chance-edward-luttwak\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/31\\\/give-war-a-chance-edward-luttwak\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Give War a Chance | Edward Luttwak\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-03-31T03:11:06+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-03-31T03:12:58+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/31\\\/give-war-a-chance-edward-luttwak\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":125,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/03\\\/31\\\/give-war-a-chance-edward-luttwak\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cdn-live.foreignaffairs.com\\\/sites\\\/default\\\/files\\\/styles\\\/_webp_large_1x\\\/public\\\/images\\\/2024\\\/03\\\/22\\\/1995-04-01T120000Z_215860408_PBEAHUNAJBR_RTRMADP_3_YUGOSLAVIA.JPG.webp?itok=wYph_x3N\",\"keywords\":[\"Ceasefire\",\"Gaza War\",\"Hamas\",\"Israel\",\"Russia\",\"Ukraine\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Middle East\",\"Russia &amp; 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The central bank was forced to raise interest rates this morning to 8pc to defend the rouble and stem capital flight, $75bn so far this year and clearly picking up again. The strange calm on the Russian markets is starting to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Vladimir Putin","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogs.telegraph.co.uk\/finance\/files\/2014\/07\/Putin-speech_2431558b-460x288.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":10203,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/07\/01\/ukraine-should-sell-its-gas-pipeline-to-stabilize-the-region\/","url_meta":{"origin":61458,"position":1},"title":"Ukraine should sell its gas pipeline to stabilize the region","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 1, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"From OilPrice.com Gas supply, and the threat to that supply for Europe, is what has forced Russia to move aggressively on multiple fronts to defeat Ukraine in its efforts to modernize and westernize its economy, its future, and its way of life. So, how to start the liberalization process? Ukraine\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12448,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/10\/26\/putins-crimean-gamble-russia-ukraine-and-the-new-cold-war\/","url_meta":{"origin":61458,"position":2},"title":"Putin\u2019s Crimean gamble: Russia, Ukraine, and the new Cold War","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 26, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0 From the Brookings Institute: Since the time of Catherine the Great, Crimea has been a global tinderbox. Most recently, the world was stunned when the forces of Russian President Vladimir Putin invaded and seized Crimea in March 2014. In the months since, Putin\u2019s actions in Crimea, eastern Ukraine and,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11490,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/01\/22\/russia-terror-alert-kyiv-post\/","url_meta":{"origin":61458,"position":3},"title":"Russia terror alert | Kyiv Post","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"January 22, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Kyiv Post quotes Markian Lubkivskyi, an adviser to SBU head Valentyn Nailyvaichenko on the rise of terrorism outside of Eastern Ukraine: \u201c(Terrorists) are aiming to undermine Ukraine from within,\u201d Lubkivskyi told the Kyiv Post, adding that terrorism is one of Russia\u2019s tools in the war against Ukraine. \u201cThis is definitely\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10985,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/09\/25\/is-russia-making-preparations-for-a-great-war-osw\/","url_meta":{"origin":61458,"position":4},"title":"Is Russia making preparations for a great war? | OSW","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"September 25, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Andrzej Wilk asks \"Is Russia preparing for a large-scale war?\" In total, these armed exercises involve over 200,000 soldiers and several thousand combat vehicles, hundreds of planes and helicopters, and about a hundred ships...... military spending has become the undisputed priority of Russia\u2019s financial policy. For 2015, this will reach\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14271,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/10\/05\/why-putin-will-fail-upi-com\/","url_meta":{"origin":61458,"position":5},"title":"Why Putin will fail | UPI.com","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 5, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"From Harlan Ullman: Frozen conflicts are not in Russia's long-term interest. Of course, while the short-term aim of preventing Georgia and Ukraine from joining NATO because of contested borders is working, the long-term economic damage done to Russia will prove politically destructive. Putin certainly is riding a political tiger. However,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Russia &amp; Former USSR&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Russia &amp; Former USSR","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/russia-former-ussr\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61458","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61458"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61458\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":61459,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61458\/revisions\/61459"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61458"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61458"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61458"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}