{"id":6079,"date":"2012-11-08T00:38:57","date_gmt":"2012-11-08T05:38:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=6079"},"modified":"2012-11-08T00:38:57","modified_gmt":"2012-11-08T05:38:57","slug":"us-honeymoon-is-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/08\/us-honeymoon-is-over\/","title":{"rendered":"US: Honeymoon is over"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 broke support at 1400, warning that a top is forming. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow peak below zero would indicate medium-term selling pressure. The &#8220;honeymoon&#8221; period leading up to the election is over. It is back to &#8220;business as usual&#8221; as the President and the Republican-controlled Congress arm-wrestle over taxes, entitlements and the budget deficit. Speaker of the House <a title=\"John Boehner\" href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/decision2012\/boehner-willing-to-accept-new-revenue-to-avert-fiscal-cliff\/2012\/11\/07\/15ed7630-2917-11e2-b4e0-346287b7e56c_video.html\" target=\"_blank\">John Boehner extended an olive-branch<\/a> of sorts, saying that Republicans were willing to accept additional tax revenues, but his emphasis remains on reforming entitlement programs and curbing \u201cspecial interest loopholes and deductions\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Index\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-11-08-spx.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><br \/>\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average similarly broke support at 13000 on the weekly chart. Breach of support and the primary trendline warn that a top is forming. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would suggest a primary down-trend. Recovery above 13300 is unlikely at present but would indicate another advance.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-11-08-dow.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align:right;font-size:.9em;color:#999999;\">* Target calculation: 13000 + ( 13000 &#8211; 12000 ) = 14000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 broke support at 1400, warning that a top is forming. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow peak below zero would indicate medium-term selling pressure. The &#8220;honeymoon&#8221; period leading up to the election is over. It is back to &#8220;business as usual&#8221; as the President and the Republican-controlled Congress arm-wrestle over taxes, entitlements and &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/08\/us-honeymoon-is-over\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;US: Honeymoon is over&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[57,34],"tags":[1113,3014],"class_list":["post-6079","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-markets","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-dow-jones-industrial-average","tag-sp-500-index"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US: Honeymoon is over - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US: Honeymoon is over - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The S&amp;P 500 broke support at 1400, warning that a top is forming. A 21-day Twiggs Money Flow peak below zero would indicate medium-term selling pressure. The &#8220;honeymoon&#8221; period leading up to the election is over. It is back to &#8220;business as usual&#8221; as the President and the Republican-controlled Congress arm-wrestle over taxes, entitlements and &hellip; Continue reading &quot;US: Honeymoon is over&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/08\/us-honeymoon-is-over\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-11-08T05:38:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-11-08-spx.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"US: Honeymoon is over\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-11-08T05:38:57+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":150,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2012\\\/2012-11-08-spx.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Dow Jones Industrial Average\",\"S&amp;P 500 Index\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Stock Markets\",\"US &amp; Canada\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/\",\"name\":\"US: Honeymoon is over - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2012\\\/2012-11-08-spx.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-11-08T05:38:57+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2012\\\/2012-11-08-spx.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.incrediblecharts.com\\\/images\\\/2012\\\/2012-11-08-spx.png\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/index.php\\\/2012\\\/11\\\/08\\\/us-honeymoon-is-over\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"US: Honeymoon is over\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/thepatientinvestor.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\\\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1A3","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5883,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/us-signs-a-top-is-forming\/","url_meta":{"origin":6079,"position":0},"title":"US: Signs a top is forming?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 29, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 continues to test support at 1400. Bearish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum warns that a top may be forming. Breach of support would strengthen the signal. The market is currently enjoying the \"honeymoon\" period in the lead up to the election. Reality is likely to bite after\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":32674,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/05\/10\/its-a-bear-market-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":6079,"position":1},"title":"It&#8217;s a bear market","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 10, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 broke primary support at 4170 to confirm a bear market. A Trend Index peak at zero warns of strong selling pressure. The Nasdaq 100 similarly broke support at 13K, confirming the bear market. Dow Jones Industrial Average, already in a primary down-trend, confirmed the bear market with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"S&P 500","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-spx.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-spx.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2022\/2022-05-09-spx.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4637,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/06\/18\/sp-500-and-dowcorrection-is-over\/","url_meta":{"origin":6079,"position":2},"title":"S&#038;P 500 and Dow: correction is over","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"June 18, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 closed Friday above resistance at 1340, confirming the bullish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow (hat tip johnb). Expect retracement to test the new support level, followed by a rally to the March\/April high of 1420. Wait for breakout on the Nasdaq 100 to confirm the Dow\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5814,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/23\/us-sp-500-correction\/","url_meta":{"origin":6079,"position":3},"title":"US: S&#038;P 500 correction","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 23, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The S&P 500 broke support at 1420, following a trend channel breakout, both signaling a correction. Reversal of 21-day Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of renewed (medium-term) selling pressure -- a peak below zero would strengthen the signal. Breach of 1400 would further strengthen the signal. The Dow Jones\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14559,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/11\/25\/its-a-bull-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":6079,"position":4},"title":"It&#8217;s a bull market","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"November 25, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Dow Jones Industrial Average successfully tested the new support level at 18000 and has now broken resistance at 19000, confirming the target of 20000*. Rising Twiggs Money Flow indicates selling pressure has ended. Expect a brief retracement to test support at 19000 but respect is likely. * Target medium-term: 18000\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Stock Markets&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Stock Markets","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/stock-markets\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":17417,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2018\/11\/17\/v-or-m-shaped-correction\/","url_meta":{"origin":6079,"position":5},"title":"V- or M-shaped correction?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 17, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week I mentioned that there are few \"V-shaped\" corrections and plenty with a \"W-shape\". There are also a few with an \"M-shape\", leading to a major market sell-off. Here are some examples on Dow Jones Industrial Average. 2001 is the only good example I can find of a V-shaped\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Banks &amp; Interest Rates&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Banks &amp; Interest Rates","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/the-fed-banks-interest-rates\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6079","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6079"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6079\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6079"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6079"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6079"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}