{"id":57171,"date":"2024-09-02T05:07:53","date_gmt":"2024-09-02T05:07:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/?p=57171"},"modified":"2024-09-02T23:11:10","modified_gmt":"2024-09-02T23:11:10","slug":"rba-should-have-hiked-rates-john-simon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/09\/02\/rba-should-have-hiked-rates-john-simon\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA should have hiked rates | John Simon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The recently departed head of research says the RBA should have hiked rates higher to head off inflation, and the Board lacked the expertise to challenge the governor on rate decisions:<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-08-31-rba-board.png?resize=525%2C856&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500\" width=\"525\" height=\"856\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Acknowledgments<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Chris Joye: <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/cjoye\/status\/1830344934161092841\">RBA story in the AFR<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The recently departed head of research says the RBA should have hiked rates higher to head off inflation, and the Board lacked the expertise to challenge the governor on rate decisions: Acknowledgments Chris Joye: RBA story in the AFR<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,31],"tags":[2346,2860,6645],"class_list":["post-57171","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia-nz-countries-regions","category-the-fed-banks-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-rba","tag-rba-board"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - 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Rising average tax rates -- through bracket creep caused by inflation -- have been doing some of the heavy-lifting in slowing the economy and curbing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australian Government: Tax Cuts Ad","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-06-aus-taxcuts.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-06-aus-taxcuts.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-05-06-aus-taxcuts.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":44937,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2023\/10\/26\/westpac-calls-a-rate-hike\/","url_meta":{"origin":57171,"position":1},"title":"Westpac and CBA call a rate hike","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"October 26, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Luci Ellis, new Chief Economist at Westpac, believes the inflation overshoot in September was enough to expect an RBA rate hike: Last week we noted that the RBA would leave rates unchanged so long as they saw inflation coming down as they had expected. But if the data flow showed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":61706,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/20\/rba-cautiously-lowers-rates\/","url_meta":{"origin":57171,"position":2},"title":"RBA cautiously lowers rates","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"May 20, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Summary The RBA cautiously lowered its cash rate target by 25 basis points The rate cut is in response to a low CPI print and a swathe of bearish economic data after the Trump tariff shock Caution is due to the low 4.1% unemployment rate, a strong 0.9% increase in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"RBA Cash Rate Target","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-20-rba-cashrate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-20-rba-cashrate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2025\/2025-05-20-rba-cashrate.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3436,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2012\/02\/07\/westpac-economic-update-rba-leaves-rates-unchanged\/","url_meta":{"origin":57171,"position":3},"title":"Westpac Economic Update: RBA leaves rates unchanged","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"February 7, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"The Board of the Reserve Bank surprised us with a decision to hold the cash rate unchanged at 4.25%. Whilst this indicates that for the time being the Bank is assessing the risks somewhat differently to ourselves we are not inclined to change our core view that a further 50bps\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":48609,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2024\/02\/20\/will-the-rba-cut-first\/","url_meta":{"origin":57171,"position":4},"title":"Will the RBA cut first?","author":"Colin Twiggs","date":"February 20, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Recent articles in Macrobusiness and the ABC suggest that the RBA is likely to cut interest rates early, ahead of the Fed. Their conclusions are based on a February 16 research note by Gareth Aird at Commbank Divergence between the Australian and US consumer which provides some excellent charts: The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Fed Funds Rate & RBA Cash Rate","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-20-ffr-rba.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-20-ffr-rba.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.incrediblecharts.com\/images\/2024\/2024-02-20-ffr-rba.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":13212,"url":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/2016\/04\/27\/will-the-rba-cut-interest-rates-in-may\/","url_meta":{"origin":57171,"position":5},"title":"Will the RBA cut interest rates in May?","author":"ColinTwiggs","date":"April 27, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"From Justin Smirk at Westpac: The headline CPI surprised in Q1 falling 0.2% compared to Westpac\u2019s forecast for +0.4%..... The annual rate is now just 1.3%yr compared to 1.7%yr in Q4. The core measures, which are seasonally adjusted and exclude extreme moves, rose 0.2% compared to the market\u2019s expectation of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia &amp; NZ&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Australia &amp; NZ","link":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/category\/countries-regions\/australia-nz-countries-regions\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57171","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57171"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57171\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57184,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57171\/revisions\/57184"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57171"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57171"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thepatientinvestor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57171"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}