{"id":60994,"date":"2025-02-15T07:44:55","date_gmt":"2025-02-15T07:44:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=60994"},"modified":"2025-02-15T07:46:43","modified_gmt":"2025-02-15T07:46:43","slug":"strong-uptrends-continue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/15\/strong-uptrends-continue\/","title":{"rendered":"Strong uptrends in stocks and gold"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A longer-term view, with weekly charts, shows stocks and gold in a healthy bull market. The energy sector is bearish, indicating low short- to medium-term inflation, as are industrial metals.<\/p>\n<h2>Stocks<\/h2>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 closed above 6100, signaling a fresh advance. Expect retracement to test the new support level, but respect will likely confirm a target of 6400.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-spx.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Mega-cap technology stocks are the primary driver, with large caps lagging. Lower Trend Index peaks on the S&amp;P 500 equal-weighted index ($IQX) warn of selling pressure, and another test of primary support at 7000 is likely.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-iqx.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Equal-Weighted Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Financial Markets<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin consolidates above 90K, indicating stable liquidity in financial markets.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-btc.png?resize=525%2C369&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC)\" width=\"525\" height=\"369\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Treasury Markets<\/h2>\n<p>The 10-year Treasury yield signals another test of support at 4.4%. Respect is more likely, and another test of 4.8% would be bearish for stocks.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-tnx.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"10-Year Treasury Yield\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Dollar &amp; Gold<\/h2>\n<p>The Dollar Index has weakened in the last two weeks as the Trump administration threatens to disrupt the global trading system with increased tariffs. Respect of support at 106 remains likely, but a breach would offer a target of 102.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-dxy.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Dollar Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Gold is in a strong uptrend. The current retracement will likely respect support at $2,800 per ounce, confirming our target of $3,000.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-gold.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Spot Gold\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Energy<\/h2>\n<p>Crude is in a bear market, with Nymex WTI crude respecting resistance at $80 per barrel. We expect crude to remain range-bound for most of the year.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-crude.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Nymex WTI Crude\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<p>We are long-term bulls on uranium, but there are no buy opportunities. The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SRUUF) confirmed the bear market, breaking support at 16 to signal another decline.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-sruuf.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SRUUF)\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Copper<\/h2>\n<p>Copper rallied strongly over the last two weeks, testing resistance near 10K. However, the move is not driven by an increase in end-user demand. From <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mining.com\/web\/lme-copper-spreads-surge-to-premium-on-short-covering\/\">Mining.com<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Worries that US President Donald Trump may impose tariffs on copper had spurred traders and investors to buy copper on the US COMEX exchange and sell on the LME.<\/p>\n<p>Short or bearish positions on the LME are being cut or rolled over ahead of settlement on Wednesday, turning discounts for nearby copper contracts against those further along the maturity into premiums or backwardations.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-cu.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Copper\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Iron &amp; Steel<\/h2>\n<p>Iron ore continues its gradual downtrend.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-tr.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Iron Ore\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Australia<\/h2>\n<p>The ASX 200 recovered above resistance at 8500, confirming a medium-term target of 8900.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-14-xjo.png?resize=525%2C404&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"ASX 200 Index\" width=\"525\" height=\"404\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>US and Australian stocks are in an uptrend, supported by strong liquidity in financial markets. However, the Trump administration&#8217;s trade policies have unsettled markets, making them susceptible to higher-than-normal volatility.<\/p>\n<p>Bonds are in a bear market, and the 10-year Treasury yield is expected to resume its uptrend.<\/p>\n<p>Gold continues in a strong uptrend, with demand driven by <a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/14\/gold-the-long-game-2\/\">geopolitical changes<\/a>. Respect of support at $2,800 per ounce would confirm our short-term target of $3,000.<\/p>\n<p>Industrial metals remain in a bear market due to weak demand from China.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A longer-term view, with weekly charts, shows stocks and gold in a healthy bull market. The energy sector is bearish, indicating low short- to medium-term inflation, as are industrial metals. Stocks The S&amp;P 500 closed above 6100, signaling a fresh advance. Expect retracement to test the new support level, but respect will likely confirm a &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/15\/strong-uptrends-continue\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Strong uptrends in stocks and gold&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,31,5402,4738,44,9,4813,6106,34,35],"tags":[69,178,5056,815,1073,1902,2528,3010,3013,3204,6103],"class_list":["post-60994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","category-base-metals","category-copper","category-crude-oil-natural-gas","category-gold-precious-metals","category-iron-ore","category-uranium","category-us-canada-countries-regions","category-us-dollar-index","tag-10-year-treasury-yield","tag-aluminum","tag-bitcoin-btc","tag-copper","tag-dollar-index","tag-iron-ore","tag-nymex-wti-crude","tag-sp-500","tag-sp-500-equal-weighted-index","tag-spot-gold","tag-sprott-physical-uranium-trust-sruuf"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Strong uptrends in stocks and gold - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Strong uptrends in stocks and gold - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A longer-term view, with weekly charts, shows stocks and gold in a healthy bull market. The energy sector is bearish, indicating low short- to medium-term inflation, as are industrial metals. Stocks The S&amp;P 500 closed above 6100, signaling a fresh advance. 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","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization","name":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd","url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/thepatientinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-cropped-patience-bg-1-inverted-400x400-1.png?fit=250%2C250&ssl=1","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Patient Investor Pty Ltd"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454","name":"Colin Twiggs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/29a4e13250381b203ea835108c2d5eee4947439713c271ae5ba60afb53194432?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Colin Twiggs"},"description":"Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-fRM","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":53947,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/06\/stocks-and-precious-metals-surge\/","url_meta":{"origin":60994,"position":0},"title":"Stocks and precious metals surge","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 6, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Nymex light crude has broken support, warning of a decline to test long-term support at $68 per barrel. Falling crude prices are likely to reduce global inflationary pressures over the next 12 months. OPEC+ are projecting a phase out of \"voluntary\" production cuts over four quarters, commencing Q4 of 2024.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Nymex Light Crude","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-06-05-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-06-05-crude.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-06-05-crude.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":55543,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/11\/optimism-for-low-cpi-lifts-stocks-to-new-record\/","url_meta":{"origin":60994,"position":1},"title":"Optimism for low CPI lifts stocks to new record","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 11, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Stocks show optimism about a low CPI print tomorrow, with strong Treasury auctions and the 10-year yield indicating another test of 4.2%. Financial markets give mixed signals, with declining commercial bank reserves and Bitcoin weakening. But the Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index continues to signal monetary easing. Precious metals rallied\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-07-10-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-07-10-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-07-10-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":59161,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/12\/bitcoin-tests-90000-while-gold-falls\/","url_meta":{"origin":60994,"position":2},"title":"Bitcoin tests $90,000 while gold falls","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 12, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Bitcoin soared to a new high of $88.8K on expectations of a favorable regulatory environment after Donald Trump takes office. Gold retreated to test support at $2,600 per ounce as the Dollar strengthened. The Dollar Index respected support at 104, signaling an advance to 106\u2014bearish for precious metals, commodities, and,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bitcoin (BTC)","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-11-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-11-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-11-btc.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":57291,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/09\/04\/nvidia-leads-the-plunge\/","url_meta":{"origin":60994,"position":3},"title":"Nvidia leads the plunge","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 4, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Stocks plunged after Nvidia (NVDA) fell by 9.5% on reports that the US Department of Justice subpoenaed the chipmaker over complaints that it is violating antitrust laws. (Quartz) Weak US and China manufacturing activity has also been cited as a cause for market bearishness, but that seems unlikely. Stocks Selling\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Top 7 Technology Stocks","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-04-big7.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-04-big7.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-04-big7.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":57670,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/09\/21\/gold-jumps-to-2622-while-sp-500-consolidates\/","url_meta":{"origin":60994,"position":4},"title":"Gold jumps to $2622 while S&#038;P 500 consolidates","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 21, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Gold jumped to a new high, while the S&P 500 retraced to test new support after its recent breakout. Crude remains in a bear market, while copper and uranium benefit from a surge in AI data center construction. Stocks The S&P 500 retraced to test its new support level at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-20-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-20-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-09-20-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":55659,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/16\/small-caps-signal-risk-on\/","url_meta":{"origin":60994,"position":5},"title":"Small caps signal Risk On","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 16, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Falling Treasury yields and a surge in liquidity in financial markets is bullish for stocks, bonds and precious metals. The rotation from growth to value has slowed, while increased interest in small caps signals risk on for stocks. Crude and base metals are weakening as demand from China slows. Uranium\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bitcoin","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-07-15-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-07-15-btc.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-07-15-btc.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60994","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60994"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60994\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60999,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60994\/revisions\/60999"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}