{"id":5855,"date":"2012-10-28T05:33:28","date_gmt":"2012-10-28T09:33:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5855"},"modified":"2012-10-28T05:33:28","modified_gmt":"2012-10-28T09:33:28","slug":"australia-household-debt-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia: Household debt crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A few days ago I mentioned that Australia is in a housing bubble. The easiest way to gauge this is to compare Australian household debt\/disposable income (DPI) to the US peak before the global financial crisis. After all, household debt is the fuel for a housing bubble.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Housing Finances\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/6tl-hhfin.gif?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Australia&#8217;s current ratio of 150% (or 1.5 times DPI) is higher than the US peak of 1.3 times DPI during the housing bubble. And far higher than the current US ratio of 1.1 times DPI.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"Credit Growth by Sector\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/2012-10-28-cmdebt-pi.png?w=525&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<p>No time to be complacent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A few days ago I mentioned that Australia is in a housing bubble. The easiest way to gauge this is to compare Australian household debt\/disposable income (DPI) to the US peak before the global financial crisis. After all, household debt is the fuel for a housing bubble. Australia&#8217;s current ratio of 150% (or 1.5 times &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Australia: Household debt crisis&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,45],"tags":[1042,1726,1736],"class_list":["post-5855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-debt-levels","tag-disposable-personal-income","tag-household-debt","tag-housing-bubble"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Australia: Household debt crisis - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Australia: Household debt crisis - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A few days ago I mentioned that Australia is in a housing bubble. The easiest way to gauge this is to compare Australian household debt\/disposable income (DPI) to the US peak before the global financial crisis. After all, household debt is the fuel for a housing bubble. Australia&#8217;s current ratio of 150% (or 1.5 times &hellip; Continue reading &quot;Australia: Household debt crisis&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61572934660810\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-10-28T09:33:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/static.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/6tl-hhfin.gif\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Colin Twiggs\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Colin Twiggs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d42b18d516a80149d739845749ac6454\"},\"headline\":\"Australia: Household debt crisis\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-10-28T09:33:28+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/\"},\"wordCount\":88,\"commentCount\":1,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/6tl-hhfin.gif\",\"keywords\":[\"disposable personal income\",\"household debt\",\"housing bubble\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Australia &amp; NZ\",\"Debt Levels\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/\",\"name\":\"Australia: Household debt crisis - the patient investor\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/6tl-hhfin.gif\",\"datePublished\":\"2012-10-28T09:33:28+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/6tl-hhfin.gif\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2012\/6tl-hhfin.gif\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/28\/australia-household-debt-crisis\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Australia: Household debt crisis\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Patient Investor\",\"description\":\"Smart. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor\",\"https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Australia: Household debt crisis - the patient investor","robots":{"index":"noindex","follow":"follow"},"og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Australia: Household debt crisis - the patient investor","og_description":"A few days ago I mentioned that Australia is in a housing bubble. The easiest way to gauge this is to compare Australian household debt\/disposable income (DPI) to the US peak before the global financial crisis. After all, household debt is the fuel for a housing bubble. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1wr","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":8122,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/07\/17\/canadian-housing-bubble-looks-ripe-for-popping-toronto-star\/","url_meta":{"origin":5855,"position":0},"title":"Canadian housing bubble looks ripe for popping | Toronto Star","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"July 17, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Adam Peterson writes the Canadian housing bubble is headed for a \"slow-motion\" crash: My gravest concern is that Canada is fast approaching a 5:1 home-price-to-income ratio, a benchmark achieved by the U.S. at the peak in 2006. Since the correction, the U.S. ratio now hovers at approximately 3:1.To compound the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8581,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2013\/10\/09\/household-debt-to-income-ratio\/","url_meta":{"origin":5855,"position":1},"title":"Household Debt to Income ratio","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"October 9, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Barry Ritholz highlights the alarming debt to income ratio for Canada compared to the USA: How does Australia compare? Australian household debt to income is similar to Canada's. There has been discussion recently about whether Australia is in a housing bubble. As Anna Schwartz (joint author of A Monetary History\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":38974,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2022\/11\/22\/australias-debt-end-game\/","url_meta":{"origin":5855,"position":2},"title":"Australia&#8217;s debt end game","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 22, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"We are nearing the end of a thirty year bull market in credit, during which time the overnight cash rate in Australia fell from 18% in 1989 to 0.03% in 2021. Low interest rates enabled households to borrow more relative to their income, with housing debt expanding 4.5 times, over\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":15672,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2017\/08\/04\/australia-housing-incomes-growth\/","url_meta":{"origin":5855,"position":3},"title":"Australia: Housing, Incomes &#038; Growth","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"August 4, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"A quick snapshot of the Australian economy from the latest RBA chart pack. Disposable income growth has declined to almost zero and consumption is likely to follow. Else Savings will be depleted. Residential building approvals are slowing, most noticeably in apartments, reflecting an oversupply. Housing loan approvals for owner-occupiers are\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":41226,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/03\/14\/volatility-how-does-australia-compare\/","url_meta":{"origin":5855,"position":4},"title":"Volatility: How Does Australia Compare?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"March 14, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week we covered suppression of volatility in complex systems and showed how Fed suppression of interest rate has destroyed productivity, causing debt to grow at a faster rate than GDP. Quick Recap The ratio of federal government debt increased to a precarious 121% of GDP at the end of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Federal Government Debt & Non-Financial Private Debt\/GDP","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-07-debt-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-07-debt-gdp.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2023\/2023-03-07-debt-gdp.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":9323,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2014\/03\/03\/deflating-australias-land-bubble\/","url_meta":{"origin":5855,"position":5},"title":"Deflating Australia\u2019s land bubble","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"March 3, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Great post by Leith van Onselen Reproduced with kind permission from Macrobusiness.com.au. Prosper Australia has provided a submission to the Senate Inquiry into Housing Affordability, which is well worth a look. The submission first provides nine metrics illustrating Australia\u2019s residential property bubble, which include the following: It took forty years\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"ScreenHunter_18 Jul. 05 10.22","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.macrobusiness.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/ScreenHunter_18-Jul.-05-10.22-200x200.gif?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5855"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5855\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}