{"id":6097,"date":"2012-11-08T21:31:59","date_gmt":"2012-11-09T02:31:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6097"},"modified":"2012-11-08T21:31:59","modified_gmt":"2012-11-09T02:31:59","slug":"the-gold-euro-dollar-conundrum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/08\/the-gold-euro-dollar-conundrum\/","title":{"rendered":"The Gold-Euro-Dollar conundrum"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Euro broke support at $1.28 against the greenback (weekly chart). Respect of the descending trendline warns of a down-swing to test primary support at $1.20. Reversal of\u00a0 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the signal. But the Dollar Index and Gold suggest the opposite. Recovery above $1.28 would indicate a bear trap.
\n\"Euro\"<\/p>\n

The Dollar Index is inversely rising to test resistance at 81\/81.50. Breakout would indicate another test of 84.00 but 63-Day Twiggs Momentum below zero warns of a primary down-trend. Rising gold also suggests dollar weakness. Reversal below support at 78.50 would complete a head-and-shoulders reversal with a target of 74*.<\/p>\n

\"US<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 79 – ( 84 – 79 ) = 74<\/span><\/p>\n

Spot gold (daily chart) broke resistance at $1725 per ounce, signaling an advance to $1900*. The 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero indicates a primary up-trend. Breakout above $1800 would confirm. The conundrum is the euro is weakening and dollar index strengthening but gold is rising rather than weakening as expected.<\/p>\n

\"Spot<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1800 + ( 1800 – 1700 ) = 1900<\/span><\/p>\n

The DJ-UBS Commodity Index (weekly chart) found support at 140. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum is testing zero. Respect would indicate a primary up-trend. Recovery above $1.52 would confirm. Breach of $140, however, and 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero, resulting from a strengthening dollar and\/or global down-turn, would test primary support at 126.<\/p>\n

\"DJ-UBS<\/p>\n

Nymex WTI Light Crude is headed for a test of primary support at $76\/$78 per barrel. Declining 63-day Twiggs Momentum, below zero, warns of a primary down-trend. Brent Crude is also weakening, headed for test of primary support at $90.<\/p>\n

\"Nymex<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Euro broke support at $1.28 against the greenback (weekly chart). Respect of the descending trendline warns of a down-swing to test primary support at $1.20. Reversal of\u00a0 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the signal. But the Dollar Index and Gold suggest the opposite. Recovery above $1.28 would indicate a bear trap. The … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “The Gold-Euro-Dollar conundrum”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,35],"tags":[495,1064,1073,2529,3204],"class_list":["post-6097","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forex","category-gold-commodities","category-us-dollar-index","tag-brent-crude","tag-dj-ubs-commodity-index","tag-dollar-index","tag-nymex-wti-light-crude","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Gold-Euro-Dollar conundrum - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Gold-Euro-Dollar conundrum - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Euro broke support at $1.28 against the greenback (weekly chart). Respect of the descending trendline warns of a down-swing to test primary support at $1.20. Reversal of\u00a0 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the signal. But the Dollar Index and Gold suggest the opposite. Recovery above $1.28 would indicate a bear trap. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL number 546090), which provides income and growth strategies to wholesale clients. Colin also co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Patient Investor newsletter. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies macro trends in the global economy and then combines fundamental and technical analysis to evaluate opportunities in sectors that stand to benefit. 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The Dollar Index and the euro are normally plotted inversely to each other.\u00a0 I have reversed this on the chart below.\u00a0 As expected, with the euro the largest component (57.6 percent) of the dollar index weighted basket of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Forex"","block_context":{"text":"Forex","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6309,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/29\/gold-long-tail-as-dollar-retreats\/","url_meta":{"origin":6097,"position":1},"title":"Gold long tail as dollar retreats","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 29, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Yesterday's long tail on the spot gold daily chart indicates support at $1700 per ounce. Recovery above $1750 would signal another test of $1800. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum well above zero continues to indicate a healthy up-trend. A weakening dollar would strengthen the signal. * Target calculation: 1800 + ( 1800\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Forex"","block_context":{"text":"Forex","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6246,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/22\/gold-strengthens-as-dollar-retreats\/","url_meta":{"origin":6097,"position":2},"title":"Gold strengthens as dollar retreats","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 22, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Long tails on the last two days of the spot gold daily chart indicate strong support at $1700 per ounce. Breakout above $1740 would indicate another test of $1800. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum well above zero suggests a healthy up-trend. A weakening dollar would strengthen the signal. * Target calculation: 1800\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Forex"","block_context":{"text":"Forex","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8774,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/11\/20\/rising-interest-rates-drive-gold-through-support\/","url_meta":{"origin":6097,"position":3},"title":"Rising interest rates drive gold through support","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 20, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"The yield on ten-year Treasury Notes followed through above 2.75, indicating a fresh primary advance, with a target of 3.50 percent*. Breakout above 3.00 percent would confirm. Completion of a 13-week Twiggs Momentum trough above zero (recovery above say 30%) would strengthen the signal. Reversal below the rising trendline is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/commodities-gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5527,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/19\/dollar-down-gold-up-but-crude-falls\/","url_meta":{"origin":6097,"position":4},"title":"Dollar down, gold up but crude falls","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"September 19, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index is in a primary down-trend, as indicated by 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero. Expect a test of support at 78.00. An ensuing rally that respects resistance at 81.00\/81.50 would reinforce the primary down-trend. * Target calculation: 81 - ( 84 - 81 ) = 78 Spot Gold\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5144,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/09\/dollar-and-gold-strengthen-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":6097,"position":5},"title":"Dollar tests support, gold and commodities strengthen","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 9, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The US Dollar Index made a false break above resistance at 83.50 before retracing to test support at 81.50. Respect of support and the rising trendline would confirm the primary up-trend is intact. Breakout above 83.50\/84.00 would signal an advance to 86.00* in the next few weeks and to the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6097","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6097"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6097\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6097"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6097"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6097"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}