{"id":5837,"date":"2012-10-24T22:50:04","date_gmt":"2012-10-25T02:50:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/goldstocksforex.com\/?p=5837"},"modified":"2012-10-24T22:50:04","modified_gmt":"2012-10-25T02:50:04","slug":"gold-and-commodities-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/24\/gold-and-commodities-fall\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold and commodities fall"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Dollar Index is consolidating between 79 and 80. Upward breakout would test resistance at 81.00\/81.50 — penetration of the descending trendline indicating the correction has ended — but the primary trend is downward and breach of support at 79 would signal another decline. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero would strengthen the bear signal.<\/p>\n

\"US<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 79 – ( 81 – 79 ) = 77<\/span><\/p>\n

Inflation expectations are easing, with spot gold undergoing a correction since breaking support at 1750. Expect short-term support at 1700 and penetration of the descending trendline would indicate another test of $1800 per ounce*. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero is likely — and would signal a primary up-trend, while breakout above $1800 would confirm.<\/p>\n

\"Spot<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 1650 + ( 1650 – 1500 ) = 1800<\/span><\/p>\n

The DJ-UBS Commodity Index also reflects an easing inflation outlook, breaking medium-term support at 145 to signal a correction. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum is unlikely to remain above zero but a shallow trough would be a bullish sign.<\/p>\n

\"DJ-UBS<\/p>\n

Brent Crude is also falling, having broken support at $108 per barrel. Expect a test of $100. Reversal of 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the bear signal.<\/p>\n

\"ICE<\/p>\n

* Target calculation: 108 – ( 117 – 108 ) = 99<\/span><\/p>\n

Nymex WTI Light Crude is similarly headed for a test of primary support at $76\/$78 per barrel. The 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero warns of a primary down-trend.<\/p>\n

\"Nymex<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Dollar Index is consolidating between 79 and 80. Upward breakout would test resistance at 81.00\/81.50 — penetration of the descending trendline indicating the correction has ended — but the primary trend is downward and breach of support at 79 would signal another decline. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum peak below zero would strengthen the bear … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Gold and commodities fall”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,35],"tags":[495,1064,1073,2529,3204],"class_list":["post-5837","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gold-commodities","category-us-dollar-index","tag-brent-crude","tag-dj-ubs-commodity-index","tag-dollar-index","tag-nymex-wti-light-crude","tag-spot-gold"],"yoast_head":"\nGold and commodities fall - the patient investor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold and commodities fall - the patient investor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Dollar Index is consolidating between 79 and 80. Upward breakout would test resistance at 81.00\/81.50 — penetration of the descending trendline indicating the correction has ended — but the primary trend is downward and breach of support at 79 would signal another decline. 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He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters. Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008\/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events. He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/people\/The-Patient-Investor\/61572934660810\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/colin_thepatientinvestor","https:\/\/au.linkedin.com\/in\/colintwiggs"],"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/author\/investor\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9tQ4n-1w9","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5963,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/10\/31\/gold-and-dollar-test-support-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":5837,"position":0},"title":"Gold and dollar test support","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 31, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Dollar Index (daily chart) broke medium-term resistance at 80 before retracing to test the new support level. Penetration of the descending trendline indicates the correction has ended. A long tail on Wednesday indicates (short-term) buying pressure; respect of support would signal an advance to 81. But the primary trend\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6097,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/08\/the-gold-euro-dollar-conundrum\/","url_meta":{"origin":5837,"position":1},"title":"The Gold-Euro-Dollar conundrum","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"November 8, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Euro broke support at $1.28 against the greenback (weekly chart). Respect of the descending trendline warns of a down-swing to test primary support at $1.20. Reversal of\u00a0 63-day Twiggs Momentum below zero would strengthen the signal. But the Dollar Index and Gold suggest the opposite. Recovery above $1.28 would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Forex"","block_context":{"text":"Forex","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/forex\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4888,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/19\/rising-dollar-but-commodities-strengthen\/","url_meta":{"origin":5837,"position":2},"title":"Rising dollar but commodities strengthen","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 19, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The rising dollar suggests weaker gold and commodity prices. The US Dollar Index continues to test resistance at 83.50. Breakout would target the 2010 high at 88.50, with an interim target of 86*, while respect would test support at 81.50. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum oscillating above zero indicates a strong up-trend.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4947,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/07\/26\/dollar-and-gold-strengthen\/","url_meta":{"origin":5837,"position":3},"title":"Dollar and gold strengthen","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"July 26, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The US Dollar Index broke resistance at 83.50, signaling continuation of the primary advance to the 2010 high at 88.50, with an interim target of 86.00*. 63-Day Twiggs Momentum oscillating above zero reinforces the up-trend. * Target calculation: 82 + ( 82 - 78 ) = 86 Spot Gold shows\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5144,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/09\/dollar-and-gold-strengthen-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":5837,"position":4},"title":"Dollar tests support, gold and commodities strengthen","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 9, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The US Dollar Index made a false break above resistance at 83.50 before retracing to test support at 81.50. Respect of support and the rising trendline would confirm the primary up-trend is intact. Breakout above 83.50\/84.00 would signal an advance to 86.00* in the next few weeks and to the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Gold & Commodities"","block_context":{"text":"Gold & Commodities","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/gold-commodities\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5267,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/08\/14\/dollar-up-trend-continues-gold-finds-support-commodities-range-widely\/","url_meta":{"origin":5837,"position":5},"title":"Dollar up-trend continues, gold finds support, commodities range widely","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"August 14, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The US Dollar Index is testing support at 81.50\/82.00. Respect of support and the rising trendline would confirm the primary up-trend is intact, offering a target of 86.00*. Breakout above 83.50\/84.00 would confirm the advance. In the longer term, expect a test of the 2010 high at 88.50. 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