{"id":5902,"date":"2012-10-29T21:05:32","date_gmt":"2012-10-30T01:05:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5902"},"modified":"2012-10-29T21:05:32","modified_gmt":"2012-10-30T01:05:32","slug":"a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/","title":{"rendered":"A Hard Landing Down Under &#124; The Big Picture"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Andy Xie has a bearish outlook on China and believes 2013 could be a tough year for Australia:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The market went from not believing in China\u2019s growth story a decade ago to extrapolating past performance into the infinite future&#8230;&#8230;The year 2008 should have been the end of this boom cycle. China\u2019s stimulus misled the market into believing otherwise&#8230;..The Australian economy is probably a bubble on top of China\u2019s overinvestment bubble. The latter\u2019s unwinding will sooner or later trigger the former to do so, too&#8230;..<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>via <a href='http:\/\/www.ritholtz.com\/blog\/2012\/10\/a-hard-landing-down-under\/?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=email&#038;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheBigPicture+%28The+Big+Picture%29'>A Hard Landing Down Under | The Big Picture<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Andy Xie has a bearish outlook on China and believes 2013 could be a tough year for Australia: The market went from not believing in China\u2019s growth story a decade ago to extrapolating past performance into the infinite future&#8230;&#8230;The year 2008 should have been the end of this boom cycle. China\u2019s stimulus misled the market &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;A Hard Landing Down Under &#124; The Big Picture&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,41],"tags":[199,509,663,2323,3246],"class_list":["post-5902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-china-hk","tag-andy-xie","tag-bubble","tag-china","tag-mining-boom","tag-stimulus"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Hard Landing Down Under &#124; The Big Picture - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Hard Landing Down Under &#124; The Big Picture - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Andy Xie has a bearish outlook on China and believes 2013 could be a tough year for Australia: The market went from not believing in China\u2019s growth story a decade ago to extrapolating past performance into the infinite future&#8230;&#8230;The year 2008 should have been the end of this boom cycle. China\u2019s stimulus misled the market &hellip; Continue reading &quot;A Hard Landing Down Under &#124; The Big Picture&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-10-30T01:05:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"A Hard Landing Down Under &#124; The Big Picture\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-10-30T01:05:32+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/\"},\"wordCount\":105,\"commentCount\":5,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Andy Xie\",\"bubble\",\"China\",\"mining boom\",\"stimulus\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Australia &amp; NZ\",\"China &amp; HK\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/\",\"name\":\"A Hard Landing Down Under &#124; The Big Picture - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2012-10-30T01:05:32+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/29\/a-hard-landing-down-under-the-big-picture\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"A Hard Landing Down Under &#124; The Big Picture\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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First, China will remain committed to letting its currency, the yuan, rise in international foreign-exchange markets. A stronger currency will encourage companies to rely less on exports and more on goods\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4853,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/14\/australia-and-the-endgame\/","url_meta":{"origin":5902,"position":1},"title":"Australia and the Endgame","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 14, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"John Mauldin: We wrote about Australia in a full chapter of Endgame. Their economy never really suffered in the recent debt crisis, in large part due to their growing housing market and their trade with China. If you talk to the average Aussie, they think that all is right with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14856,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/02\/21\/australia-canada-in-4-charts\/","url_meta":{"origin":5902,"position":2},"title":"Australia &#038; Canada in 4 charts","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 21, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"RBA governor Phil Lowe recently made a speech comparing the experiences of Australia and Canada over the last decade. Both have undergone a resources and housing boom. Four charts highlight the differences and similarities between the two countries. Australia's spike in mining investment during the resources boom did serious damage\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13199,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/04\/25\/chinas-crewhere-all-the-commodity-gains-have-come-from\/","url_meta":{"origin":5902,"position":3},"title":"China&#8217;s credit boom: How long will it last?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 25, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Where All The Commodity Gains Have Come From Tyler Durden: Trading in futures on everything from steel reinforcement bars and hot-rolled coils to cotton and polyvinyl chloride has soared this week, prompting exchanges in Shanghai, Dalian and Zhengzhou to boost fees or issue warnings to investors. Eventually, the excesses will\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4481,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/05\/30\/how-europe-can-save-the-eu-work-harder-spend-less\/","url_meta":{"origin":5902,"position":4},"title":"How Europe Can Save the EU: Work Harder, Spend Less","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 30, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Andy Xie, an independent economist in China, said European countries without a competitive advantage must simply work harder or spend less. Alternatively, if they want to keep living it up, they will have to accept wrenching labor reforms and deregulation.Xie saw no popular consent for either course of action. Nor\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12074,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2015\/07\/16\/chinas-debt-to-gdp-ratio-just-climbed-to-a-record-high-bloomberg-business\/","url_meta":{"origin":5902,"position":5},"title":"China&#8217;s\u00a0Debt-to-GDP Ratio Just Climbed to a Record High &#8211; Bloomberg Business","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 16, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"From Ye Xie and Belinda Cao at Bloomberg: While China's economic expansion beat analysts' forecasts in the second quarter, the country's debt levels increased at an even faster pace. Outstanding loans for companies and households stood at a record 207 percent of gross domestic product at the end of June,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China &amp; HK&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China &amp; HK","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/china-hk\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5902","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5902"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5902\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5902"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5902"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5902"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}