{"id":59597,"date":"2024-11-30T01:20:27","date_gmt":"2024-11-30T01:20:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=59597"},"modified":"2024-11-30T01:20:27","modified_gmt":"2024-11-30T01:20:27","slug":"weekly-stock-market-snapshot-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/30\/weekly-stock-market-snapshot-7\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Stock Market Snapshot"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\"Bull\/Bear<\/div>\n
\"Stock<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

The above two dials provide a snapshot of our market view and attitude to risk.<\/p>\n

Bull\/Bear Market<\/h2>\n

The Bull\/Bear Market indicator fell to 40% last Friday from 80% on November 9th.<\/p>\n

The most recent bear signal is heavy truck sales, which plunged to a seasonally adjusted 32.5 thousand units in October 2024 from a peak of 46.1 thousand in May 2023.<\/p>\n

\"Heavy<\/p>\n

There are now three of five indicators signaling Risk-off<\/em>:<\/p>\n

\"Bull\/Bear<\/p>\n

Stock Pricing<\/h2>\n

The Stock Pricing indicator compares stock prices to long-term sales, earnings, and economic output to gauge market risk. We use z-scores to measure each indicator’s current position relative to its history, with the result expressed in standard deviations from the mean. We then calculate an average for the five readings and convert that to a percentile.<\/p>\n

Stock pricing remains in the extreme range, at the 97.83 percentile compared to 97.67 last Friday, warning that stock prices have the potential for large drawdowns.<\/p>\n

\"Stock<\/p>\n

Conclusion<\/h2>\n

We are headed for a bear market, with our allocation to risk assets declining to 40%.<\/p>\n

Stock pricing is also extreme, warning of the potential for large drawdowns.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The above two dials provide a snapshot of our market view and attitude to risk. Bull\/Bear Market The Bull\/Bear Market indicator fell to 40% last Friday from 80% on November 9th. The most recent bear signal is heavy truck sales, which plunged to a seasonally adjusted 32.5 thousand units in October 2024 from a peak … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Weekly Stock Market Snapshot”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37,34],"tags":[5662,6723],"class_list":["post-59597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-active-investing","category-us-canada-countries-regions","tag-heavy-truck-sales","tag-weekly-stock-market-snapshot"],"yoast_head":"\nWeekly Stock Market Snapshot - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weekly Stock Market Snapshot - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The above two dials provide a snapshot of our market view and attitude to risk. Bull\/Bear Market The Bull\/Bear Market indicator fell to 40% last Friday from 80% on November 9th. 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He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-fvf","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":59440,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/23\/weekly-market-snapshot-bear-signal\/","url_meta":{"origin":59597,"position":0},"title":"Weekly Market Snapshot – bear signal","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 23, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The above two dials provide a snapshot of our market view and attitude to risk. Bull\/Bear Market The Bull\/Bear Market indicator fell to 40% from 80% on Friday, November 9th. The most recent bear signal is heavy truck sales, which plunged to a seasonally adjusted 32.5 thousand units in October\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Active Investing"","block_context":{"text":"Active Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/active-investing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bull\/Bear Market Indicator","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-22-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-22-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-11-22-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":59702,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/12\/07\/weekly-stock-market-snapshot-8\/","url_meta":{"origin":59597,"position":1},"title":"Weekly Stock Market Snapshot","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"December 7, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The above two dials provide a snapshot of our market view and attitude to risk. Bull\/Bear Market The Bull\/Bear Market indicator improved to 60% from 40% last week. Heavy truck sales increased to 42,240 units in November, while October sales were revised up to 38,550 from the earlier reported 32,490.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Active Investing"","block_context":{"text":"Active Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/active-investing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bull\/Bear Market Indicator","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-06-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-06-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-06-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":60841,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/08\/weekly-market-snapshot-5\/","url_meta":{"origin":59597,"position":2},"title":"US Weekly Market Snapshot","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 8, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The dial on the left indicates bull or bear market status, while the one on the right reflects stock market drawdown risk. Bull\/Bear Market The Bull\/Bear Market indicator rebounded to 60%, due to data revisions to heavy truck sales. Two of the five leading indicators now signal Risk-off: Heavy truck\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Active Investing"","block_context":{"text":"Active Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/active-investing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bull\/Bear Market Indicator","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-07-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-07-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-07-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":60439,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/18\/weekly-market-snapshot-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":59597,"position":3},"title":"Weekly Market Snapshot","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"January 18, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The dial on the left indicates bull or bear market status, while the one on the right reflects stock market drawdown risk. Bull\/Bear Market The Bull\/Bear Market indicator remains at 60%, with the two yield-curve indicators signaling Risk-off: The Fed is cutting interest rates, which usually flags a bear market.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Active Investing"","block_context":{"text":"Active Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/active-investing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bull\/Bear Market Indicator","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-06-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-06-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-12-06-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":60676,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/01\/weekly-market-snapshot-4\/","url_meta":{"origin":59597,"position":4},"title":"Weekly Market Snapshot","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 1, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The dial on the left indicates bull or bear market status, while the one on the right reflects stock market drawdown risk. Bull\/Bear Market The Bull\/Bear Market indicator declined to 40%, with three of the five leading indicators now signaling Risk-off: Heavy truck sales fell to a seasonally adjusted 35,152\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Active Investing"","block_context":{"text":"Active Investing","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/investing\/active-investing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bull\/Bear Market Indicator","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-01-31-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-01-31-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-01-31-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":61336,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/08\/us-weekly-market-snapshot-4\/","url_meta":{"origin":59597,"position":5},"title":"US Weekly Market Snapshot","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 8, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The dial on the left indicates bull or bear market status, while the one on the right reflects stock market drawdown risk. Bull\/Bear Market The Bull\/Bear Market indicator remains at 60%, with no significant changes. Two of the five leading indicators signal Risk-off: Heavy truck sales declined to 38,347 units\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "US & Canada"","block_context":{"text":"US & Canada","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/us-canada-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Bull\/Bear Market Indicator","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-07-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-07-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-02-07-bull-bear-gauge.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59597","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59597"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59597\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":59598,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59597\/revisions\/59598"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59597"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59597"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59597"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}